Marsilio Musing Profile picture
Oct 4, 2021 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
$ARKK

Think Cathie is truly amazing & this was 1 of the best things to own in 2020 (along with her other funds) but this year taking a break

Haven't had much to say after its D200 fail

The 9/6 area top just a lower high & since then dropping hard

Like FXI down from July
If I were ruthless would be shorting this via puts but surprise, I'm not

That said happy to be out of the way

Now here's some really cool astro for ARKK

I've noted that Mars has a special influence

Interesting for woman-run fund
Could be options related on TSLA (where Mars makes all kinds of sense) and some spillover, but anyway, here is some data and visuals

2018-current
Mars signs

That massive blowoff in 2020 was mostly Mars in Aries (red) where it stationed and spent extra time in the sign
This year low of year remains Mars in Cancer (fitting!), though who knows, potentially could revisit with Mars in Libra

Also Taurus did go higher in the frenzy but gave back all gains

Here is close up view 2020-current
Mars terms important too, especially Saturn doing damage

Here's the term data from 4/1/2020 (near start of equity rally off covid low) to 10/1/2021

ARKK
Split by Mars term
Avg daily % return

Jupiter on top, Venus good, Saturn negative!
Here's the chart on the terms

Ugh, this is gappy, removing the weekend days not as easy as sounds, but going on my list :)

But just look for drops in the gray - that is Saturn whacking ARKK
Since Mars in Libra not moving well at all, could continue slide until:

Out of term Merc with Merc Rx, 10/6
Sun cnj Mars 10/7
Mars in Libra with ruler Venus wrecked by SN 10/10

Potentially longer
Couple more cool charts

ARKK by Mars sign entire history, chronological

See color legend

Not sure why Cap has dropped a couple times (the worst was covid crash)

Pisces also vulnerable

This year only Aries & Leo up, fire
Now, same data, organized by sign, easier to see

There is always variation under the averages

Scorpio decent though

Both Aries & Scorpio down only 1x, how's that for Mars impact?!

I think this is pretty cool stuff

~end~

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Marsilio Musing

Marsilio Musing Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @MarsilioMusing

Mar 30, 2023
Astro (advanced)

Astro market data is often compelling, but also slippery, and it resists typical quant approaches.

Why?

Because the planets are always kaleidoscopically changing! The planet backdrop changes, & data changes - and this often makes sense from the astro view.
For example, how much data do we have for Moon in Cancer over the last 15 years that does NOT have an opposition to Pluto by sign?

Answer - almost none, this condition just started THIS WEEK!
Similarly, Saturn out of Aquarius also impacts Uranus, because Saturn in Aquarius was square Uranus by sign. And now that is fully out of the way, Uranus aspects might act differently!
Read 5 tweets
Oct 20, 2022
Financial Advisor🧵

US Gov't: trust us, eat lots of carbs & low protein & fat, it is the way to avoid heart disease
Result: Americans fatter & sicker than ever

Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals: trust us, take these pills, they are the only way to treat your condition
Result: ditto
Private Education: trust us, the cost of this degree will be worth the investment
Result: generations saddled with extreme student debt for decades

Financial Advisors: trust us, buy and hold is the only way. We will protect you with a diversified portfolio.
Result: see next
Result of following typical financial advisor advice was missing most gains in last 10 years as US tech was nearly the only thing winning, and FAs don't like to put all in 1 sector. Diversification into Europe, emerging markets, whatever, did not pay.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 14, 2022
Chief Strategist at Schwab saying yesterday's rally driven by "algorithms trading on technical indicators"

She is right! Which ones though? (see next)
NDX YS2 tag first touch since 2008 - green crosses touched yday

2020 Covid crash low NDX YS1
2016 correction low also NDX YS1

YS2s always below YS1s
NDX backing up now to show 2008-2016

major lows 2011 & 2015 on pivots (orange) not below

2008 reached YS3 and below though
Read 4 tweets
Oct 5, 2022
It's funny that after being pounding table bearish from 8/18 all the way to 9/28-30, and calling for a bounce week this week

It seems I did not nail it enough

Look, whether final low is in remains to be seen

I did not say this week would go lower however
9/28 FIRST TIME I started talking about turn

DXY high, VIX high, ZN ZB (bond futures) low remains 9/28

While maintaining that Friday would tank stocks & cryptos with FOMC chatter about inflation - nailed for Indexes
After looking at some other finastro / furu content out of curiosity, I realize that I set an impossibly high bar for myself

other finastros - this aspect up, but that aspect down - nearly always, sadly
Read 4 tweets
Oct 3, 2022
Saturn sqr Uranus charts

DJI 1900-current

1900-25
squares orange so marking wx for waxing and wn for waning

both of these involved in BOTH rallies & drops Image
1925-1950
waxing square involved in great depression crash so some of the stereotypes are because of this

next one (conjunction) also near a major low!

ps, for great depression I could also say Neptune out of Leo; major events like this have multiple factors Image
1950-1975

if you thought you had it pegged as bearish market was about to fool you

next 2 up

btw - hard aspects only on these charts, 0, 90, 180, 270, 10' applying Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 24, 2022
Who wants to make some $? 🧵

The case for high leverage BTC short play for overnight in charts ahead

Also note Moon is applying to square Mars, exact about 1:50 PM ET - and this really should drop nearby to confirm Mars not being influenced positively by trine to Saturn yet
Moon in Virgo worst by far - here showing 2022 data but can go back further in time as well
Moon through terms
2022 data

Mars worst

This is showing all Moon signs together
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(