2/ Sky News has also learnt cabinet ministers are discussing mid-November as a likely moment for triggering Article 16.
Number 10 says a negotiated outcome is their preference and point out Article 16 process has its limitations
3/ Lord Frost has been holding meetings with Tory MPs to minimise opposition if A16 is triggered. "The message was: trust us" said one MP present. "They did Brexit, they know what they're doing" is the message.
4 / EU also pessimistic about Northern Ireland protocol talks, believing they are heading "into a ditch".
One plan is in the event of triggering A16 for the EU not to negotiate, but instead only to do infraction proceedings
5 / Downing Street clear that negotiations can't go on forever, they put a "few weeks" timescale on it - many believe end of November is the final moment for a decision
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
There’s a plan afoot amongst some Labour MPs to exclude Jeremy Corbyn permanently from the Parliamentary Labour Party.
They want to change Labour standing orders to allow MPs to decide Corbyn’s future. Then vote him out. This would spare Starmer from having to ‘own’ any decision
Labour MPs involved in this plan believe the changes made at conference - to make it harder to deselect sitting MPs - embolden then to make this change
But whips worry about the numbers - while others worry about the optics of another Labour internal row taking centre stage
Also - how ‘hands off’ is the plan to get rid of Corbyn. Of course they would deny involvement
But Team Starmer would logically want the Corbyn issue resolved well before a general election - they don’t want a clash over Corbyn’s selection close to a campaign
V important argument from @KwasiKwarteng about ministers attitude to current disruption.
The economy is in a “transition” after brexit away from the “low wage high immigration economy”, some sectors like haulage are resisting and government must “tough it out”
I’m personally “toughing it out” at a car park somewhere in Kent with a near empty tank having tried 6 fuel stations and all empty and about to abandon my car