The amazing thing about huge electoral shifts is that the involve like 5-10% of people changing their opinion. When people say there's a ton of anger in NoVa at the Dems, it translates to like 1 in 10 Northam-Biden voters who *might* vote for Youngkin.
No different than the *huge* anger among some NoVa Republicans at Trump. It's was like 10% of them.
Most people are partisans, and most elections are (big-picture) not huge landslides numerically, so it doesn't take monster swings to move outcomes.
Most people are partisans, and most elections are (big-picture) not huge landslides numerically, so it doesn't take monster swings to move outcomes.
On the other hand, you do get people who literally can't believe Northam-Biden-Youngkin voters exist. And that's clearly wrong too, even in an age of elevated partisanship.
Especially given the Trump factor, which made more Northam-Biden voters than usual out of Republicans.
Especially given the Trump factor, which made more Northam-Biden voters than usual out of Republicans.
It's a given in politics that a shift from 54-46 to 46-54 is eye-popping, but it involves a minimal portion of the electorate. And they themselves aren't the angriest; they're just the marginal voter on the new side.
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