Taryn Fransen Profile picture
Oct 29, 2021 14 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Time for another edition of “This Week in Climate Pledges”! 🗓️🧵⤵️ 1/
MONDAY: @UNFCCC drops the latest update to the NDC Synthesis Report. Takeaway? Nothing has really changed since September 17 - we’re still on track for 2.7C (considering NDCs alone). unfccc.int/process-and-me… 2/
I imagine they’d hoped China’s NDC would arrive by then, but it didn’t come til later in the week - and then, only to affirm pledges announced last December. (Follow @LHongqiao and @LiShuo_GP for insights.) unfccc.int/documents/3076… 3/
TUESDAY: The 13th annual @UNEP #EmissionsGap report! Spoiler alert: There is still a gap between where emissions are currently headed and where they need to be headed to limit warming to 1.5C. unep.org/resources/emis… 4/
Current policies put us on track for 2.8C. If we factor in 2030 commitments (not necessarily backed up by policies domestically), we’ll hit 2.7C. And if the countries that have pledged net-zero by mid-century manage to get there, we’ll be at 2.2C. (All 66%, for those who care) 5/
None of this is where we want to be, but it’s a whole lot better than where we were headed pre-#ParisAgreement (4C), or even 3C-3.5C as of last year. Progress is possible. 6/
See @JoeriRogelj 🧵 for a download on the whole report 7/
and @stv_smth 🧵 on the brand-new net-zero chapter 8/
WEDNESDAY: @NetZeroTracker launches, tracking pledges by countries, cities, companies, and more zerotracker.net 9/
Their numbers are a little different than ours, because we don’t count pledges that are merely under consideration (e.g. Indonesia’s). But despite the bit of friendly competition, I have to admit the new tracker is pretty cool. climatewatchdata.org/net-zero-track… 10/
THURSDAY: @WRIClimate, @BezosEarthFund and partners launch State of Climate Action 2021, tracking progress against 40 key benchmarks we need to hit to limit warming to 1.5C wri.org/research/state… 11/
While we’re moving in the right direction on most of the indicators, we’re not going anywhere near fast enough 12/
@waiterich has a deep dive on the food/ag benchmarks 13/
I think that’s it for this week! You can catch up on the last round of “This Week in Climate Pledges” here: . See you next time! 👋 14/

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More from @tarynfransen

Apr 4, 2022
A running 🧵 of 🧵s on today's @IPCC_CH WG3 report: 1/
Read 21 tweets
Nov 6, 2021
Climate pledge reports came fast and furious during the first week of #COP26! Here is but a small sample of all the time series charts available for your perusal this week 🗓️ 🧵⤵️ @wriclimate 1/
Climate Resource was first to call a below-2C scenario (data.climateresource.com.au/ndc/20211103-C…) 2/
In this scenario, all 2030 and mid-century pledges (including India's recent announcements) are met, and warming is limited to 1.9C (50% likelihood). 3/
Read 13 tweets

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