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6 Oct, 8 tweets, 2 min read
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Let’s talk 2022, shall we?

Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but 2022 is the most important midterm election you will *ever* vote in.

It’s not hyperbole to say the fate of the Republic hangs in the balance in 2022. 1/8
If we don’t expand our majority in — or at least keep — both chambers of Congress, the country is in serious trouble.

If we lose the Senate, Mitch McConnell gets to block another Supreme Court Justice, and we could ultimately end up with a 7-2 GOP SCOTUS. 2/8
Do you realize how long it would take the country to recover from a 7-2 SCOTUS?

If you’re not thinking at least half a century, you’re not even in the ballpark. 3/8
In addition to that, if we fail to secure this midterm, you’re going to see even more GOP voter suppression in key states — we vastly outnumber them, and they only have two ways to win:

- change their unpopular platform
- keep you from voting 4/8
For all the (well-deserved) criticism the folks writing the anti-Trump books get, they do understand one vital thing:

The GOP is irredeemable, and we have a chance to defeat Trumpism forever in 2022 and 2024.

We also have a chance to royally fuck it up and lose everything. 5/8
Relatedly, there’s some understandable frustration aimed at Manchin and Sinema right now, but I feel — as is generally the case — there’s important context being missed:

Without them, McConnell is Majority Leader again. There’s no American Rescue Plan, 50+ new judges, etc. 6/8
“Vote blue no matter who gets you people like Sinema!”

Oh? It gets you people who vote almost exclusively with Biden? People who help pass the biggest relief for child poverty in history with *zero* GOP support?

Sounds like a fair trade for some occasional frustration. 7/8
Folks, I get it. Manchin and Sinema are maddening sometimes, but the alternative is much, much worse.

If I had to leave you with one point, it’s this:

2022 is too important to miss. The stakes are too high. Don’t let your frustrations with 2 Senators cost us the country. 8/8

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More from @Angry_Staffer

Angry Staffer Profile picture
17 Aug
Good question, let’s talk threat spectrum!

I find it best to think of the threat spectrum as sort of a sliding scale.

All the way on the left side of the spectrum would be “no threat” and all the way right would be “terrorists have weapons of mass destruction”
If you were plotting it from left to right, it would look something like this:

No Threat > Lone Wolves > Coordinated single attacks w/ 100s of casualties > Multi-pronged, simultaneous attack that can kill thousands (think 9/11) > Terrorists have nukes and/or biological weapons
Right now, the Taliban is somewhere between ‘Lone wolf’ and “Coordinated single attack” on the mock spectrum above.

One of the absolute fundamentals of counterterrorism is that you keep pressure on the terrorists to stop them from planning new attacks.
Read 6 tweets
Angry Staffer Profile picture
2 Aug
Few random thoughts:

It’s time we acknowledge Covid is almost certainly here to stay and boosters are going to be a way of life.

Delta is too contagious, and too many YouTube Virologists, Facebook Pharmacists, and Parler Physicians in the US are refusing to get vaccinated. 1/X
It’s also not just about the United States — a worldwide goal of zero Covid just flat-out isn’t feasible at this point.

That’s not to say we shouldn’t try.

Unfortunately, the math isn’t in our favor. Also, the longer we delay, the more variants we’ll get. 2/X
If we take Delta’s mean estimated r0 (6.5), that means every person infected with Delta, on average, infects 6.5 others.

Most experts put the required herd immunity threshold to combat something that contagious at roughly 85% vaccinated. 3/X
Read 5 tweets
Angry Staffer Profile picture
30 Jul
Let’s talk Delta for a second, shall we?

Most of you probably know by now, but the basic reproduction number, or R0, is how epidemiologist gauge the infectiousness of a particular virus.

It’s also looked at as the average number of people an infected person will infect. 1/X
You may remember early on in the pandemic, Covid-19 was estimated somewhere around an R3, meaning that every covid positive person was likely to infect around 3 more.

Not great, obviously. 2/X
You may also remember talking about how we had to “drive the R down” via methods like masks, social distancing, capacity limits, etc.

The goal is to get R under 1, meaning that every infected person would infect less than one additional person. That’s how you slow the spread 3/X
Read 7 tweets
Angry Staffer Profile picture
24 Jul
Let’s talk “unmasking” and the latest Fox News bullshit tornado, shall we?

It’s no secret that the US intelligence community routinely—and lawfully—collects the communications of foreign persons of interest.

So what happens when a US person is caught up in that collection? 1/X
There are strict minimization requirements in place to protect the identity of any United States citizen or permanent resident that is incidentally collected while monitoring a foreign national.

This shows up as “US Person 1,” etc. on intercepts. 2/X
If a senior official feels that the identity of one or more of the minimized US persons is necessary to understand the context of the communications, they can request that the originating (read: collecting) agency reveal (‘unmask’) their identity. 3/X
Read 5 tweets
Angry Staffer Profile picture
15 Jul
This is a hell of a read.

According to the Guardian, they have a directive with Putin’s signature on it, confirming kompromat on a “mentally unstable” Donald Trump, and ordering Russia’s intelligence agencies to do everything possible to get him elected.

Let’s discuss. 1/X
The document refers to Trump as an ‘impulsive, mentally unstable and unbalanced individual who suffers from an inferiority complex,’ and someone they judge could help promulgate ‘social turmoil’ in the United States.

All true. 2/X
With that being said, it’s important to understand how Russia operates, and, as always, I would urge everyone to not immediately give in to confirmation bias. 3/X
Read 8 tweets
Angry Staffer Profile picture
17 Jun
With the first Presidential trip in the books, we just witnessed a master class in statesmanship from Biden.

Sure, it’s easy to say the bar was set low by Trump, but let’s take a look at some of what was accomplished.

Thread:
First, and perhaps most importantly, Biden gave a full-throated, unequivocal statement of support for Article 5 and the collective defense of our NATO partners.

He also publicly committed to the defend Ukraine’s interests against further Russian incursions.
He and the other world leaders came to an agreement on a *massive* vaccine sharing plan — at least 870 million doses of COVID-19 vaccine from G7 countries to help ease the worldwide pandemic.
Read 7 tweets

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