We are all looking forward to the remainder of your Budget: Eleanor Laing, deputy speaker Image
Sunak starts by saying he has listened v carefully to the speaker and deputy Image
“Opportunity should not be limited to a wealthy few”
Inflation, labour shortages and high energy prices the product of global forces says Sunak [and nothing to do with Brexit, he doesn't say]
Sunak says UK is scheduled to return to 0.7% aid spending target in 2024/25
Sunak now reading out all those news releases we have had over the past week
Public spending in Scotland, Wales and N Ireland to rise by more than the Barnett formula requires
Rapt attention to his every word from the Tory front bench Image
Red ensign joke: "I'm sure the opposition will be glad the red flag is still flying somewhere"
Sunak cuts air passenger duty for return domestic flights & puts up tax on longest long haul flights
Business rates: Sunak attacks opposition's "reckless unfunded promise to abolish a tax that raises £25bn a year"
Alcohol duties introduced in 1643 to help pay for the Civil War, he says
Sunak: we are taking advantage of leaving the EU to announce the most radical simplification of alcohol taxes
3p off a pint of beer in 2023: "I can't wait for the opposition to accuse me of beer barrel politics"
So we left the EU so we could simplify our alcohol taxes
"Last year the state grew to over half the economy; I don't like it, but I cannot apologise for it"
Now we face a choice, Sunak says. Do we want the response when every time prices rise the answer is always the taxpayer must pay? – or do we choose to recognise that govt has limits; govt should have limits
Final announcement of my Budget concerns the "hidden tax on work" – the universal credit taper acts as a high tax
I have decided to cut the taper rate not by 1%, not by 2% but by 8%, from 63p in the £ to 55p
Change to be introduced within weeks and no later than 1 Dec
Therese Coffey, work and pensions sec, not wearing a mask, pleased with universal credit announcement, worth £2bn a year Image
So the surprise in the Budget was what we thought it would be, but a bigger cut in the effective tax rate of universal credit withdrawal
Here is the Chart of Everything: effect of all measures straightforwardly progressive assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl… Image
Most of the work done by benefits in kind from public services

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More from @JohnRentoul

28 Oct
Angela Rayner apologises for her “scum” comment. This shows real leadership
About to go on @TimesRadio to praise her to the skies
Didn't realise she had already non-apologised "if it offended" 4 days after the event express.co.uk/news/politics/… Image
Read 4 tweets
28 Oct
Effect of universal credit changes (dark blue) vs £20-a-week uplift (light blue); poor (left) to rich (right) resolutionfoundation.org/app/uploads/20… Image
Definitive summary of complex change by @resfoundation resolutionfoundation.org/app/uploads/20… ImageImage
Ouch. Office for Budget Responsibility says effect of UC change “negligible” obr.uk Image
Read 4 tweets
27 Oct
Soon-to-be-forgotten #PMQs about to kick off Image
Smattering more masks on Tory side Image
Leader of the opposition is isolating, Speaker says, so Ed Miliband is called Image
Read 9 tweets
26 Oct
Simon Clarke, chief sec to Treasury, said today that pre-Budget announcements have not included market-sensitive information... hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2021-1… Image
...and that Treasury had observed all the proprieties set out in the @nickmacpherson2 review... Image
@nickmacpherson2 The Macpherson review recommended a ban on the pre-release of the “core of the Budget”, including tax reliefs Image
Read 7 tweets
29 Jul
The fascination of ‘what ifs’: Could the last election have turned out differently? @indypremium independent.co.uk/independentpre…
@indypremium Based on brilliant chapter by @philipjcowley in book of historical counterfactuals ed @DuncanBrack & @IainDale, which includes this nugget
And this debunking of a favourite Corbynite counterfactual independent.co.uk/independentpre…
Read 4 tweets
10 Jun
Theresa May went proper anti-lockdown re international travel while I wasn't watching the Commons
One year on we are no further forward ... Global Britain, shut for business: we've gone backwards
"We now have over 50% of the adult pop vaccinated yet we are more restricted on travel than we were last year"
Read 8 tweets

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