I hope everyone saw this story about Manchin's opposition to paid leave. In particular, these paragraphs. When I first read them they made me so angry I thought I might pass out. washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2021…
That excerpt makes one thing very, very clear: Manchin's objections to the programs in the BBB are not based on any empirical evidence or coherent theory of government. What he has is a set of reactionary instincts, gut reactions common to old conservative white men.
He worries some poor person somewhere might cheat the program, get something they don't deserve. Can't have that.

He worries giving people benefits makes them lazy so he wants to make them work for it. Work... for a *paid leave program* ... for working people. 🙃
He worries we "can't afford it," even though everything in the bill is paid for. He worries "entitlements are running out of money."

These are not based on any evidence or analysis. They're just Things Old White Guys Say. It's like a game of conservative mad libs.
On the basis of these "irritable mental gestures which seek to resemble ideas" (as Trilling put it), Manchin is willing to tell every single one of his female colleagues, who have come pleading to him one after the other, to fuck off. He knows better.
Gillibrand, Murray, even Sinema -- there isn't a single woman among Manchin's colleagues who isn't smarter than him and more in touch with the struggles of working parents. They've done the homework; they know what they're talking about. He hasn't, and doesn't.
He's just a vain, arrogant, rich old white guy who surrounds himself with other vain, arrogant, rich old white guys. They all overestimate their own intellect & abilities. And apparently they're still the pinhole through which all policy must pass. This country is so fucked.

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More from @drvolts

2 Nov
I bet McAuliffe would have an easier time tying Youngkin to Trump if the entire left had been repeating the message that "Trump=GOP & GOP=Trump" from the second he won in 2016. But that woulda been uncivil I guess.
One of the right's enduring advantages is that they've spent 30 years propagandizing against the Democratic Party (& liberalism) *as such*, so every single Dem starts out behind the 8 ball, dealing w/ a whole set of negative assumptions.
There has been no commensurate effort to make "conservative" toxic or to smear the GOP brand. Oh sure people have said things, but the D party, the left as a whole, simply doesn't have the wherewithal, capacity, or killer instinct to mount a sustained campaign like this.
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
"Cumulatively over the 2021-45 period, measures restricting voter access [in Texas] could be expected to lead to total losses in gross product of just over -$1.5
trillion as well as almost -6.9 million job years of employment." democracydocket.com/wp-content/upl…
Among its other evils, the RW assault in US democracy is terrible for the US economy. investmentmonitor.ai/analysis/assau…
In that same vein, I hope everyone saw this from @marcorubio, which is the most nakedly fascist thing I've ever seen from a US senator. He's talking about taking control of US business & dividing the patriotic ones from the unpatriotic ones.
theamericanconservative.com/articles/we-ne…
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
I feel like I'm losing my mind, so I'm going to try one more time. Pardon a truly futile thread.

The cycle thus far: Dems offer Manchin policy concessions; he pockets them & makes up new reasons to oppose the bill. That cycle continued right up to today ...
... with Manchin conjuring up still more objections to the BBB & calling for yet more delay. He has shown nothing but hostility to the bill -- said it's going to make the US an "entitlement society" -- & has said explicitly he's willing to kill it & take zero.
The only leverage progressives hold against him is that he wants the BIF to pass & they won't pass it without BBB.

All the above has been true for months & is still, from what I can tell, true.
Read 13 tweets
1 Nov
Everything beleaguering Dems right now -- frustrated public, big promises being broken, infighting dominating the news for months, VA gov race in peril -- is the fault of Joe Manchin & Kyrsten Sinema. You have to engage in heroic pretzel logic to conclude anything else.
If Dems had rapidly followed up the Covid relief bill with a BBB bill that contained the priorities they campaigned on, Biden & the party would be more popular, Americans would be vastly better off, and VA would be in the bag. 98% of them were ready. Manchin & Sinema did this.
This is the non-savvy, merely-3-dimensional, believe-what-your-eyes-tell-you take -- thus a take you will never see on a national op-ed page or on cable news.
Read 9 tweets
29 Oct
Random thread that's been on my mind for a while, about public health communication.

Lots has been said about how official authorities communicated/are communicating about Covid. I think it's pretty widely agreed that it's been a mess -- complicated, shifting, uncertain, etc.
IMO, the very most important thing in communicating health stuff to the public is *clarity*. Messages should be simple, easy to remember, easy to repeat. And to some extent, this should also be true of the public health response itself.
From the beginning, Covid communication was the opposite. Not only bad info, but excessively complicated info & excessively complicated recommendations: you're X% at risk if you're this age, in a room this size, with ventilation this good. Wear masks here but not here, etc.
Read 10 tweets
29 Oct
I would think the extraordinary success of the right-wing's fraudulent "CRT" hype -- and the absolutely pathetic, barely-there Dem response -- might draw people's attention to the vast asymmetry in the parties' ability to coordinate & push messages to voters.
I would think it might also draw attention to the futility of the Dem-consultant strategy of fleeing from culture war issues rather than fighting them.
The RW conjured a national movement of parents against CRT ***out of absolutely nothing***. The entire f'ing thing is invented. But it worked! Because the right has a giant propaganda machine. The left doesn't. All other talk about strategy is pointless as long as this is true.
Read 5 tweets

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