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6 Nov, 31 tweets, 9 min read
Why would the CDC say something so counterintuitive (and counter-most research) without rock solid evidence to back it? ♾🧵

Tell me your hypotheses and I'll tell you mine.

More details on the actual science: chrismasterjohnphd.com/blog/2021/11/0…
1. KISS Principle
2. Follow the Money
3. Momentum (but why did they start down this path?)
4. Laying the groundwork for Vaccine Passports
5. Better safe than sorry
6. Eliminate the control group.
7. Victory over the pandemic should be credited to vaccines, not to natural immunity (also explains the push for vaccinating the already immune)

My favorite explanation so far, fits my understanding of F*uci perfectly.

8. They're True Believers.
9. Stirs division.
10. They know something we don't.

Maybe not exactly this, but you get the idea:
Gotta say, I'm *always* blown away with how many potential answers we come up with in these ♾🧵. This is so satisfyingly humbling.
11. Bill's old tricks: Embrace, Extend, Extinguish (this time, your immune system).
12. They know the Marek's disease scenario might be repeating, leaky vaccine making the disease more deadly to the unvaccinated, and want to prevent or delay a calamity that will be directly attributable to them. (see @GVDBossche for more details)
This is another hypothesis I find very plausible, and have done some research on. For one, Delta does seem to be more deadly:
For another, it does seem to have arisen very close to where the clinical trials for AZ were ongoing.
13. The data genuinely shows what they say it shows (click through for a mini-thread)
Food for thought.
14. Testing / building compliance.
15. This is probably an elaboration of 2, but I think there's more detail here.
Including this here to show how mRNA tech is possibly the saviour of pharma.
And puts ads like these in context...
16. Crowd out the truth.
🤯
17. Weaponized cognitive dissonance.

Growing the # of vaccinated, and the # of those who vaccinate their kids, creates a big population biased to believe vaccines are good, as otherwise they'd have to believe they did something harmful to themselves and even their children.
18. It's actually an SOS signal:
19. They believe vaccines are more predictable and vaccinating everyone is more likely to avoid dishonesty, confusion, etc. (probably a variant of #1, but worth expanding)
20. The system is on autopilot. The CDC has been built to encourage vaccination, and that's what it's doing. The misinformation produced by it and the rest of the USG is also being consumed by them, amplifying the deranged feedback loop.
This just occurred to me and it's so horrifyingly simple, I'm inclined to believe it. It is essentially a translation of @SamoBurja's Live Player/Dead Player dynamic to this pandemic, and sadly, makes way too much sense. We're always fighting the last war. medium.com/@samo.burja/li…
@SamoBurja The observation had crossed my mind early on, but I didn't really connect it as deeply to everything that's happening. Consider me deeply concerned.
@SamoBurja As usual, when I get close to a deep insight, there's an @ESYudkowsky essay I can link to -- this one is highly recommended reading: lesswrong.com/posts/ZQG9cwKb…

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More from @alexandrosM

Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
7 Nov
The following is a 🧵on the Lex Fridman / Francis Collins podcast.

I haven't listened to it yet, so I'll be writing as I listen:
Episode #238 (Francis Collins: National Institutes of Health)

The pod is here if you want to listen along: Image
Fridman starts by stating the goal is to ask hard questions with empathy and humility "so that we may begin to regain a sense of trust in science, and it may once again become a source of hope". Francis says "he loves the goal" and so do I.
Off we go. Fridman's first question is "is there a chance the virus leaked from a lab" and Collins starts with the usual deflections. "I can't exclude that, I think it's unlikely".
Read 67 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
6 Nov
So, this thing is right above the stove in our new house, but we have no idea what it is. Any clues? Image
Today I learned! Image
🤣
Read 11 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
4 Nov
People have been calling $TSLA a "meme stock", so I want to show you in a very simple way why I consider it to be anything but. For one, show me a trillion dollar company sustaining 50%+ revenue growth since it went public 12 years ago: 🧵
What about margins you ask? Consistently growing.
OK, so this covers until 2020. What about this year, with all the supply chain issues etc? They're on track to ship 76% more cars this year than last.
Read 20 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
3 Nov
A tale of two tweets:🧵

One has 2x the likes,
has been up for 3x as long,
has 6x the engagements,
and 7x the retweets.

The other one doesn't mention the V-word.

Twitter's algorithm has shown both to ~12,000 people.
Tweet #1 is makes an important point about our epistemic state in this pandemic: ImageImage
Tweet #2 is a random dunk on a celebrity hot take ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
30 Oct
The Elon-Gator Principle 🧵

Or, what I learned from watching @elonmusk and @drrollergator use social media at the Grandmaster level.
Both Elon and Gator come across as effortless, because they are. This doesn't mean they are not refined or purposeful. It means they're doing something else than trying to succeed at social media. Their success is coming En Passant, much like JS Mills described finding happiness:
Read 12 tweets
Alexandros Marinos Profile picture
29 Oct
Count the sleighs of hand going on in this tweet here. This is masterful. I regret ever thinking government agencies were incompetent. Bravo!
That's it. That's the gif.
What about recently fully vaccinated people who had covid-19 recently? How likely are they to test positive?
Read 9 tweets

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