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Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
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2 Oct, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Something pointed out by serious people ranging literally from Tim Wise to Charles Murray is that 50% of competitors within any system will finish below average.

This has massive, obvious implications for all silly plans like "free college for all."
(2) Yes, yes - below the MEDIAN average.

Mean, median, and mode are all "the average."
(3) A lot of silly responses here. The point is that one of the major stated purposes of college ("majors," etc) is to prepare people for the ~20% of jobs ("Engineer") that require a college degree. "All in" proposals to provide 'elite' training make no sense.
(4) Worth noting: I'd actually support a Japanese or "true Euro" system - where is college IS cheap or free but spots are based on brutal systems of 'E Levels' testing and ONLY the top 20% or so get in.

0.00% chance of that happening in the 2021 States.

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More from @wil_da_beast630

Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
2 Oct
So, a recent piece (thelancet.com/journals/lance…) estimates 55% of U.S. police killings go unreported and Black people are 3+(X) more likely to get shot by police than whites.

Good to see more serious work on this, but - as always w policing - there are some major methods caveats.
(2) First, this^ claim is only that deaths go unreported BY the police, in the gov't "NVSS" system. Well...yeah.

The tools they use to get/compare REAL data are simply WaPo's "The Counted" and the other d-bases that have existed for years and are the standard in social science.
(3) It's fairly undisputed that for the past 6-7 years we've known pretty much how many people were killed by police, via databases with names like "Killed by Police."

My own figures along the lines of "1,000 per year, 250 Black, 20 Black and unarmed" come FROM The Counted.
Read 4 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
23 Sep
So, my thoughts on "Missing White Woman Syndrome..."

First, there often IS more coverage of white as vs. POC female victims - up to 3x as much, per a paper I'll try to dig up and link below.

Then and as ~always, however, there's a huge "but."
(2) First, as always, saying this is meaningless w/o (a) basic and (b) ~universally ignored adjustments for class, prominence, age, etc.

"Racism" has nothing to do with the fact that a tax-payer of any color killed by their ex in Detroit will get less attention than G. Petito.
(3) It's also obviously true that members of different groups gain different levels of attention across MANY social problems. As I note in TABOO, the ~25% minority of Black police shooting victims receive 80% or more of all national mass media coverage of this issue.
Read 6 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
28 Aug
Unpopular opinion: standardized tests have helped more smart poor kids join the elite than almost literally anything else.
(2) "Why?"

Ok: while no doubt influenced by culture/SES/study time, ST scores provide a metric of CURRENT aptitude that means the same thing across classes and races. No alternative (internships, single-school grades, "gentlemanliness") comes even close as a fair measure.
(3) "Is this true, per-fessor?!!"

Yeah. I AM a professor, at a solid state U, b/c of the SAT. If you want to see the effect of testing on college attendance for poor Jewish, Asian, W. African, etc. kids, check out the references in @kennymxu's book...amazon.com/dp/1635767563/…
Read 4 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
22 Aug
As a reminder to the entire page: y'all should follow the ABOUT TO BLOW "Cut the Bull" podcast, featuring moi, @CDouglasLove3, and show star @ShemekaMichelle.

This is a typical episode - us discussing why males are not females with @SwipeWright.... Watch!
(2) Anotha One, possibly my personal favorite episode: @GabsClark5 explains to us why her Black/mixed son objected to being labeled a "white oppressor" by a major school system.

The struggs is real out here...
(3) Yet another "CTB" episode, featuring @CDouglasLove3, @ShemekaMichelle, and moi along with @kennymxu - discussing discrimination against Asians (and whites, often) in modern U.S. higher-ed.

Thoughts and takes?
Read 4 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
19 Aug
Obvious point: being able to......errr......leave your house has a value.

It is simply absurd - unbelievably asinine - to argue that all 350,000,000 Americans should wear two masks, or stay home as much as possible, to avoid perhaps 500 deaths per week, nationwide.
(2) A few follow-ups.

First, as re some of these very specific math points in the replies, my question here was obviously about how many deaths would be prevented if the massive vaccinated/nat-immune majority of the country (say) triple-masked...not about total death rates.
(3) But......ok.

To take on the steel-man here, the 7-day rolling avg of C-19 deaths, per Worldometers, was 590 at the start of this past 7-day period. Today, it would be max 703. Should we all - not simply the vulnerable - stay home all day to perhaps halve THOSE numbers?
Read 4 tweets
Wilfred Reilly Profile picture
10 Aug
@EPoe187 This is a very "Supreme Court" style answer. So, you seem to be saying it is accurate that other academics/smart laymen PERCEIVE AmRen writers as bigots.

But, there's an obvious secondary question here: do you perceive it as CORRECT that most or all AmRen writers are bigots?
@EPoe187 (2) As re @mchappenstance's point, we're not talking here about someone being cited by a white-nat website. We're talking about several someones (I mean, they have a contributors' page) associated with the U.S. dissident right or a particular sci-paradigm WRITING for the site.
@EPoe187 @mchappenstance (3) The obvious questions here are: does this indicate serious bigotry (as it obviously seems to), and if so what should be done?

Without a lot of "taqiya," the BEST response from one or more figures Young names would just be: "Yeah, I'm a racist. Can you prove me wrong?"
Read 4 tweets

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