In the midst of Newcastle becoming the richest club in the world (to the extent that they are 10x richer than the filthy rich Man City), there's been lots of talk about which players the club should sign. This is normal for fans, but the club shouldn't think like this.
THREAD.
In the short-term, the objective is to keep the club in the league, because there's no guarantee they do stay in the league. To maximise their chances they'll need to sign another outlet to complement ASM, and that's with or without Steve Bruce (probably without).
The team is limited in the sense that with Bruce they are only capable of playing a 5-3-2 block due to his managerial deficiencies and this plan is fine and will probably see the team stay up with two high quality outlets up front (ASM, Wilson, new signing) but it’s v. defensive.
The fans’ excitement and belief will demand for more aggressive and exciting football in the short-term, and this is something Bruce cannot offer. His narrow diamond/4-3-3 is nowhere near good enough, but I can't imagine he'll stick around long enough for that to become clear.
So, as is expected anyway, the best decision would be to relieve Steve Bruce of his duties.
Secondly, the club must sign a manager who is capable of playing an aggressive controlled tactic to fulfil the fans' & teams immediate needs. Favre, Rodgers and Gerrard would enable this.
A similar style to Southampton makes sense, which is why I'm surprised that Hasenhuttl hasn't been linked with the job - his style is aggressive but they also play common sense football, which is needed considering the lack of good player quality at Newcastle United Football Club
Southampton play long & challenge for 2nd balls in midfield but also play short & utilise their overload in the build-up if possible. They also (counter)press incredibly aggressively but are also not naive & accept that they will be forced back on occasion. This is what NUFC need
Favre, Gerrard, Hasenhuttl, Dyche and Rodgers will offer this style of football which will see the club easily stay in the league provided they sign another outlet to complement Callum Wilson and Saint-Maximin who are rarely fit together. Outlets are needed to play this way.
So, in the short-term, this will keep the club in the league.
In the medium-long term, the rebuild should be centred around the manager who picks a set philosophy, system and style in which there's a clear set of requirements in the transfer market in the immediate and long-run.
So, for example, when Klopp came to Liverpool he implemented an aggressive pressing tactic but the team lacked lacked directness, pace and runners in behind & were poor defensively, so he signed 3 physical specimens who were necessary upgrades in Mané, Matip & Wijnaldum.
The team elevated in terms of quality but still lacked depth, runners in behind bar Mané, quality in certain areas, & lacked control on games due to a lack of leader profile in defence & competent goalkeeper - clear holes, so Klopp filled them (VVD, Salah, Robbo, Allison).
The rest is history. So, crucially, Klopp had a fixed style and fit players into it - this way he could easily identify where the team struggled. Solskjaer did the same at United - they had a set structure but lacked a leader, quality BTL, etc. So he signed Maguire, Bruno, etc.
And in the midst of plugging those gaps, the likes of Klopp and Solskjaer developed players like Alexander-Arnold, Joe Gomez, Henderson, Lallana, etc, etc, & Greenwood, Shaw, McTominay, etc respectively.
They moulded a squad around their system.
Newcastle must do the same. This is the beginning of their rebuild, and the strategy is really obvious considering the blueprint laid out by other clubs who have undergone a successful rebuild in recent years (Liverpool, United, Bayern with Flick).
Identifying a set system to build around reduces the need for many signings in many positions. Players can also be developed and tested within that tactic throughout the rebuild thanks to their individual development and they have time to grow as the team grows (Greenwood, TAA).
So, let's assume Newcastle hire a strict 4-2-3-1/4-4-2 coach and this is their squad. It's really obvious where they have to improve. They need a top outlet to complement ASM and Wilson, a better leader & technician than Lascelles, a right back, depth at 10, & a top pivot player.
If you replace those holes in the squad & demote the current starters to back ups you have a clear progression in the squad (these are not signings I would make as they're collectively old for a rebuild - they are merely examples). Again, holes become even clearer for next ssn.
People will simply say it's spending money & that's an obvious strategy, & Newcastle would stumble their way to the top with a bad strategy considering how wealthy they are (which is true), but it's about the way you spend money. Every club in the PL has financial power in 2021.
For Newcastle to get to the top as quickly as possible, this is the general template they should use - pick a manager with a top system and understanding of balance etc before identifying qualitative holes in the squad and filling them with suitable profiles. Klopp & Ole did it.
This can be achieved in any system and there are a number of players who would thrive in specific systems as opposed to others (like Willock in the 4-3-3 as opposed to the 4-2-3-1 as it stands), but the general point stands. This can be applied to a 4-3-3, 3-4-3, 4-4-2, whatever.
