From time to time you hear it said that executive function, a cognitive ability involving mental control, is 100% heritable. It seems like a compelling basis for hereditarianism- under all that complexity there is a solid gold nugget of pure genetic variation! [wonky thread]
The @kph3k book, for example, says "First,it is nearly 100 percent heritable. That is, within a group of children who are all in school, nearly all of the differences in general EF between them are estimated to be due to the genetic differences between them." /2
This statement isn't wrong, exactly, but it is misleading if you don't understand what it means. The important thing is that the 100% h2 is estimated for a *latent* variable, an abstract statistical concept that "explains" why multiple measures of EF are positively correlated. /3
The key idea is that different measures of EF aren't very highly correlated with each other, so the latent variable doesn't capture much of the variation in the domain. The first paper to make the claim of 100% h2 for EF was Friedman et al (2008). ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P… /4
Let's take a look. They fit a hierarchical factor model to nine indicators of EF and estimated an ACE model for the common factor, arriving at the amazing 100% heritability for the top-level latent common factor. This is their Figure 4. /5
Notice that the factor loadings aren't all that high. Multiplying through the loadings on the 1st and 2nd level factors, the median loading is about .45, meaning that only about .45^2 or 20% of the variance in the observed variables is "explained" by the latent factor /6
The important thing to understand is that there is no actual 100% heritable "EF score" that can be assigned to each child; if there were the variable wouldn't be latent. When you look at the heritabilities of the actual tests, none are particularly close to 100%. /7
The mean of the observed scores isn't 100% heritable. Estimated "factor scores" aren't 100% heritable. The latent variable is a modeled abstraction, isolating the part of EF common among the subtests. The proper conclusion is: 20% of executive function is 100% heritable. /end
/ps Latent variables are like microscopes- they allow you to magnify small things, but they don't *really* make things bigger. Getting excited about 100% h2 of EF is like looking at an insect under a microscope and yelling, "Look out a giant bug!"
Extra thought: in addition to everything else, "due to" in this sentence means "associated with" not "caused by". If I had a time machine I would strangle that wording (which is from long before @kph3k or me) in the cradle.

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More from @ent3c

16 Oct
When I find myself besieged by the kind of people in my mentions this morning, it is tempting to be goaded into sounding as though I think genetic endowment places 0 limits on people, or that GWAS has made no meaningful contributions to science, or that the modest predictions /1
of behavioral PGS are completely useless. I don't think any of those things and I never have. I am, after all, a working empirical behavior geneticist. What I do think is that the hardcore genetic world the right is forever envisioning shows no signs of becoming reality. /2
The RDR h2 of EA, which controls for indirect effects, is .17. (nature.com/articles/s4158…) That is an UPPER LIMIT on the performance of PGS. And even that includes a completely unknown amount of red hair effects. /3
Read 5 tweets
24 Apr
1/ Arguing with myself: I say that "race science" is meaningless because it assigns causal value to heritability coefficients whose causal implications are not understood and generally exaggerated.
2/ But by impugning the motives of the race scientists, aren't I shutting down the very research that might produce that knowledge? No. Let's say you believe that Group X carries a gene or some polygenic mechanism that makes them exceptionally good violin players.
3/ You want to do science to show you are right. How should you proceed? In fact you have a two-part hypothesis. The first is that there exists a genetic mechanism that reliably produces violin talent, one person at a time.
Read 8 tweets
23 Apr
98% of "race science" consists of nothing but this: 1) Trait X is heritable in individuals; 2) heritability means genes have "something to do" with the trait; 3) Groups differ on the trait; 4) Genes have "something to do" with the group difference. This is underdetermined BS. /1
The first law of BG offers an obvious reductio of the argument. All individual differences are heritable, groups differ on all sorts of things. So if all you want is a vague assertion that genes have "something to do" with all human differences, OK. /2
But that doesn't buy the race scientists anything, unless they want to own the assertion that genes have "something to do" with why people dance the Merengue more in the Dominican Republic than they do in Korea. /3
Read 6 tweets
21 Feb
This study, by @mendel_random @timfrayling and others, shows that participation in various parts of the UK biobank depends in complex ways on genotype. You can imagine what I think-- the authors take a steadfastly optimistic tone- we can use this to control for bias! /1
Whereas I see it as the bubbles slowly rising to the surface as the GWAS-of-behavior project disappears under the surface of the gloomy prospect. But that isn't what I want to say here-- instead I want to be very old-fashioned. /2
One thing that GWAS has done has shown the limitations of automated, hypothesis-free research. I was trained in the "you need to have a theory" model, and I am very aware of all the trouble that caused. GWAS is the purest form of reaction against that tradition. /3
Read 8 tweets
11 Jul 20
1. I am grateful for this reply because it makes clear what is at stake. The hereditarian hypothesis is that a portion of the disadvantage faced by Black people is not the result of discrimination, but instead of their own innate characteristics.
2. Apparently the upside of this hypothesis is that it allows White people to feel better about the current “destructive and divisive culture war.”
3. tbc, I am *not* saying that it can’t be true because I don’t like the consequences. I am saying that it is an ugly thing to speculate about in the absence of meaningful evidence, and there isn’t any.
Read 9 tweets
8 Jul 20
Some thoughts on the Harpers letter. I support it in spirit: the world would be a better place if people could be more tolerant and open minded. But I think their argument is oversimplified to make the problem seem easier than it really is. /1
Cancellation is not new. Consider holocaust deniers. If the chairman of your history department announces that the Holocaust never happened, she is going to be canceled, and this was true long before Twitter. Why, exactly? /2
There are two reasons: 1) The Holocaust has already been sufficiently litigated and there is nothing useful to add, and 2) Insisting on re-litigating it is disrespectful and potentially harmful to people who died and people who survived. /3
Read 9 tweets

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