The reconciliation bill is being pitched as a big job-creator. In fact it will destroy far more well-paying US jobs than it creates because its "green jobs" will be 1) unproductive, 2) largely in China, and 3) the cause of job losses in other industries via high energy prices.🧵
We are told that the reconciliation bill, by seeking to rapidly eliminate fossil fuels and replace them with solar and wind energy, will create millions of well-paying "green jobs"--far more than will be destroyed in the fossil fuel industry.

This is impossible for 3 reasons.
Reason #1 why the reconciliation bill will destroy productive US jobs: the "green jobs" it seeks to create are far less productive than the fossil fuel jobs that it will destroy--so they cannot possibly pay as well.
The only way well-paying jobs are sustainable in the long-term is if they are highly productive. For example, the reason US oil-and-gas extractions jobs pay very well is that they produce an average of $2 million per worker annually. Nothing in wind or solar can compare.
Workers involved in generating electricity from natural gas and coal produce *9 times more electricity per person* than workers generating electricity from wind and solar. And the fossil fuel electricity, unlike solar and wind, is highly reliable.
Reason #2 why the reconciliation bill will destroy productive US jobs: the "green jobs" it seeks to create will mostly exist in China, which has a huge competitive advantage in mining, processing, and manufacturing.
The main jobs involved in solar and wind energy are mining jobs (to get the raw materials), processing jobs (to transform the raw materials into valuable form) and manufacturing jobs (to make solar panels and wind turbine components). Those jobs exist largely in China.
China's dominance of "green energy" is due to a combination of vices (low environmental standards, human rights abuses) and virtues (lower energy costs, valuing mining and manufacturing). The anti-mining, anti-fossil fuel Biden administration is making us even less competitive.
Consider Tesla's "green jobs" debacle in Buffalo. Tesla got almost $1 billion plus artificially low electricity rates (at other customers' expense) in exchange for a promise of 1460 jobs--that's over $650,000 a job! This kind of welfare work is totally unsustainable.
Reason #3 why the reconciliation bill will destroy productive US jobs: by making American energy unaffordable and unreliable through mandates of unreliable solar and wind, it will destroy American industry and with it, American jobs.
The biggest cost of "green jobs" is unaffordable and unreliable energy. Because unreliable solar and wind can't replace our reliable power plants, they always add costs to the grid. And if we try, like CA and TX, to cut costs by closing reliable power plants, we get blackouts.
By driving up industrial energy costs, reconciliation's "green energy jobs" will make every American-made product more expensive and every American company less competitive. That means more productive jobs lost to other countries where energy costs less and is more reliable.
For a preview of what reconciliation will do to American industry, consider rising "green joblessness" in Europe and Australia. Like the workers at the Australian recycling company that, after 37 profitable years, went under when "green" policies doubled power costs.
"South Australia's sky-high electricity prices have forced a...plastics recycling business to shut its doors....director Stephen Scherer said the high cost of power had crippled his business of 38 years and plans for expansion."
Do we want this in the US?…
The reconciliation bill, by shifting us from productive, America-centered energy production to unproductive, China-centered energy production, would be the largest destroyer of productive jobs in American history. It's not a "green jobs" policy, it's a "green joblessness" policy.

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More from @AlexEpstein

12 Oct
Good news! Huntington Beach, the CA beach most affected by the oil spill, is now open "after water quality tests revealed no detectable levels of oil-associated toxins."

Thanks to long-time Californians @benshapiro and @SteveHiltonx for helping me spread the truth last week.
👇 Image
During the height of the oil spill hysteria last week, I discussed with @benshapiro how oil is a natural, organic substance that would quickly become non-harmful to beachgoers--which is exactly what happened. Did any mainstream media get this right?
During the height of oil spill hysteria last week I had an extended discussion with @SteveHiltonx, now vindicated, about the manageable nature of the spill vs. the completely unmanageable burden that anti-oil policies place on Californians.
Read 6 tweets
12 Oct
The #1 lesson of skyrocketing gas and coal prices is this: fossil fuel-restricting governments have wildly overestimated the ability of solar and wind to provide the energy the world needs and wildly underestimated the need for fossil fuels to provide the energy the world needs.
Europe thought that they could ban fracking and restrict other forms of fossil fuel production because mandated, subsidized solar and wind would make up for the lost fossil fuel energy. How has that worked out?
With today's technology the natural gas and coal industries have a virtually unlimited ability to supply fuel to the world. The only reason they can't meet demand is anti-fossil fuel, pro-"green energy" restrictions on the freedom to produce gas and coal.
Read 8 tweets
8 Oct
The most persuasive argument for the reconciliation bill's radical policy of 80% "clean electricity" by 2030 is that other countries are already at 80%. But this is BS because those countries, unlike us, can use huge amounts of 1) nuclear, 2) hydro, or 3) imported power.

In response to worries that the reconciliation bill's policy of 80% "clean electricity" by 2030--from 30% today--will cause reliability problems, a group of prominent green electricity advocates recently claimed in an open letter that "reliability can be preserved and enhanced."
The most compelling argument given for reliable 80% clean electricity by 2030 is that other places, such as France and Ontario, have already achieved this. But this is a deeply dishonest comparison because those places can, unlike us, use huge amounts of nuclear and hydro.
Read 20 tweets
7 Oct
One of many great things about going on the @BenShapiro Show is that they're very generous about--and fast at--sharing video clips. Here's my conversation with Ben today about the California oil spill, Europe's failed energy policies, and climate change.
Here's why it's crazy for California elected officials to react to the temporary damage of an oil spill by calling for even more anti-oil policies. Such policies already cost us $20 billion a year in excess fuel costs (this oil spill may cost $20 million).
Here's how Europe's anti-fossil fuel policies, especially its fracking bans, are causing unnecessary mass misery as well as dangerous dependence on Russia.
Read 4 tweets
7 Oct
Last night on @SkyNewsAust I was interviewed by the always-incisive @RitaPanahi on why Europe’s natural gas problems are self-inflicted and why it would be heroic for Australian PM Scott Morrison to pull out of the Paris Climate Accords altogether.
Here’s the thread @RitaPanahi mentioned about why Europe’s natural gas problems are self-inflicted.
Here’s the interview I mentioned on @RitaPanahi’s show with the CEO of the US’s number one natural gas producer. Maybe we should start listening people who actually know how to produce and move gas.
Read 4 tweets
7 Oct
According to @PeterDiamandis, @elonmusk says: "My friends tell me how great all my products are, but my BEST friends are the ones who give me the most brutal criticism."

In that case, I am one of Elon's best friends. He blocks my criticisms, but I hope others find them useful.👇
I got blocked by Elon Musk and attacked by many Tesla fans after I wrote this @Forbes article that has definitely stood the test of time: "With the Tesla Model S, Elon Musk Has Created a Nice Fossil Fuel Car."…
Here's an early (2015) explanation of why Musk's idea of Powerwalls making unreliable solar reliable would not work at all.
Read 7 tweets

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