Allen Weisselberg, Trump accountant will lose 5 criminal cases and unless he flips, will spend rest of his life in prison. His first criminal court case had first hearing in Sept
Let's do full update to Weisselberg path to take Trump to prison.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 2/
Donald Trump faces 5 paths to prison for LIFE
1. Weisselberg (NY Taxes etc) 2. Giuliani (Ukraine etc) 3. Matt Gaetz (leads to Trump selling pardons) 4. Roger Stone (Jan 6th) 5. Tom Barrack (UAE etc incl extortion of Qatar)
Plus DOZENS of lesser cases
Weisselberg Oct Thread 3/
Allen Weisselberg faces 5 CRIMINAL trials:
1. NY Taxes (Manhattan DA) 2. Money laundering for Mafia (NY Attorney General) 3. Sanctions busting (Federal) 4. Campaign finance & inaugration (DC and Federal) 5. Emoluments (Federal)
The THIRD = worst crime
Weisselberg Oct Thread 4/
Weisselberg 1, Manhattan DA, is SIMPLE tax fraud case, where prosecution has SLAM DUNK case
They have the 'smoking gun' - they have the DOUBLE BOOKKEEPING. He will lose this case
They ALSO have witnesses
Trump (& his sons) also CONFESSED THIS CRIME
Weisselberg Oct Thread 5/
In EVERY crime, Trump was Mafia boss. Mafia boss is ALWAYS tried last. Like with NY Taxes:
1. Michael Cohen 2. Weisselberg 3. Trump kids (Don Jr, Ivanka, Eric) 4. Trump himself
The Mafia boss is ALWAYS tried LAST. That is how this works, ALWAYS
Weisselberg Oct Thread 6/
We learned in August that prosecutors have 3 million pages of evidence against Weisselberg. The systematic intentional tax fraud ran 17 years
We learned in Sept that Allen DELETED incriminating evidence. It establishes his knowledge of guilt.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 7/
There are collaborating witnesses including Michael Cohen, Trump's former attorney; the number 2 accountant to Trump Jeff McConney (limited immunity); Weisselberg's son's former wife etc. Also Trump Org exec Calamari has attempted to negotiate plea deal
Weisselberg Oct Thread 8/
Now in the first court hearing in September, we learned that the Feds have discovered NEW evidence against Weisselberg (beyond all the above) from somebody's basement. This means the 'somebody' has flipped and is NEW to testify against Weisselberg
Weisselberg Oct Thread 9/
There is no way Weisselberg wins. He's a tax cheat in the jurisdiction with highest taxes in America (New York City: Manhattan borough). All New Yorkers hate tax cheats. His jury will want to fry him. Weisselberg owes nearly one million dollars in taxes
Weisselberg Oct Thread 10/
Weisselberg 1, Manhattan DA & NY Taxes is MORE than Weisselberg cheating on taxes. The DA has proof Weisselberg committed GRAND larceny. He falsified documents to STEAL money from NY (his fraud got Allen a false TAX RETURN)
THIS ADDS SERIOUS TIME
Weisselberg Oct Thread 11/
Normal tax fraud of one million dollars, gets Weisselberg about 5 years in prison (similar to New York billionaire Leona Helmsley, who owned Empire State Building)
The Grand Larceny pushes that to 12-15 years. This is on his FIRST criminal case of 5
Weisselberg Oct Thread 12/
There is no way New York will abandon million dollars in taxes owed (back taxes NEVER expire). Crimes this serious mean prison time. NY will levy a PENALTY of 2 million dollars more, so Weisselberg will pay $3 million and do at least 12 years in prison
Weisselberg Oct Thread 13/
Manhattan DA vs Weisselberg is simple tax fraud, nothing else
NY financial crimes unit is world's largest army of financial crime prosecutors & forensic accountants, because Wall Street is world's financial center. They win 90% of time
This they win
Weisselberg Oct Thread 14/
NEXT in Weisselberg 1, are the OTHER TAX CHEATS
In court documents Manhattan DA said there are others - plural - who cheated also on taxes (which must be Don Jr, Eric, Ivanka etc)
and at least 1 who cheated MORE than Weisselberg (that must be Trump)
Weisselberg Oct Thread 15/
Manhattan DA has a Special Grand Jury sitting NOW. The only purpose of Grand Juries is to issue indictments. Weisselberg's indictment took 30 days. The Grand Jury has seen 4 MONTHS MORE of testimony. More tax fraud indictments WILL COME, by November
Weisselberg Oct Thread 16/
It is certain that Don Jr, Eric & Ivanka will be indicted in this session. I am not sure if Donald Trump will be yet. They may wait to indict him AFTER his kids have been charged, & at least one of them flipped. This is Mafia trial, Trump will be last
Weisselberg Oct Thread 17/
On this first crime Allen faces 12 years + $3M back taxes & fines
Don Jr, Eric, Ivanka each face at least 5 years + $3M. Of course they flip
I estimate Trump faces 15 years + $60 million in back taxes & fines for this first Weisselberg criminal case
Weisselberg Oct Thread 18/
IN ADDITION - collateral damage from Weisselberg 1, includes likely Weisselberg's wife, his two sons; Calamari & some other Trump employees; possibly Melania if she signed Trump's tax returns too; Jared Kushner possibly too
Weisselberg Oct Thread 19/
Weisselberg's plea bargain negotiations will try to protect his wife and sons. He himself faces FIVE criminal cases, where at least 2 are FAR MORE SERIOUS than this (with life sentences). If Allen is wise, he flips fast.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 20/
