Daniel Profile picture
21 Oct, 11 tweets, 4 min read
There are a lot of things that you can do to become a better investor.

But there is one thing so powerful that it alone can change your look on investments forever.

Every successful investor in history made use of this.

And forever and history are already a good start.
The one thing that you always need to know before you invest in anything is how long you’ll hold the asset.

Sounds simple but carries a lot of weight.

Your holding period defines your expectations and your actions.
A good investment is not necessarily bound to its holding period.

But it is bound to your expected holding period.

Example:
If you buy a company that you view as undervalued, you might expect the market to realize its mistake in six months.

What if that doesn’t happen?
Do you keep the stock, or do you admit you made a mistake and sell?

Your expected holding period decides whether you’ll recognize your mistakes or hold on and even double down on them.

Either way, it forces you to reevaluate your investment thesis.
Holding periods also make you realize „what you are“ in the first place.

Spending money in the hopes of making more isn’t investing.
It’s speculating.

Having a thesis, a plan, expectations, and facts are what makes it an investment.
If you realize that you buy and sell assets pretty quickly, you might want to redefine what you are. Investor or speculator.

There is no right or wrong per se.
(Although I prefer investing)

But knowing what you’re actually doing is crucial for success.
Last but not least, the „forever mindset.“

One question that changed my view on investments entirely is the following question?

Would you like to own this business forever?

This question alone removes all forms of short-sighted thinking.
Stock prices don’t matter anymore; short-term problems don’t matter anymore.

All you need to know is how the business is set up.

Is it chasing short term goals or does it prepare for the future?
Is its competitive advantage strong enough to remain for decades?
Those questions will come up.

And answering those makes you find the real gems out there.
If you find the time to read this, thanks a lot.
I hope it was worth it 😅

If it was, how about making others see it too.

Just Retweet the first tweet of this Thread.

For more content about investing and finance, follow me @MnkeDaniel
What do you guys think about this, and what is your investment horizon?

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@DennisHong17
@10kdiver
@natstewart5
@TomGardnerFool
@heymaxkoh
@BRK_Student
@daniel_toloko
@Ajitshah73
@GSpier

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More from @MnkeDaniel

18 Oct
There’s an article about the best investors in the world, written by the best investor of all time.

“The Superinvestors of Graham and Doddsville.“
Written by Warren Buffett

In it, he explains how and why these Superinvestors beat the market year over year for decades.
The article was written in 1984.
A time in which the efficient market theory was dominant.

Economic professors were certain that everyone who beats the market over the long term is just lucky.

Buffett disagrees and makes his case by explaining the best investors in the world.
The Coin Flipping Contest

Buffet uses a metaphor of a coin-flipping contest

The rules:

- Every American (225m in 1984) bets on themselves in a coin flip
- Everyone bets $1
- If you lose, you’re out
- If you win, you continue playing the next day betting the money you won
Read 14 tweets
11 Oct
I’ve thought a lot about what makes a successful investor in the last couple of days.

“I actually think there’s a gene for this stuff (Investing).”
- Seth Klarman

Here are 7 Traits that I believe successful investors have 👇🏼
Risk Avoidance

Investing is not about taking risks.
It’s about limiting risks.

Successful investors do not focus on the upside. They focus on the downside.

They ask:
What could I lose in the worst-case scenario?

Instead of,
What could I win in the best-case scenario?
A Desire for Truth

You only lose an argument if you're not smarter than before.

You shouldn’t care if your initial argument is right or wrong, what matters is that you know the truth afterwards.
Read 12 tweets
30 Sep
Howard Marks Memos from 1996-2000

The Key Learnings Summarized in 1 to 2 Tweets each.

Here we Go 👇🏼
1996 - Will it be different this Time

“There is no natural law that says we have to have a recession.”

Whenever things go well, there is the narrative of a paradigm change.

This time it’s different because *insert reason*
In the end, history has always shown us that markets are cyclical.

What comes, eventually goes, and the other way around.

As long as humans are in the markets, this won’t change.

The main reason for cycles is human nature.
Read 16 tweets
26 Sep
Nick Sleep’s Investing Approach based on his Nomad Letters from 2001-2014

13 Years of Nick Sleep’s Investment Philosophy summarized in 13 Tweets.

Here we Go 👇🏼
1. Long-Term Focus

Wall Street means noise. Quarterly estimates are the primary focus of most investors.

To succeed in investing, you need to ignore that noise.

Long-term investors focus on the destination, not the latest earnings report.
2. Patience

Investing requires patience.

Sometimes opportunities are scarce. It’s better not to invest than to lower your standards.

Agreeing with Seth Klarman, being always invested is not important to Nick Sleep.
Read 13 tweets
21 Sep
Howard Marks Memos from 1990-1995

The Key Learnings Summarized in 1 to 2 Tweets each.

Here we Go 👇🏼
1990 - Route to Performance

The absence of disaster is the best foundation for above-average long term performance.

Hence, aiming for “a little better” than average is more likely to succeed than aiming for top-decile returns.
$10,000 invested for 20 years at a 10% interest rate would turn into $67,000

A 12% interest rate would turn the money into $97,000.

And the longer the time horizon, the larger the gap.

All you need, is a little better.
Read 18 tweets
18 Sep
99% of investors do not beat the market.

They don't fail because they aren't intelligent enough.
They fail because they repeat simple mistakes over and over.

Lately, I've spent a lot of time studying standard stupidities.
Here are the most common ones 👇🏼
1. Too Little Risk-Aversion

For a variety of reasons, investors decide they have to take more risks.

Whether it is by joining in on hyped stocks, crypto, or by leveraging their investments.

No one ever got broke by avoiding risk.
But many got rich by doing so.
2. Lowering your Standards

As said above, investors often feel pressured to suddenly change their investing approach.

“The paradigm has changed”
Surprise: It has not!

Value Investing rules work; they do now and will continue to do so.

Stick with those timeless principles.
Read 9 tweets

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