We are wired to make repeat our own mistakes. I confess that I actually did short Apple and Tesla when both were below $20 (pre-split). Fortunately, I'm financially solvent to live to tell the unfortunate tale!
The moral of the story though is that financial instruments with exponential growth potential look overvalued at the very beginning. Do not have rationality cloud your own judgment!
I'm also the same guy who sold off every DOGE coin that I could mine when it first came out. I was mining it for two weeks at a $20 profit per day. Today that 2 weeks would have been worth $1.6 m today.
Too many of us technologists are too rational for our own good. Let this be a lesson for everyone!
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It should not be a surprise that the paradox of determinism and free will is easily resolved once you are aware of Gödel's incompleteness theory or Turing's Halting problem.
The paradox is simply stated that if the universe was deterministic then how could free will be possible. But what is the meaning of determinism? It implies absolute predictability in this universe.
Physics and mathematics has revealed via quantum mechanics, relativity, Gödel and Turing the first-person nature of reality and hence its lack of determinism. Computational irreducibility bounds predictability and hence demolishes the notion of a deterministic universe.
Many Americans want to turn back the hand of time, back to the days where you can just unexpectedly die by being infected by a virus. Before the 1950s, parents had more children to beat the odds that they could reach adulthood.
Too often we are nostalgic about the past which we never lived in. Before 1950, the world was mired in a world war. Before that, it was the Great Depression. There were the roaring 20s that ended with Wall Street crashing. The 1910s has a world war and the Spanish Flu.
Against this backdrop, children were still dying. It's was only by the 1950s that mass vaccination was the norm. Ever since the odds to survive childhood shot up tremendously (not just in the USA but all over the world). So outraged people want us to go back to a deadlier time?
You cannot reach the ingenuity present in human cognition by limiting oneself to models of dynamical systems or models of systems with probability. You must address language capability because it's only language that gets one into realms of combinatorial and generative concepts.
It is clear to me that too many researchers seem complacent with dynamical or probability models of cognition. It is as if the mathematics useful in physics could somehow lead to the emergence of cognition. This is a false hope.
That is because the mathematics of physics mostly involves parts with weak interactions. The math of thermodynamics is defined for gases. For fluids, like Navier-Stokes, isn't derivable from the parts. The interactions of cells are much more complex than inanimate stuff.
It's an inescapable reality that many of us humans are embedded in a world where we aren't one of the physically beautiful people. I suspect it's more difficult for people who are borderline beautiful. Fortunately, I have less of an issue! I accepted my standing early in life.
In social media, we are constantly bombarded with images of physically beautiful people. The kind of people that we don't often see in real life (unless you live in a big city). So what's one to do if she's constantly reminded of her lack of perfection?
We are evolutionarily wired to notice beauty (btw, what's considered beauty is in the eye of the beholder). It's an unconscious thing that constantly creeps up into one's consciousness. This attention device is omnipresent.
There's a mad rush in Machine Learning circles to say 'X is enough' or 'X is all you need'. We have 'Rewards is enough', 'Attention is all you need', 'Diverse training is all you need', 'Size is all you need' (Bitter truth/Scaling hypothesis).
These logical jumps are ignoring all the messy details. I'm guilty myself of some ideas like 'Intuition machines is all you need' or 'Empathy is the path to general intelligence'. These singular ideas are pleasurable because they make what's complex appear simple.
Brains and Deep Learning are both live-wired systems and they are anything but simple. They are complex adaptive systems and require the entire kitchen sink of technology and mathematical models to get a handle on.
Millennials are pretty much f**ked. 911 created a jobs program for the military industrial complex, sending investments outside of the US. The real-estate crash led to government austerity and hence less opportunities. The pandemic was the nail in the coffin.
Now it's their responsibility to clean up the environmental mess that previous generations left them. They have to do this while no money is spent on there because previous generations want to retire comfortably.
But what are Millenials doing? They are focusing on cultivating their brand on social media. What is often the case is they avoid conflict and keep silent about the injustices that they are subjected to.