Suicidology update:
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Suicide rates in 2020 in the US are now available via @CDCgov BY AGE.
No significant change in youth groups, decreased in older ages past expected levels.
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Suicide rates in 2020 in the US are now available via @CDCgov BY AGE.
No significant change in youth groups, decreased in older ages past expected levels.
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By racial categories, for men there was variation but the trend of "white and Asian down, Black, Hispanic, and Indigenous" was present. Due to size of the groups the Indigenous men increase is within variance.
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In female suicides all groups saw a decrease, but only white women had a drop outside variance.
Women fared better than men for suicide in absolute terms (men outnumber women 4:1 this year), but also relatively (women down 8.3%, men down (2.2%)
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Women fared better than men for suicide in absolute terms (men outnumber women 4:1 this year), but also relatively (women down 8.3%, men down (2.2%)
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Month by month, it's visually striking how strong the drop was during the pandemic.
The drop in April-May unprecedentedly huge, not something we see in suicide epidemiology.
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The drop in April-May unprecedentedly huge, not something we see in suicide epidemiology.
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Overall, it's validation of the notion that predicting suicide is very tricky, and so many pundits got it wrong in 2020. If you followed me, you knew that I let the data speak, and when it did, this result was predictable as early as february 2021.
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In the study of the epidemiology of suicide, we run behind because we do not have good active surveillance systems going. Anyone who pretends to know the future is a charlatan.
We can now await the CDC Wonder release and do all of the subgroups that we need to do.
We can now await the CDC Wonder release and do all of the subgroups that we need to do.
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