Thoughts on that speech and conf season more genrally
Leaders' speeches rarely remembered. That one might be. Either as a magnificent piece of political positioning where the PM made the problems of his signature policy into virtue or a Callaghanesque "Crisis, what crisis" x 10.
Leaders' speeches rarely remembered. That one might be. Either as a magnificent piece of political positioning where the PM made the problems of his signature policy into virtue or a Callaghanesque "Crisis, what crisis" x 10.
https://twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1445702498304475138
As I've said several times this week the transition from "problems are exaggerated/non existent" to "all part of the plan" has been something to behold.
Ministers are now leaning heavily into the idea that disruptions we see are part of the "transition" to a different...
Ministers are now leaning heavily into the idea that disruptions we see are part of the "transition" to a different...
...sort of economy. Will leave aside particulars of that for the moment (for more watch NN tonight) but just as a piece of politics, if the disruption isn't too great, as I say, we may look at this as a nimble bit of positioning; at a stroke minimising Brexit...
...related criticism just at a time discontent about the Brexit settlement is rising.
The alternative is that it comes to be seen as a deeply Panglossian speech, completely detached from the reality of where the economy is and where it's going. If there's deep inflation...
The alternative is that it comes to be seen as a deeply Panglossian speech, completely detached from the reality of where the economy is and where it's going. If there's deep inflation...
...profound economic disruption, worse shortages etc the Prime Minister will not only have seemed to inhabit a different world but worse, he will have actively told people that this was all part of *his* plan, that it's not just contingencies of events.
It remains to be seen exactly how substantial the idea of "moving to another economic model" really is. As I said the other day, this v much a half formed revolution, with much of the thinking on 'levelling up" and other economic policies yet to be done/outlined...
...many ministers' instincts remain grounded in Thatcherism. Much of the thinking on political economy remains grounded in orthodxy of the last decade- see Universal Credit cut today. Rishi Sunak remains Osbornite. There's a lot of rhetoric about a shift but aside from...
...necessities which arise from end to freedom of movement/Brexit, there's more continuity than meets the eye at policy level.
Both conferences have had a deep air of unreality. Labour obsessed with their own factional warfare. Conservatives' high on victories...
Both conferences have had a deep air of unreality. Labour obsessed with their own factional warfare. Conservatives' high on victories...
...of 2016 and 19 which feel aeons ago from reality of what's going on in the country.
Weirdness is that Labour, riven as it is is actually agrees on a lot more than you might think, policy wise. Whilst the Tories are deeply divided, or undecided about a huge swathe of...
Weirdness is that Labour, riven as it is is actually agrees on a lot more than you might think, policy wise. Whilst the Tories are deeply divided, or undecided about a huge swathe of...
...policies and fundamentals, be on tax, the role of the state, free markets etc. Boris Johnson's unique mercurial political personality and his success is the glue which binds the party together (Labour's lack of success by contrast magnifying the problems). Q is how far...
...that glue starts to come unstuck and those differences become more exposed if and when the success starts to fade.
And with that, we’re done. 
Add to this list public sector pay freeze
https://twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1445727065928388610
One thing which could be a big part of a potential scenario B from the first tweet in this thread.
https://twitter.com/thestalwart/status/1445669851779899402
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