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Tamer Badawi تامر بدوي

11 Oct, 4 tweets, 2 min read

A few hours prior to the Iraqi resistance axis' backlash against elections' results (e.g. see KH Askari's escalatory statement), Iraq-focused former Iranian diplomat Amir Mousawi congratulated cleric Muqtada al-Sadr on the gains he realized in elections.

Mousawi "hopes" that Sadr allies with the SoL/Fatah (whom he refers to as "the believing powers") to create the biggest bloc. Can Mousawi's conciliatory tone vs resistance brinkmanship indicate some sort of disconnection btw. Iranian policymakers and the resistance at this stage?

Already, friction was apparent between KH-AAH and Hezbollah's Iraq envoy a few days before elections as media figures linked to those two groups were criticizing Kawtharani for his potential support for PM Kadhimi.

https://twitter.com/TamerBadawi1/status/1446201532689657856?t=8wn2swC9o4B-M0sSrPCtvw&s=19

Alternatively, political commentator and advisor Ihsan Shammari suggests that the KH-led escalation against election results has external linkages (i.e. Iran) to squeeze Sadr into aligning with the "Shia house".

Good cop, bad cop?

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More from @TamerBadawi1

Tamer Badawi تامر بدوي

@TamerBadawi1

28 Jul

https://twitter.com/FerasKilaniBBC/status/1420439738100731911

Spot on. The Iraqi Resistance Coordination Commission's wording in its latest statement issued today on US "combat troops" withdrawal was carefully ambiguously worded to provide the groups the leeway to (de-) escalate vs. US without rhetorical commitment to either tactic.

https://twitter.com/FerasKilaniBBC/status/1420439738100731911

The IRCC commits to "readiness" to escalate against the US and this is different from commiting to "escalation" as an ultimate strategy and end to itself.

But a group like KSS, a key member of the IRCC, make it clear that their decision is "escalation" rather than mere "readiness". Its commander Abu Ala says: "The resistance's operations continue till the occupier is forced to withdraw in a servile way".

Read 5 tweets

Tamer Badawi تامر بدوي

@TamerBadawi1

28 Jun

Who speaks 1st on behalf of the PMF/Iraqi resistance casualties after US airstrike(s)?

The Iraqi Resistance Coordination Commission was probably the 1st to condemn US airstrikes, promising revenge (5:19 AM Baghdad). Aim: reflect an early semblance of Iraqi paramilitary unity.

The IRCC recently established a Telegram channel (Sabereen News shared it) and created a logo: a 16 vector-Islamic design may have been chosen to signal the multiplicity of actors involved. The channel and logo come many months after the IRCC 1st appeared in Oct. 2020.

The PMF 14th Brigade Commander's comments on the event were circulated around half an hour after that of the IRCC (5:51 AM - Fariq al-Wilaya). Ahmed al-Magsosi expressed readiness to respond and take revenge, waiting for the orders of the "general command."

Read 9 tweets

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