The 43K false negative test error is not minor. If you consider an R=1 & even 1 generation of infection (likely more, considering the 35 day period over which errors occurred), it's likely that >43,000 more people got infected which means a significant no of avoidable deaths.🧵
It's not enough to say 'people will be notified but site names won't be released'. This is a huge issue- there needs to be transparency with the public & we need to know numbers underestimated in different regions so we can correct regional trends.
We also need urgent transparency on where the 43,000 figure comes from. How do we know the extent of the problem, and how sure are we that this doesn't extend back further, or more samples were not affected? There needs to be an urgent independent enquiry.
It is not sufficient for members of the UKHSA to lead this enquiry. There is little public trust in these organisations currently - for good reason. There needs to be independent assessment of how this happened- including awarding a contract to this lab, to restore public trust.
Any inquiry must look at the onward impact of missing 43K cases - how much more transmission did this lead to over the period this was missed. How many hospitalisations. How many deaths? How many completely preventable cases of long COVID? Why did it take so long to detect?
When an error costs lives, you need to do more than say it's been rectified because we've notified people. That's simply not enough, when the error has no doubt cost lives.
How exactly will the UKHSA determine false negatives. What about PCR tests that didn't have comparable LFDs? Does the lab have samples going back 35 days that can be re-tested? Can we get clarity on this - hard to have trust in a process that isn't being conducted transparently.
Concerned at the lack of understanding of basic public health principles. Let me correct this.
"We are asking asymptomatic children to test, so we can detect infection before it spreads to others, so we can keep children & families safe & not fuel transmission in schools"
Most transmission happens at the pre-symptomatic stage, and many children are asymptomatic. They have the same virus levels and replicable virus as those who are symptomatic, and can transmit. It's mass superspreading in schools that causes absenteeism, not protective measures.
Having mass transmission in schools is far from harmless. Why aren't you advocating for urgent mitigations + vaccination of children, rather than pushing for misinformed policies that are likely to expose even more children to the impact of COVID-19
Interesting paper out in JID examining viral load, and viral replication in <=21 yr old children with COVID-19 in the US. TL;DR
-viral loads & virus replicability do not vary by age
-highest viral load 0-2 days after symptoms
-asymptomatic children are likely infectious too!
🧵
We often hear that children are possibly less susceptible to infection than adults, and that older children are more susceptible than younger children. Much of the evidence around this is based on flawed studies that relied on symptom-based testing.
Younger children are more likely to be asymptomatic and missed on routine testing, which is reliant on children developing symptoms, and being tested. This study compares virus loads across age groups - and among asymptomatic and symptomatic children, and mild and severe illness.
This piece says CMOs are not considering a 2nd dose for children until Spring! If true, this means 6 months of partial/waning protection in children, for a vaccine we know needs at least 3-doses to provide continuing protection. Where's the evidence? bbc.co.uk/news/education…
1 in 12 adolescents have infection now. They could've been vaccinated. Hospitalisations are rising in children, while we ignore all international evidence. At the very least we deserve to know why these decisions are being made - out of line with policy across the globe?
We need transparency right now. When all evidence points to overwhelming benefit of 2-dose vaccination in children, why are our kids being left unprotected, while SARS-CoV-2 is allowed to rip through schools leaving thousands with long COVID & preventable fatalities in children.
Please report the fake account below impersonating @DrNeenaJha
The fake account is @DrNeenaJha_ (underscore at the end). Please note that this account has been pfishing for personal information through DMs by impersonating Dr. Jha. Please do not provide personal info to it.
Please be careful- there have been a few accounts impersonating scientists/doctors. I've had one impersonating me recently. Please check the name of the account, and followers to confirm it's the person you think it is, if you're contacted on DM.
Can @metpoliceuk look into this please? This is a person impersonating a doctor, and trying to obtain personal information.
So, it appears that the private lab which wrongly gave out 43,000 PCR negative results was Immensa, a company with no experience of PCR tested awarded a £119 million contract after only being in existence for 4 months. Corruption costs lives.
Guardian article showing the lab was run by Immensa Health Ltd, the same company mentioned in the Byline Times article above. I'm thoroughly sickened to the core by our government right now:
This gets worse - so the founder of Immensa health is also the founder of Dante labs, now under investigation by the CMA for breaking the law with COVID PCR testing
No. A single intervention that reduces *infection* and transmission by 70%-80% is *highly effective*, even if the protection wanes over time. How can someone in JCVI say vaccines reduce transmission 'poorly'? Vaccines + mitigations are the most effective tools.
Sadly this is down to decisions made by JCVI, and rhetoric put out suggesting it's ok for children to get infected rather than vaccinated. This will have tragic consequences for many families: bbc.co.uk/news/uk-englan…