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Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
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19 Oct, 10 tweets, 3 min read
No, seriously, what's causing the supply chain chaos?

So far, I've heard:
-Chinese ports closing randomly
-Lack of containers
-Port workers soft strike
-Lack of truck drivers
-Demand surge

Can it be a bit of everything? Or is the plurality of explanations obscuring sth deeper?
Put this one in the "welcome to complex systems" column.
More material than you ever could have bargained for.
Honestly this sounds a lot more explanatory to me than many of the other ones...
I sure hope they unclog the bus driver supply chain at least. Humans should not be kept in containers for too long. king5.com/article/news/e…
Somehow I'm reminded of what Elon has been saying about money being a messenger for human time allocation, and suddenly a bunch of stuff makes sense.
Oh wow, notice the date on this tweet...
Y'all are brilliant minds and having the ability to ask you questions is almost too much power for one mortal to hold in his thumbs.
GATOR KNEW IT ALL ALONG
Returning to our regularly scheduled content, @JBSay also knew it all along..

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More from @alexandrosM

Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
20 Oct
Why don't we have a delta-targeting vaccine available right now? I thought the promise of mrna tech was that it would be quick to adapt to variants?

I'll tell you the hypotheses I know of, you tell me yours.
Hypothesis 1. Regulation makes it difficult to push through a new variant vaccine.
Hypothesis 2. The iPhone effect: if people know a new vaccine is coming, they might hold off taking the existing one
Read 14 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
19 Oct
How many lies can one tweet contain? Let's see:
1. Tesla gets its cobalt from Canada, known hotbed of slavery
2. But cobalt is fungible, so their batteries use as little as possible, and their new ones don't use any of it (see LFP)
3. "Family wealth questionably obtained" is of course repeating the fake emerald mine BS. See:
Start here:
Read 8 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
19 Oct
Elon Musk explains the supply chain crisis before it happened: What happens when you suddenly dump a bunch of noise (printed money) into the information mechanism for labor allocation?
Read 5 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
18 Oct
I've been hinting in various conversations about a distributed news aggregator design I've been sitting on for about a decade or so. I'll describe it here so I have somewhere to point to, for feedback, and if I never get a chance to build it, maybe it will inspire someone else.🧵
My quest begun with writing this paper back in 2009. We didn't know about the bitcoin white paper that had gotten released a months earlier, but we sketched out several pieces of what came out of the crypto ecosystem over the next dozen years. arxiv.org/abs/0907.2485
The obvious weakness was governance in the human layer. So long as moderation of any community can't be distributed, all the distributed infrastructure in the world won't help you when your Admins with God Powers get subjected to rubber hose cryptanalysis. h-i-r.net/2009/02/rubber…
Read 31 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
17 Oct
Ok people, let's crowdsource it -

Fact check this article:
I started off one on the TOGETHER trial being mischaracterized:
And @mmpaquette did another pair on ivmmeta -
Read 14 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
17 Oct
A preliminary analysis we did.
A few details that are worth mentioning:

1. This was done as a response to *someone* claiming that there was no temporal relationship between vaccination and adverse events
2. We have removed j&j as it's single shot
3. The data is up to a cutoff date I will try to find precisely
4. There is about 15% more dose 1s administered, but the delta is closer to 50%.
5. As always, this is VAERS data and therefore not necessarily causal
6. That said, comparing dose 1 to dose 2 is a VAERS to VAERS comparison, so hard to know why there would be such a difference
Read 11 tweets

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