READING: Herbert Hoover's View of the Issues in the Campaign of 1928 (Herbert Hoover vs. Al Smith), by @delong braddelong.substack.com/p/reading-herb…

Herbert Hoover published his memoirs in 1952. So perhaps there is some retrospective rightward drift in his recollections of what he... 1/
... thought back in 1928—but only some: he did give the anti-collectivist speech that he quotes at length here.

And yet Al Smith’s pre-Great Depression Democratic Party was not at all a “collectivist” party. As Hoover points out, it was the Bourbon aristocracy of the... 2/
...South combined with the urban machines and with agrarian, consumer, and labor anti-monopolist groups. Labor unions and consumer and farming cooperatives were as far as they went toward “collectivism”. The socialists of the day were Eugene V. Debs—Robert La Follette—... 3/
...Norman Thomas. Not John Dewey.

And I do have to point out that Hoover’s dismissal of the claim that he “was supposed to have robbed a Chinaman” plays fast and loose with the reality. Hoover could never decide whether his line was that Kaiping mine General Manager Chang... 4/
...Yenmao was a thief whom Hoover had rightfully displaced from his position, or whether he, Hoover, had done his best in cooperation with Chang Yenmao and the two of them had then been double-crossed by Hoover’s Belgian-British partners. In any event, the Belgian-British... 5/
...syndicate (and Hoover!) wound up putting no money into the enterprise and yet reaping a 62.5% ownership share, while the previous equity holders who had held 100% before the restructuring wound up with only 32.5%. Nice work I you can get it... 6/
...Let me give the mic to Hoover: braddelong.substack.com/p/reading-herb… 7/END

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More from @delong

22 Oct
READING: Winston S. Churchill on Leon Trotsky, by @delong braddelong.substack.com/p/reading-wins…

From 1937, from Winston Churchill's book _Great Contemporaries_:

"When the usurper and tyrant is reduced to literary controversy, when the Communist instead of bombs produces effusions for... 1/
... the capitalist Press, when the refugee War Lord fights his battles over again, and the discharged executioner becomes chatty and garrulous at his fireside, we may rejoice in the signs that better days are come.

I have before me an article that Leon Trotsky alias... 2/
...Bronstein1 has recently contributed to John o’ London’s Weekly2 in which he deals with my descriptions of Lenin, with the Allied Intervention in Russia, with Lord Birkenhead and other suggestive topics. He has written this article from his exile in Turkey while... 3/
Read 6 tweets
20 Oct
PODCAST: “Hexapodia” Is þe Key Insight XXIX: Þe Swedish Central Bank Prize in Honor of Alfred Nobel Podcast, by @delong braddelong.substack.com/p/podcast-hexa…

Key Insights: Paul Feyerabend was right—science is whatever scientists do: anything goes. But what healthy sciences that... 1/
...survive and flourish and good scientists do is put first and foremost discovering what actually is and making theories to understand reality. So Kuhn and Popper are also right.

2. Economics has not been much of a science. But this Card, Angrist, Imbens—and Krueger—... 2/
...Nobel Prize marks a very big possible improvement in this respect.

3. Keep at it! Keep doing your work no matter the brickbats, and you may, someday, look back and recognize that you have changed the world.

4. Pets are good: they drive you to “become the person your... 3/
Read 4 tweets
19 Oct
equitablegrowth.org/brad-delong-wo…

Worthy reads from Equitable Growth: (1) Our Expert Focus series this month tells you why you should be paying attention to the extremely sharp Francisca Antman, Mónica... 1/
... García-Pérez, Mark Hugo López, G. Cristina Mora, and Eileen V. Segarra Alméstica. Read Aixa Alemán-Díaz, Christian Edlagan, and Maria Monroe, “Expert Focus: Latino leaders in economics and a call for more data & research about Latinos and Hi... <equitablegrowth.org/expert-focus-l…>... 2/
...(2) I remember, long ago, the wise Federal Reserve staffer David Wilcox telling me that he had realized that nowcasting was both the most difficult and most important part of his job. This looks to be an excellent forthcoming event on the current state-of-the-art... 3/
Read 16 tweets
17 Oct
braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note…

First: How was it that really-existing socialist China was able to successfully “step away from the plan”, while really-existing socialist Russia was not? It remains a deep, deep historical mystery—to me at least:

Adam Tooze: How China Avoided... 1/
...Soviet-Style Collapse <noemamag.com/how-china-avoi…>... 2/
...One Video: Group of Thirty: G30 36th Annual International Banking Seminar: ‘The Group of Thirty was pleased to host its premiere annual event, the International Banking Seminar, on Sunday, October 17 from 9:00am–11:30am US EDT… <>... 3/
Read 10 tweets
12 Oct
Lecture Rehearsals: 3.4. World War II, by @delong braddelong.substack.com/p/lecture-rehe…

67:00 total…

3.4.1. Lecture—World War II: Overview: Structures, tides—but also the flaps of butterfly wings and chaos make history. World War II is very much a case of the last of these. Our world... 1/
...today would be very different had World War II not happened as it did. (07:51) Slides: <github.com/braddelong/pub…>

3.4.2. Lecture—World War II Origins: It is astonishing that after World War I anybody wanted to do "world war" again. Yet the Nazi and Imperial Japanese... 2/
... governments were willing to launch wars. And the allies—Poland, Britain, France, Denmark, Norway, Holland, Belgium, Greece, Yugoslavia, the USSR, and the USA were willing to fight to oppose them. (26:38). 3.4.3. Lecture—Blitzkrieg: World War I was profoundly shaped... 3/
Read 6 tweets
10 Oct
@dandrezner washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/1…

Very nicely done...

I confess that I have had a hard time taking Yale's Grand Strategy program seriously since I found, in the intro to Gaddis's _On Grand Strategy_, that among the "practitioners" of grand strategy he boasts of bringing... 1/
...into the program are... Peggy Noonan, and David Brooks.

As I had always understood it, tactics was "how do you win on the battlefield?"; operations was "how do you get your people to the battlefield?"; strategy was "how do you choose the right battlefield?"; & grand... 2.
...strategy was "step back: our goal is that the mayor of Strassburg speak German. Should this be our goal? And if it is, what is the best way to make that happen?".

Thus it would not have occurred to me to think that Henry Kissinger was a guy who had much to say about... 3/
Read 4 tweets

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