What should we expect from the Macron-Biden meeting later this week in Rome? In this @TheNatlInterest piece, I try to put into perspective the ongoing diplomatic row between Paris and Washington over #AUKUS. A short 🧵 on the main takeaways 👇
nationalinterest.org/feature/aukus-…
If you think that the 🇫🇷🇺🇸 diplomatic tensions over AUKUS are only a bilateral matter over the loss of a submarine contract, then you’re mistaken.
The AUKUS crisis is actually revealing of a larger trend in the transatlantic relationship, with Washington increasingly focusing on its competition with China sometimes at the risk of overlooking Europe's role and interests.
This situation is not in the interest of Europe nor of the United States. Europeans have failed to reckon with this reality and to take bold steps to better protect their interests.
By marginalizing Europe in its Indo-Pacific strategy, the Biden administration risks losing a key partner in the broader competition with Beijing. The EU has a lot to offer from maritime security to connectivity, tech or environmental protection.
Against this backdrop, the ongoing 🇫🇷🇺🇸 consultations should be seen as an opportunity to revamp the transatlantic relationship.
And if you paid attention, the first joint statement between President Macron and President Biden was not only about deepening 🇫🇷🇺🇸 cooperation but also about rebalancing the transatlantic partnership.
whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
There could be a silver lining in this crisis if it leads to a stronger U.S. support to European defense, a recognition by Washington of Europe’s role in the Indo-Pacific or a smart burden sharing in the fight against terrorism. [End]

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More from @morcos_pierre

25 Oct
Yesterday, France launched with success a military communication satellite called SYRACUSE IV. This is an important milestone in France's space defense strategy. A short 🧵 to explain why 👇
Syracuse IV will provide secure communications to French armed forces regardless of the distance. This satellite will be part of a constellation of 3, replacing the existing system (Syracuse III) in place since 2007.
This constellation will have a bandwidth 3 times higher than the previous generation and will connect together more than 400 ground stations.
Read 8 tweets
30 Sep
French foreign minister @JY_LeDrian testified yesterday at a French Senate hearing on the implications of #AUKUS. An important discussion with French Senators which will be followed by other hearings. A 🧵 on the main highlights 👇
First, minister Le Drian presented in detail the Franco-Australian Future Submarine Program. An intergovernmental agreement was signed in December 2016 and then a Strategic Partnering Agreement in February 2019.
The production was supposed to start in 2023 and the first submarine to be delivered by 2033/2034. Le Drian noted that the program included an industrial partnership with the U.S. with Lockheed Martin in charge of the weapon system.
Read 22 tweets
30 Sep
This piece by @AlbertoNardelli tackles an important topic (European technological sovereignty) but is mixing up very different issues in a misleading way. A short 🧵👇
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
First, the article dismisses, without any true counterpoint, the arguments in favor of greater technological independence and resilience.
This not about internal quarrels within the EU institutions, nor about a French lone crusade for a protectionist European economy.
Read 17 tweets
29 Sep
"If the goal was to build a unified and capable coalition of countries to deter aggression from 🇨🇳 and defend a free, open and inclusive Indo-Pacific, alienating and excluding 🇫🇷 was incredibly short-sighted". 🎯 piece by @Brad_L_Bowman & @MarkCMontgomery
defenseone.com/ideas/2021/09/…
"France brings both the desire and ability to help defend these common interests with Washington. From a military perspective, the French are more present and active in the Indo-Pacific than any other European power."
"In formulating AUKUS, the Biden admin should have taken these realities into account and found a way to include France in the agreement. That would have been respectful of the centuries-long U.S.-France alliance and would have advanced shared interests in the Indo-Pacific."
Read 5 tweets
22 Sep
[Thread] So, President Biden and President Macron finally talked after days of severe diplomatic tensions between Washington and Paris. A few thoughts on the outcome of this much expected conversation and the next steps.
First, the fact that the White House took the initiative of this call and that President Biden himself recognized that things could have been handled differently is positive in itself and was a first essential step to restore a dialogue with France.
With hindsight, Paris was right to take these strong diplomatic moves, often described as over the top, to make the Biden administration understand the gravity of the crisis (which was not the case at all at first).
Read 14 tweets
22 Sep
As outlined in this @POLITICOEurope piece by @RymMomtaz, President Macron expects two things from his call with President Biden.

First, a recognition by Washington that its decision not to consult Paris "raises questions of trust".
politico.eu/article/macron…
Second, the initiation of a "solid process over time and at a high level to create the conditions to restore trust through actions and concrete measures, not just words".
Paris will notably ask the 🇺🇸 to recognize (1) "the strategic importance of 🇫🇷 and 🇪🇺 engagement in the Indo-Pacific", (2) "the necessity of reinforcing European sovereignty"; (3) a "common commitment in the fight against terrorism".
Read 4 tweets

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