Overall, the transfer hysteria around what players Newcastle should sign and future potential XI's are illogical because they're yet to appoint their new manager but when they do it's crucial the manager sticks to a set and high quality style and the club builds around that.
City started their rebuild off by signing star names as opposed to signing players for a set style. They learnt their lesson and built top squads for Mancini/Pep/Pellegrini, but the success was delayed.
NUFC shouldn't make the same error, especially in an uber-competitive PL.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
A criticism attributed towards managers such as Solskjaer and Arteta at the beginning of their rebuilds at their respective clubs centered around the fact that 'smaller' teams played more attractive and dangerous football than them, but this line of thinking is linear.
THREAD.
Firstly, these super clubs get managed and judged under a microscopic lens on a weekly basis by the fans and media. Mid-table teams quite simply don't receive that level of scrutiny from the masses.
For example, Brentford beat West Ham away on the weekend and I didn't see anything about it on social media apart from Brentford praise. if that was Arsenal or Manchester United, we'd never hear the end of it and fans would be calling for the managers head.
Arteta is a phenomenal tactician but Arsenal having just over 40% of the ball against Brighton is not good enough. Below, I analyse his flawed tactics against 3 at the back teams and why Arsenal cannot keep the ball in those games before ultimately getting dominated.
THREAD.
Interestingly, Arsenal had 71% of the ball after the first 10 minutes - they didn't just play out from the back - they partook in a combination of both direct and short play and were successful with both thanks to their good technical quality and Ramsdale's long kicking.
Ramsdale's kicking enabled Arsenal to win second balls in areas deep in Brighton's, which is good. This is a position of control and strength for Arsenal because they're winning the ball back high as opposed to losing it in their own third and being forced to recover.
Liverpool are a special team who are massively going under the radar. They are easily the most complete team in the world. I picked them to win the league at the start of the year because of this, but I think they're owed credit that they're not receciving at this time.
THREAD.
If you block space in a deeper block, they’ll sustain pressure & find a way through. If you press high they’ll pick you off in transition. If you play out from the back they’ll press you off the park. If you go long they’ll dominate duels & exploit you in transition.
Liverpool can kill every team in every way possible. They have one of the most well-drilled and unique presses in world football within Klopp's revolutionary, never-seen-before, narrow 4-3-3 off-ball high press. It doesn't matter how good you are, good luck playing out of this.
Solskjaer should've forced Pogba out. He's too big of a character to leave out and causes this team massive balance issues. He doesn't work hard enough and doesn't produce sufficient output or work ethic in the front four. He's also careless on the ball - Utd need a balancer.
Put a Gini Wijnaldum or a Kovacic or any sort of positionally disciplined player into United's pivot alongside McTominay within Solskjaer's standard 4-2-3-1 which is balanced on and off the ball and they're capable of winning the league. They already have the attackers.
Pogba, on the other hand, is the opposite of that. The complete opposite. He also doesn't work hard enough in the front four and doesn't produce sufficient output. He kills this team, but it's Solskjaer's fault for keeping him and forcing all the stars into this horrid 4-3-3.
Solskjaer's conservative positioning of the fullbacks within this 4-3-3 is very much so similar to the way City set up, and it enables 5 players to be behind the ball in defensive transition which is good. However, the spacing of the players isn't good. The midfield is empty.
Players have to defend in isolation as opposed to together in a cohesive unit because the spacing of the players doesn't enable them to be in close proximity. It's a 4-1 shape in which there's large spaces either side of McTominay. A 3-2 or even a 2-2 shape is more balanced.
Again, in possession, they miss their overload in the build-up as the players are further spread apart (only 1 player in the pivot), so they're more easily pressed. Pressing wise hasn't been amazing either with man-marking in MF but the fullbacks haven't supported the wingers.
PSG will always concede possession against better pressing teams because they quite simply don't press in settled situations with any reliability, structure or intensity due to the nature of Mbappé, Neymar & Messi so Poch needs to make sure their low block is as compact as can be
He's not achieving that with this 4-3 defensive shape. It's far too susceptible to switches of play. However, just as importantly, a 3-4-3 for example would combat that issue whilst also creating an overload in the build-up AND getting Neymar, Messi & Mbappe closer together.
Within a 3-4-3 PSG would have a bigger overload in the build-up combined with players in closer proximity within the build-up & the front 3 closer together. As such, they could use their technical level to play out more often & more successfully - this way they could press more!