Because of NEW evidence now found in Sept against Weisselberg of MORE CRIMES, his defense attorneys must be given chance to review it. This is why next hearing is in January
Allen's attorneys told judge, they expect MORE criminal charges against Allen
Weisselberg Oct Thread 21/
Weisselberg 2 (NY State Attorney General) is Money Laundering for US Mafia and Russian Mafia. This is FAR worse criminal case
Faces MULTIPLE COUNTS OF LIFE IN PRISON (for Weisselberg AND Trump)
They have been serving subpoenas.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 22/
Trump casinos in New Jersey were used for money laundering
Weisselberg's son Barry ran Trump Ice Rink in NY as a money laundering operation
Many Trump property deals with Russians are being investigated for money laundering like Scotland golf course
Weisselberg Oct Thread 23/
When Weisselberg flips, he has to confess ALL crimes and rat out ALL other criminals including his son (ie make the deal together with Barry to cut time for both of them) & testify against Trump. Is complex deal, but Allen's position is becoming WORSE
Weisselberg Oct Thread 24/
What we saw in Lev Parnas, his attorneys negotiated 9 months for deal, it fell through: no deal. Parnas WANTED a deal
Why did Feds lose interest suddenly? My guess is that was the evidence found in FBI raid of Giuliani's office
Allen in similar peril
Weisselberg Oct Thread 25/
Weisselberg 2 (NY Attorney General: Money Laundering) is now in subpoena stage of the investigation. Eric Trump saw one of his attorneys suddenly quit
It may be that Eric was asking the attorney to do something unethical (maybe I am being too cynical)
Weisselberg Oct Thread 26/
If Weisselberg does not cut a deal soon, he faces HUGE escallation of the criminal charges to money laundering, and NY state Life in Prison sentence (several of those). His attorneys told judge, attorneys expect more criminal charges from new evidence
Weisselberg Oct Thread 27/
Like ALL Weisselberg cases, Trump is the ultimate boss. As any mafia case, the boss is tried last. When Weisselberg flips, he has to confess all crimes, and rat out all other criminals. Case against Trump money laundering comes maybe 1 year after taxes
Weisselberg Oct Thread 28/
Weisselberg 3 is Allen's worst crime. It is Sanctions Busting (Federal) and a crime against the United States of America
Here he faces Natural Life Remaining Without Parole in federal pen. Same of course for Trump.
Weisselberg Oct Thread 29/
Sanctions Busting is such a rare crime, few people know of it, and what it is, how serious it is
When Putin annexed Crimea from Ukraine, President Obama slapped biggest sanctions in US history against Russia (bigger than Reagan: Soviets Afghanistan)
Weisselberg Oct Thread 30/
Donald Trump helped Putin & Putin oligarchs circumvent the sanctions. Trump aided an enemy of the United States when an ally of the US was at war with this enemy
Weisselberg begged Trump for a pardon for THIS Federal crime, not the NY state crimes
Weisselberg Oct Thread 31/
This Federal crime is in the investigation stage. When Weisselberg flips, he has to confess to this as well. It makes the plea bargaining difficult. How do you bargain down from life without parole? That involves Federal/DOJ not just New York
Weisselberg Oct Thread 32/
Weisselberg 4 is campaign finance & inaugration frauds (Federal & DC). Includes Ivanka, Melania, Tom Barrack
Weisselberg 5 is emoluments crimes while Trump was President. These are in investigation stages
Allen has to confess to all when he flips
Weisselberg Oct Thread 33/
I estimated in July Weisselberg TOTAL time (all 5 cases) is 122 years.
Trump related time, of JUST these same Weisselberg crimes (not Giuliani etc) to be 152 years
For Don Jr & Eric, on Weisselberg related crimes about 95 years. Ivanka about 25 years
Weisselberg Oct Thread 34/
America's most notorious gangster, Al Capone was not convicted on murders, extortion, smuggling etc. He was sent to life in prison on tax fraud
We do not care HOW we get Trump behind bars, as long as we do. Tax fraud is FASTEST way to get Trump there
Weisselberg Oct Thread 35/
Trump will go to prison for life on 5 separate paths (Weisselberg, Giuliani, Matt Gaetz, Roger Stone, Tom Barrack). He also loses dozens of other cases
This is criminal trial. It takes a long time. It is Mafia trial, boss is tried last
Have patience
PS - clarifying comment
I see from a couple of responses, I was not clear
About Sanctions Busting. This is NOT about President Trump. It is about Citizen Trump 2014-2016. THAT is when Donald Trump (& Weisselberg) circumvented US government sanctions on behalf of Russia & Putin
PS 2 - I noticed I had missed relevant detail. Not about Weisselberg, but about Trump relating to Weisselberg. In September court materials we learned there is a 'Donald J Trump General Ledger'. So apart from double bookkeeping as evidence of tax fraud, TRUMP is PERSONALLY caught
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On Tom Barrack News (dismissing 2 of his high-priced defense attorneys)
I am ALWAYS suspicious of TIMING 'coincidences'
It is not ALWAYS connections but timing VERY OFTEN involves connection. What did we JUST learn this past week?
