The Cassandra metaphor comes from Greek mythology and describes a person whose valid warnings or concerns are disbelieved by others. 
In 1970, Syukuro Manabe made a global temperature prediction for the year 2000 which was only 0.03C out.
Here is Manabe in 1988 explaining why global heating would be most extreme at the North Pole.
He was expounding on work going back to 1896, and he was right.
earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/81214/a…
earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/81214/a…
In 1988, Manabe predicted heating would lead to drought in North Africa and Southern California.
He was right.
He was right.
In 1981 scientists warned that warming had already occured thanks to human activities, and would be easily measurable by the year 2000.
They were right too.
Since the 19th century, scientists have known that the water vapour in the atmosphere rises exponentially with temperature.
The first IPCC report in 1992 warned that temperature increases would lead to precipitation increases which would lead to more flooding.
It was right.
The first IPCC report in 1992 warned that temperature increases would lead to precipitation increases which would lead to more flooding.
It was right.
Congratulations to Syukuro Manabe, Klaus Hasselmann and Giorgio Parisi on their @NobelPrize win.
But how agonising for climate scientists everywhere to have to watch their predictions come true in the face of lethal inaction from governments and business.
#NobelPrize
But how agonising for climate scientists everywhere to have to watch their predictions come true in the face of lethal inaction from governments and business.
#NobelPrize
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
