Defence #estimates on this morning. When will get the first nuclear submarine delivered under AUKUS? By 2040 as the PM has indicated? The head of sub taskforce says that is the "right hand marker" which he wants to "drag left." He wants "at least one boat" in the water by 2040 1/
Are we looking at leasing out US or UK submarines to help fill the gap given the Collins Class subs are coming towards the end of their lives in the 2030s? The head of the Defence Dept Greg Moriarty seems pretty definitive- he says no 2/
Labor's Penny Wong says the Govt is trying to "eke out the last years of an ageing platform" (Collins) in the hope of covering the gap before the nuclear subs theoretically arrive

Wong: "pretty risky don't you reckon?"
Moriarty: "The PM has said this is a high risk program"
3/
Back on this hearing. Wong is asking about these comments from the UK's departing Chief of the Defence Staff that AUKUS "is not designed to be in any way exclusive." Neither CDF or Moriarty seem to know quite what Carter was talking about 4/ abc.net.au/news/2021-10-2…
Marise Payne says there are "no plans" to expand AUKUS itself "at this stage." But also says the partnership is not "exclusive" and "there is plenty of potential for initiatives under AUKUS to naturally intersect with other cooperative relationships" 5/
Some news. Officials say they have dumped the plan to build a large new naval ship to help Pacific nations deal with natural disasters. Instead they will *purchase* the new ship in order to get it into the region more quickly. Some background 👇6/ smh.com.au/politics/feder…
Where is the public announcement on this, asks Wong? There was no public announcement. The Government dumped the plan quietly. Officials say they informed the domestic ship-building industry earlier this year 7/
Payne says circumstances changed. There is already a lot of work going on in Australian shipyards and the Govt wants to get the new vessel into the Pacific next year. Wong says it's a broken promise and starts laying into the Government. People start yelling. Hearing suspended 8/
Looks like Defence flagged this shift at the last estimates on June 1 and provided formal advice to Dutton about a week after that. He clearly ticked off the decision sometime after that 9/ HT @Benfeltondef
It's an intriguing exchange actually. Noonan says the "original proposal" was to purchase (rather than build) a vessel. So - Christopher Pyne dismissed that advice because he wanted a domestic build? Has that fed into the delay? 10/

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More from @stephendziedzic

27 Oct
Right! I'll be live tweeting @dfat #estimates today. There is a Frances Adamson shaped absence in the room, which is quite strange. The new(ish) @dfat Secretary Kathryn Campbell is making her first appearance in the role. Will be interesting to see how she goes 1/
Payne gives an opening statement. First off she hails the new Australia-ASEAN comprehensive strategic partnership, which he calls a "significant milestone." Here's my story on this from earlier this morning 2/ abc.net.au/news/2021-10-2…
Wong is grilling officials about handling of the AUKUS / nuclear subs announcement. Why were the Indonesians briefed so late? She asks senior official Justin Hayhurst what DFAT's advice was. She says she wants to know if their advice was bad or whether it was ignored (ouch) 3/
Read 34 tweets
27 Oct
Scott Morrison addressing ASEAN-Australia summit. Announces Australia will "share at least an additional 10 million COVID-19 vaccines from our domestic supply with ASEAN countries by mid next year" (I assume this will be drawn from 60 mil doses already announced, but checking) 1/
Morrison - "ASEAN members growth underpins regional stability and Australia’s prosperity. Your stability is fundamental to our own. Our health security is inextricably tied to yours" 2/
More details on ASEAN support package I flagged yesterday. It's worth $124 million. Will "fund projects jointly identified by ASEAN + Australia to address complex and emerging challenges" including pandemic recovery, terrorism, energy security 3/
Read 5 tweets
27 Oct
Starting a new thread for those following defence #estimates this afternoon. Wong asks how much Defence is spending on contractors? Officials say they spent $1.873 billion last financial year. That figure has shot up over last few years 1/
Wong raises this study by @ASPI_org which suggests that on average a Defence contractor is being paid a salary of $283,000 - around double the average Defence APS salary of $121,000 2/
Officials say the ASPI calculation is not wrong but it's not entirely fair because it's not a "like for like" comparison. Still they agree that on the whole contractors are more expensive. They give several explanations: for eg, they bring a specialist skillset (eg ICT) 3/
Read 8 tweets
26 Oct
Thread on the Ag Visa and Pacific labour schemes. It's a bit in the weeds, but it's worth digging into the subject because we're talking about - as the Ag Minister David Littleproud says - "the biggest structural reform to the agricultural workforce we have ever seen" 1/
First question. Will the Ag visa provide a pathway to permanent residency? This is what the Agriculture Minister said on Aug 23 - the new visa will "complement" Pacific schemes but "also provide a pathway to permanent residency" 2/ Image
But this is how officials from Home Affairs put it last night at Senate estimates. The Government is "exploring the options" for a pathway to permanent residency. One of these things is not (quite) like the other 3/ Image
Read 15 tweets
25 Oct
Thread. I've spoken to Telstra CEO Andy Penn about the purchase of Digicel. Will get to the China angle. But first, what might it mean for mobile users in the Pacific? Penn is emphasising more continuity than change. No immediate changes to Digicel's business model 1/ Image
Penn says Telstra will focus on improving mobile infrastructure and boosting capacity by laying down more submarine cables - "they are the sort of investments we would look to make ... out of our ongoing business operations" 2/
Might the Australian government back investments like that in the future through further support packages? Penn won't really be drawn, says it's a matter for government. But he also notes the government is keen to support development in the region 3/
Read 4 tweets
11 Oct
Back on this. We're once again in "constantly" land. Not only was @dfat "constantly" monitoring the security situation in Kabul, officials were also "constantly" assessing likely increase in applications from translators etc as Taliban approached Kabul. Not hugely specific 1/
This is more interesting and specific. The CDF says in the months leading up to the fall of Kabul the number of applications from local engaged staff and translators had actually fallen off (of course there was a surge later, as the Taliban approached the gates) 2/
How many Australian citizens/visa holders remain stranded in Afghanistan? DFAT says its "best estimate" is that 129 Australian citizens and 157 permanent residents (who have registered/requested assistance from the Australian Govt) remain in Afghanistan (as of 1 October) 3/
Read 8 tweets

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