At COP 26, politicians and celebrities are calling for the world to rapidly eliminate fossil fuels because otherwise we will pass the dreaded 1.5°C threshold of warming.

But we should not fear 1.5°C--we should fear the genocidal consequences of eliminating fossil fuels.

A goal of limiting warming to 1.5° since the 1800s has no scientific basis whatsoever. The 1800s were a very cold time (Little Ice Age) and the 1°C warming since then has coincided with the greatest improvement in human life in history—in large part due to fossil fuels.
When people talk about 1.5°C of warming as catastrophic, it's even more absurd than it sounds because it's not 1.5°C warming starting now, it's 1.5°C total since the 1800s. Which means 0.5°C warmer than now--in a world where far more people die of cold than of heat.
A goal of slashing GHG emissions to levels that the UN claims are necessary to limit warming to 1.5°C means depriving billions of energy—because fossil fuels are by far the lowest-cost source of reliable energy for most of the world. Unreliable solar and wind can’t come close.
The main reason global GHG emissions are rising is because billions of people in the developing world are bringing themselves out of poverty by using fossil fuels to power factories, farms, vehicles, and appliances. This is a wonderful thing that we should not stop.
When you hear scary claims about a “climate crisis,” keep in mind that climate catastrophists have been claiming climate crisis for 40 years. For example, Obama science advisor John Holdren predicted in the 1980s that we’d have up to 1 billion climate deaths today.
After 40+ years of “climate crisis” predictions by climate catastrophists, human beings are safer than ever from climate. The climate death rate has decreased by 98% over the last century.
Fossil fuels were supposed to make climate far more dangerous in the last 40 years but they have actually made it far safer by providing low-cost power for the amazing machines that protect us against storms, protect us against extreme temperatures, and alleviate drought.
Fossil fuels' CO2 emissions have contributed to the warming of the last 170 years, but that warming has been mild and manageable—1 degree Celsius, mostly in the colder parts of the world.
Fossil fuels' CO2 emissions have not only contributed to mild and manageable warming, they have also caused the benefit of significant global greening. Thanks to fossil fuels the Earth is far greener than it was just 40 years ago.
If the world continues using fossil fuels to provide reliable, low-cost energy to billions of people, the result will not be a climate crisis but continued slow warming, significant greening, and a far better life for billions of people.
The head of the UN says “the world is on a catastrophic pathway to 2.7° of heating.” But 1) that really means 1.7°, since we’ve already had 1°, 2) that specificity of prediction is impossible, and 3) it would occur mostly in cold places during a cold time in Earth’s history.
The actual catastrophe we face that will, to use the head of the UN’s words, “be measured in the massive loss of lives and livelihoods” is not slightly warmer temperatures but the banning of the fossil fuels that alone can provide low-cost, reliable energy to billions of people.
COP 26's goal of rapidly eliminating fossil fuel use is a crime against humanity, especially the poor, and should be condemned as pseudoscientific and genocidal. I did just this on @GBNEWS recently, and I encourage others to do the same.

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More from @AlexEpstein

3 Nov
How passing the reconciliation bill will destroy American energy, part 2

The reconciliation bill's 10-year extension and increase of solar and wind subsidies will drive more and more reliable power plants off the grid, lead to skyrocketing prices and frequent blackouts.

The reconciliation bill calls for a 10-year extension and increase of the Investment Tax Credit (ITC) subsidy for solar and the Production Tax Credit (PTC) subsidy for wind, which pay utilities to slow down or shut down reliable power plants whenever the sun shines or wind blows.
Solar+wind cannot provide the reliable energy that our amazing electrical grid requires 24/7. That’s why every place in the world that uses unreliable solar+wind depends 24/7 on massive amounts of reliable energy from coal, gas, hydro, or nuclear plants.
Read 13 tweets
3 Nov
The IPCC is a political and religious organization that does not value humanity's incredible progress, that totally evades humanity's increasing safety from climate, and whose ultimate goal is an unimpacted climate and Earth--not a livable climate and Earth.

Read 7 tweets
28 Oct
Biden's new reconciliation framework is not "moderate." It includes a *10-year extension* of today's most destructive electricity policy: the PTC/ITC wind/solar subsidies that defund and shut down reliable power plants, including nuclear plants. Vote no!…
Warren Buffet on the wind Production Tax Credit. This cannot continue for 10 years without leading to a third-world grid.
Biden's reconciliation framework extends for 10 years wind/solar subsidies that are the #1 cause of the senseless shutdown of non-CO2-emitting nuclear power plants. This is "climate policy"??
Read 4 tweets
28 Oct
Today the House is holding a hearing to threaten “Big Oil” for its “climate disinformation”—i.e., for expressing the opinion that CO2 emissions wouldn't be catastrophic, an opinion that turned out to be right. This hearing is therefore an attack on free speech and on reality.🧵
Our Constitution says that “Congress shall make no law…abridging the freedom of speech.” This applies to all of us, including oil company execs. And yet Congress today is holding a hearing aimed at punishing “Big Oil” for expressing opinions that politicians disagree with.
The House Committee on Oversight and Reform hearing “Exposing Big Oil’s Disinformation Campaign” legitimizes itself by saying that "Big Oil" funded groups skeptical of climate catastrophe. But oil company owners and operators had every right to do that.…
Read 12 tweets
27 Oct
Hi @thenorthface, this is my favorite story about your jackets: how an articulate oil and gas CEO called you out for your anti-oil-and-gas hypocrisy, and how you went from a company that couldn't shut up about climate to a company that had nothing to say.…
Here's Innovex CEO Adam Anderson's original letter to @thenorthface, using arguments from The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels. The North Face could and did say nothing to refute him.…
Here's Liberty Oilfield Services CEO Chris Wright challenging The North Face with humanistic arguments. Again, The North Face could and did say nothing to refute him.
Read 4 tweets
21 Oct
How passing the reconciliation bill will destroy American energy, part 1

The reconciliation bill’s goal of 80% "clean electricity" by 2030, which has still not been abandoned, would mean going from 10% unreliable solar+wind to a catastrophic 50% solar+wind in 8 years.

Now that the disastrous Clean Electricity Performance Program is gone from the reconciliation bill, many think our grid is safe. Not true. Dem leaders are still committed to the CEPP's goal of "80% clean" through other means, saying "there's more than one way to skin a cat."
The reconciliation bill still contains many provisions to pursue the goal of "80% clean electricity" by 2030--including a 10-year increase of the solar and wind subsidies that have already made American electricity far less reliable and affordable.…
Read 20 tweets

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