Much as I hate to disagree with @FraserNelson et al, I think young people not being able to afford their own homes is a teensy weensy bit more of a factor…
See eg this US research which shows a pretty clear correlation between house prices and fertility rates…
People like to wait to have kids until they have a home of their own. If they can't get a home of their own, they delay becoming parents - sometimes permanently.
A bit odd to take the polling on 'climate anxiety' as a given but not mention housing literally anywhere in the piece.

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More from @rcolvile

12 Oct
The latest job stats from the @ONS are extraordinary (and revealing re shortages). Employment now back above its pre-crisis peak - but still a record surge in vacancies too (above average in every single sector).
Obviously this is causing dislocation but it's worth repeating the fundamental point that if you'd told the people at the start of the pandemic that our big problem now would be too many empty jobs they'd have bitten your hand off - after they'd stopped laughing.
Full data here…. And there's also interesting regional data today too - London has suffered the most but has been rebounding fastest in recent months...…
Read 4 tweets
8 Oct
My desires are unconventional
(I mean I'm happy for us to consecrate stuff to nature but it would be great if we could build some effing homes too.)
(Land use stats from here - England-only. Rest of UK is even emptier.)…
Read 4 tweets
8 Oct
Just digging into recent @yougov polling and found a fascinating reproof to Boris's conference speech - even Tory voters want more housing built! (second column)
It's true that the numbers fall when you change the question to 'in my local area', but it is still a majority - and much, much tighter among Tory voters than you would expect from the rampant Nimbyism on stage.
(Anecdotal side note: it is worth flagging that the true blue activist crowd at our @CPSThinkTank fringe meeting with @jacob_rees_mogg went near-unanimously for more housebuilding when he asked for a voice vote.)
Read 6 tweets
4 Oct
Another big day in the @CPSThinkTank Theatre at #cpc21 - at 11am I’ll be asking how SMEs can fix the housing shortage with @EddieHughes4WN and others. Then at 1230 we’ve got @FrankLuntz & @GoodwinMJ in conversation with @JohnAshmore.
Then we’re asking how clean free trade can help the planet (1400), launching our Road to Net Zero series with @aviva (and @andrealeadsom, @BenHouchen and @FrankLuntz) at 1530, and bridging the digital divide with @mattwarman & Patricia Hewitt at 1700.
Finally, I’m in conversation with Foreign Secretary @trussliz at 1830. Join us for any/all of the above - full details at
Read 4 tweets
3 Oct
If you're at #cpc21, make sure you get into the secure zone in time for our blockbuster opening panel - @FrankLuntz, @SirGrahamBrady, @KateAndrs, Michael Spencer & me on the state and future of conservatism. 1400 in @CPSThinkTank Theatre by the main stage…
After that at 1530 we've got four of the Tories' brightest young MPs to explain/explore what levelling up means, with @alysdenby of @CapX - @DehennaDavison, @BimAfolami, @alex_stafford & @garethdavies_MP
Followed at 1700 by the great @theresecoffey with @jameskirkup, @JamesHeywood & Gavin Rice of @csjthinktank on the Tory agenda for welfare. All welcome! (There may even be free stuff.)
Read 5 tweets
29 Sep
Right. Keir needed a good speech - and that was a good speech! Or at least, it was a good speech that was unfortunately followed by a longer, much duller and far more muddled speech.
But it also leaves us sort of where we were (as these speeches always do). If you were keen on Starmer but worried about his party, you still are (which is why I think those heckles do actually hurt, even though he dealt with them well).
If you think Starmer is a good administrator but worry about his political antennae, the failure to chop much of the second half (where the crowd basically went into a coma) probably reinforces that.
Read 4 tweets

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