I used to think China's "internal" societal contradictions were far greater than those of the US, even as recently as early 2020.

Now? I see Chinese society as basically functioning, though of course factitious as any large, diverse society is.

The US on the other hand...
The US is undergoing societal Brazilification, with the correspondingly horrible econ and pol effects to follow.

1) Highly stratified and elaborate racial caste system
2) Favela-ization of the US housing and residential RE market
3) Totally polarized Left/Right pol parties
The US is becoming less "Western" and more "American", IMO.
@camilomgn what say you as a Peruvian/LATAM observer?

Interested in a LATAM take on the US' future.

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More from @blob_watcher

20 Oct
One of the larger and most important macro stories of recent economic history, is how the big three Anglo manufacturing powers, the UK, Canada, and now the US, have experienced declines in their manufacturing sector since the end of WWII.
The UK's world leadership in manufacturing and subsequent 20thC decline, sometimes being intentionally accelerated as a result of policy, is well known.

CAN has also experienced a decline since peak WWII days.

This quick and dirty Wiki summary of CAN is remarkable.
Finally, you have the most complex case, the US.

The US surpassed the UK in the late 19thC as the world's premier manufacturer, and even today still dominates ultra high value added goods. But that advantage is slipping away largely due to one factor: Chinese competitiveness.
Read 6 tweets
20 Aug
She’s replying to a news story about China, but honestly, I hope you can see why the US spent so much time promoting women’s rights and new gender identities to Afghans: there is a huge Western elite constituency that demands the normalization of these New Age type ideologies.
She seems to be saying that Xi Jinping should be a Western liberal and encourage the boy to instead wear dresses and be a girl. And the girl should be lesbian.
I was a strong supporter of gay rights and marriage beginning all the way back in the early/mid 2000’s when it was somewhat unpopular to do so, but honestly, the sanctification of non-trad life by the New Age Western world is so cringe.
Read 5 tweets
19 Aug
Pretty obvious that Biden misspoke.

This goes to my point the other day about how PRC diplomats understand US foreign policy better than USG officials themselves, who stutter and babble when asked to explain a specific policy, especially as it relates to TW.
The fact that OP and the commentators in the comments and retweets are taking this seriously just shows you how little even Americans understand their own nation's political processes and dynamics.

No wonder they get surprised so often.
The USG just clarified. I was right.

I should honestly charge for my sage analysis. A one man political consultancy.

reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
Read 4 tweets
19 Aug
By @nise_yoshimi. What a 🔥 summary of modern Anglo capitalism.

So much of the US' modern politics and problems, both domestic and foreign, are downstream of its reliance on finance and immigration to fuel the capitalist beast at home, and dominate and subvert the world abroad.
I think there is a direct line the from post-1965 INA to modern US identity controversies (eg wokeness).

The US was almost 90% white as late as the ‘70s, with blacks as the US’ literal only minority.
Non-Western migrants were essentially non-existent until 1965, small sprinklings of say, Mexicans or Japanese aside.

And the US essentially had no large scale inward immigration for large parts of its history like 1925-1965.
Read 13 tweets
19 Aug
On 9/21/01, Afghan senior clerics recommended to the Afghan Taliban government under Mohammed Omar, that they should tell UBL to leave Afghanistan for his role in planning 9/11.

They offered condolences, too, for the victims of 9/11.

nytimes.com/2001/09/21/wor…
The Taliban government ignored the advice and played dumb, beating around the bush and refusing to hand UBL over immediately to the US.

The rest, as the saying goes, is history.
This is the first time I’m learning about this.

I think contrition and a handover of UBL by the Taliban, if they had chosen to give it, would still not have been enough to satisfy America’s desire for revenge.
Read 4 tweets
18 Aug
To all the non-Western countries who are welfare recipients of Western aid, including larger states like Pakistan:

Do you literally feel no shame?
One of the most fundamental pillars of international politics is the Golden Rule.

No, not treat others the way you want to be treated, I’m talking about the real Golden Rule: He who has the most gold, rules.
This thought was prompted by reading all these pieces on how all these countries are just propped up by Western aid and support. Artificial countries.

Afghanistan is the least of this sorry league.
Read 4 tweets

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