And once again the myth is starting to take root that it was the aggressiveness of Frost's speech that made the EU move.
That is not really possible, because by the time the speech was leaked the proposals were written. But if it makes you happy and enables a compromise...
And yes, those who read the tweet as only commenting on the Frost speech are correct (some have a very peculiar reading, I must say). The topic "do threats work in negotiations" is vastly more complex and cannot be dismissed in a tweet.
However, what we CAN say is that the real influencers of what's currently on the table are neither Com nor HMG. It's - from everything we know - NI business. They lobbied diligently and their impact seems to have been enormous.

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More from @hhesterm

13 Oct
Quick thread with links to EU proposals.
1) Q&A overview…
2) Governance (or stakeholder engagement)…
Read 9 tweets
28 Sep
What I learned from twitter today about the driver shortage: the statistics of which country lacks how many drivers are all problematic. Why?
Because the implication of that number is unclear. Poland, for example, lacks far more drivers than the UK. But the reason is that Poland is a market for drivers servicing logistics all over the EU.
Cross-border delivery of services and cabotage have a significant impact on the reality of EU trucking that is poorly represented by "X drivers are missing".
Read 5 tweets
28 Sep
The capacity to correct mistakes. A Brexit tragedy in 3 acts. (Thread)
Act 1: The realization that the EU is slow in correcting mistakes. Motivating some people to say we need to leave the EU.
To build a majority, those who simply don't want to be in the EU and those who have such abstract considerations are insufficient. Promises are made. Consequences talked down.
Read 8 tweets
23 Sep
I fear I profoundly disagree with Andrew in this regard. Leaving for the sake of leaving as @iainmartin1 expresses here is entirely legitimate - and we would be better of if people had been frank and open about this. Let me explain this point of view (thread)
@iainmartin1 But I do not want to explain this in terms of Brexit, but in terms of Switzerland (yes, I did that once years ago, but it‘s worthwhile to recall that). So here we go: Switzerland is a great country. Richer than we are. And many would say more democratic than many /2
However, I do not want to be part of Switzerland. Personally I do not get the Swiss type of democracy, I cannot emotionally relate to the magic formula at all and would not call Switzerland more democratic. But it‘s the Swiss way and that‘s fine with me from the outside. /3
Read 9 tweets
22 Sep
Quick note on joining USMCA: there's no accession clause that I know of. So it would require negotiations with the US, Mexico and Canada. /1
An accession clause would regulate accession, but the parties to a treaty are free to change it anyway. /2
I assume the idea is that acceding to an existing treaty would be easier because there are terms already. However, it is not clear WE like those term. Nor that the others like them for us. A reminder: the UK economy is roughly as large as the Canadian and Mexican combined.
Read 5 tweets
18 Sep
A Spiegel report explains why France is so angry: France thinks it has been intentionally misled for months. 15 days ago the French and Australian defence and foreign ministers stressed jointly the importance of the French sub deal in a press release /1
Le Monde reported that after rumours emerged French diplomats tried to get a hold of someone on the US side since the beginning of the week but could only speak with the assistant nat sec adviser of the us Wednesday afternoon, after they received notice on Wednesday morning. /2
Read 6 tweets

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