Thread by @therealarod1984

10/19 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Continued declines
* Combined Pos% is 6.87% as of 10/9
* Cases 7DMA nearing 4000
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 7.81%, census below 5000, down 64% from 8/25
* This wave least fatal of the 3 C19 waves

1/n
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https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1449072763537436672

10/19 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 10/9 at 6.87%
* Testing peak 9/13 @ 1.12 million tests a week. Testing as of 10/9 is @ 713K per week
* Positive Tests 7DMA nearing 7K per day
* Covidestim Rt jumps to 0.91 but mostly based on odd testing/fatality graph

2/n
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10/19 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/19 7DMA is 4,055, down 73% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 24% Week over week

3/n
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10/19 Hospitalizations

* Single Day Peak was 8/25- 13932
* Current census is 4953, lowest since 7/25
* 7DMA declining at a rate of 19.5% week over week
* % of beds tagged as Covid 8.54%. Peak was 21.88% on 8/30
* ICU beds in use lowest since 7/30

4/n
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10/19 - Hosp Covid Admits

* 7DMA of 535
* Statewide Admits down 70% from their peak on 8/23
* Statewide Admits 7DMA Rate of Decline of 21.4% Week over Week
* TMC Admits also declining strongly, 25% WoW
* Hospitalizations will continue to decline rapidly

5/n
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10/19 Fatalities

* Summer 2021 wave is 16% less fatal per hospitalization than the previous 2 waves through Day 100.
* Summer 2021 CFR is 19% less Summer 2020 CFR
* Day 1-100 for each wave
* 5/20/20 - 8/27/20
* 10/5/20 - 1/12/21
* 6/20/21 - 9/27/21

6/n
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10/19 Conclusion

Declines will continue for the next 7-10 days at a minimum.

7/end