ALERT: NWS Reno is now predicting higher rainfall totals than any weather event in at least 20 years. Now is the time to finish clearing your gutters and drainage area, and finalize your plans to evacuate, esp if you live in or near a burn scar like the #CaldorFire. Details here:
Light to moderate rain is slowly spreading over the #CaldorFire area now and will be widespread by mid morning. Saturday may see somewhat lighter showers, with the main weather event beginning early Sun. Twin Bridges will wake up to a steady rain Sun AM, increasing in...
...intensity throughout the day. Snow levels are likely to remain above 10k ft through Sunday evening. Throughout Sun, expect heavy (possibly historic) rain below 10k, heavy snow above, gusts of 35 mph in valleys/up to 80 mph at ridges. Main threat across #CaldorFire area...
...will be fire-weakened trees falling, flash flooding (primarily smaller creeks), and debris flow across El Dorado County where burn scars are the most significant. Remember, crews working the #CaldorFire have only just begun repair work in many areas and many hazard trees...
...have yet to be brought down. Overnight into Mon AM snow levels will begin to fall, eventually to 5k feet Mon night. However, the majority of precip will already have fallen by then. Current predictions call for 2+ ft of snow above 9k, 1 ft above 7k, and...
#CaldorFire
#CaldorFire
...2-3 inches in Tahoe Basin. That said, there is model uncertainty in terms of exactly when the snow levels will come down so these numbers may be revised. Regardless, the main story across the #CaldorFire are will be the several inches of rain, particularly...
...given how fresh these burn scars are. Power outages, mud and debris flows, flash flooding, and tree falls will be a threat well into Monday night. A few quick notes before I wrap: In the next 24-48 hours many folks will be sharing weather predictions across the #CaldorFire...
...area from a variety of sources, many of whom are weather experts. All will have slight variations in storm totals and intensities until we get closer to the arrival of the main event. Personally, I will be focusing on info from @NWSReno and their discussion boards. There...
...r many other sources that are just as valid and trustworthy. Feel free to share that info here as well. Again, clean your gutters and drainages, prep ur generators (and go over safe operation), and review your evac plan JIC. Be safe and prepared, not panicked. ~J
#CaldorFire
#CaldorFire
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