In Georgia, we’ve got draft maps from the state Democratic caucus, but no draft maps from the state Republican caucus, with the special session on redistricting starting tomorrow.
The State Senate draft map gets an A, with an A in partisan fairness and Cs in competitiveness and geographic features.
The map includes 3 competitive districts and 16 districts with a BVAP of over 45%.
The State House map receives a B overall, with an F in competitiveness and a C in geographic features. Our analysis shows that this map advantages incumbents, which contributes to its lower grades - this map receives only a B in partisan fairness.
The map has 8 competitive districts, out of 180 total districts. As always, our report card also breaks down the minority composition of each district. You can access the full Report Card here for further info: gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-…
Republicans in Georgia released a draft congressional map, available here: gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-…
We hope to see them release their state legislative drafts, too.
Note that our grading system penalizes a map that gets an F in Competitiveness by lowering the Partisan Fairness score by 1 letter. So this map has a B in Partisan Fairness, but deflated by low competition. It has 17 competitive seats and it would take 25 to get a C.
Note that the use of the ensemble to evaluate maps with four or fewer districts risks obscuring the influence that a single district change in either Partisan Fairness or Competitiveness can make to overall letter grades. (1/5)
And, more importantly, this matters to how residents who live in these states will experience these maps. Letter grades, in the cases of extremely low-district states, should be considered secondarily to other metrics provided. (2/5)
It is important, in these instances, for mapmakers to consider other criteria, such as Communities of Interest, Minority Composition, and state-specific criteria, in both line drawing and evaluation. (3/5)
It has three competitive seats that all lean R (OH-7 (Medina and Ashland), 10 (Dayton) and 14 (Youngstown)), but in certain years, could elect a Democrat.
It has one district with a BVAP over 40% (OH-11, Cleveland). OH-3 (Columbus) has an MVAP over 40%.
We have grades out for the Utah legislature's proposed maps. These maps are going to a public hearing on Monday, so folks in Utah should speak up about what they like and don't like in these maps.
It's important to emphasize that our ensemble is less useful in states with four or fewer districts - it's really important that folks look at other factors, including Communities of Interest, like those gathered by @Representable_ here: representable.org/map/ut/
We'd expect it to elect 33 R and 23 D, with the current Senate split 34R-22D. It would have only 1 competitive seat.
It has 16 districts with a BVAP over 40% and 1 with an HVAP over 40.
This map gets the same grades as the prior map draft, would elect the same number of Senators from each party, has the same number of competitive seats, and has roughly similar minority composition numbers.
The Michigan Independent Redistricting Commission continues its work, having released several new draft maps for public comment. They will be voting on these maps on December 30, so we encourage Michiganders to speak up about what they like and don't like in these drafts.