This past week we learned that Lev Parnas had attempted for 9 months to get a deal with Feds (SDNY) and the deal fell through. I time that failure at when Giuliani office was raided by FBI - which would yield SAME evidence Lev had been peddling to SDNY. Effectively wiped him out
Tom Barrack is a genuine smart man, self-made Billionaire who even after Trump wrecked his foreign businesses is worth half a Billion dollars today. He knows how to do proper cost-benefit analysis and understands NEGOTIATING POSITION. He saw what happened with Lev Parnas
No. She is being very smart but obviously cynical & intensely scheming. All of her behavior makes sense, politically. She is aiming to cut in line ahead of Ted Cruz... for 2028.
Bear with me.
Nikki Thread 2/
Like all serious candidates for next GOP Presidential nominee after Trump (so after 2024) like Ted Cruz, Lindsey Graham, Chris Christie, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Gov DeSantis, Gov Abbott - Nikki has a plan for AFTER TRUMP. The plans are all logical & systematic
Nikki Thread 3/
All of these people KNOW that Trump will be in prison by 2028
And they KNOW they will not challenge Trump for 2024
So they are ANGLING for the next open race for GOP Presidential nomination, which will be in 2028, and then how to handle a Trump then in prison
But note - it means Matt Gaetz arrest moves to April
Joel Greenberg who confessed to being 1 of 7 rapists of the teen (that rape gang includes Matt Gaetz) now asks Judge to delay sentencing by 5 MORE months
Government AGREES to request, so evidence is dynamite
Original plea agreement had Joel Greenberg testify about his rape crimes - the 6 other men including Matt Gaetz, and their related crimes like drugs, fake IDs, transporting the teen across state lines etc
This crime carries 20 year MANDATORY MINIMUM sentence. So it is BIG NASTY
When Joel Greenberg testified and ratted out Matt Gaetz and the other 5 men, Greenberg revealed MORE CRIMES - so much more that he Feds gave him 90 days to spill his guts
We have already had Florida politicians arrested from this first set
UPDATE SUMMARY on the 5 Paths to Prison for Trump/1
1 Weisselberg (Manhattan DA) NY Taxes
2 Giuliani (Federal) Ukraine
3 Matt Gaetz (Federal) leads to Trump selling Presidential pardons
4 Roger Stone (Federal & DC) January 6th
5 Tom Barrack (Federal) UAE
5 Paths To Prison Summary Thread 2/
Allen Weisselberg now criminally prosecuted. Had first court date. We discovered prosecutors found MORE evidence against Weisselberg (= someone has flipped) and Allen's own attorneys expect MORE CRIMINAL CHARGES. Next court date is in January.
5 Paths To Prison Summary Thread 3/
Bombshell revellation in Weisselberg, there is a 'Donald Trump General Ledger' that was kept which lists Trump's own tax fraud. This means Trump cannot escape by blaming Weisselberg of being an incompetent accountant and somehow Trump victim.
I am curious to find out about the Donald J Trump General Ledger - WHEN did the prosecutors find that? Was it in the original haul of Weisselberg's files when they said they have his double bookkeeping. Or is this part of the new files, discovered in someone's basement recently?
So the original files were first seized in raid of Michael Cohen's lawyer office by FBI. (Mueller investigation, Stormy Daniels, farmed out to Manhattan DA)
We do not know in what SEQUENCE the subsequent files were acquired. Did they know all the time of Trump General Ledger
But up to now, we only knew of double bookkeeping by Weisselberg of Trump Org files. Up to now, we did not know there is a specific Donald J Trump General Ledger - which is direct criminal evidence of Trump personal tax fraud & criminal INTENT. Bigger than Weisselberg (10-15 yrs)
In criminal case of Allen Weisselberg we knew that Weisselberg kept double bookkeeping for Trump. That is the ultimate evidence against any fraudulent accountant. Allen will lose his trial. It is game over
Now we learned about Trump General Ledger
Trump General Ledger Thread 2/
In the earlier documents, we knew that OTHERS (plural) had committed tax crimes - Weisselberg himself did not pay about a million dollars worth of taxes, with penalties he has to pay $3M
Others (Don Jr, Ivanka, Eric etc) ALSO committed tax fraud
Trump General Ledger Thread 3/
Weisselberg's tax fraud alone (not counting his OTHER crimes in other criminal cases like money laundering, sanctions busting, campaign finance & emoluments frauds) gets Allen 10-15 years inside prison AND the fine of $3 million dollars