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6 Nov, 10 tweets, 3 min read
I only make recommendations when they're giving away free money, like Poirier-McG 2 & Lawler-Diaz. But here's my thoughts:

#UFC268 #ufc268picks THREAD
1. Pereira def Michailidis by KO/TKO (-155)
Pereira is a Glory champ who beat Adesanya 2x. UFC is clearly setting up to sell that fight, and wouldn't put him in a fight they didn't think he could win. He's -250 to win, but you can get -155 or so to win by KO/TKO.
2. Edgar def. Vera by DEC (+185)
Maybe I'm just nostalgic, but Vera's wrestling is unimpressive and he's no KO artist. I'd give at least even money that @FrankieEdgar outwrestles Vera to a decision win.
3. Baghdasaryan def. Souza by KO/TKO (+110)
Baghdasaryan can get a little wild, but man, the boy can move and bang, and I don't see Souza surviving 3 rounds.
4. Chandler def Gaethje by KO/TKO (+450)
Love this fight. Either guy could KTFO the other at any time. Even money I guess I'd favor Gaethje, but Chandler by KO/TKO at +450 is a great line.
5. Thug Rose (+100) vs Weili (-115)
How crazy is this fight. Weili is gonna be demon-possessed and hard to deal with. But Rose deserves credit as one of the most graceful and effective strikers in the UFC, period. No idea, really. If forced, I'd take Rose by DEC at +285 or so.
6. Usman (-290) vs Covington (+245)
Usman seems to have really improved his striking (esp that jab) since their first go. Covington has a task in front of him. But Covington's not really +245, he's +400. That's the odds he wins by DEC, which is the only way he can win. (cont.)
(cont.)
All the method of victory lines are interesting.
Usman by KO/TKO (+150) - I'd have this even money.
Usman by DEC (+185) - I'd have this in "-" territory.
Covington by DEC (+400) - Only way he wins. (Covington by KO is +550... no way it should be that close to win by DEC).
Also, I like Shabazyan to get back on track. Imavov is decent enough, but Shabazyan is a good young prospect and I think the UFC is trying to get him on course after throwing him to the wolves too early.
Woo, underestimated Imavov… Shabazyan is going nowhere unless he improves his strength/conditioning.

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More from @martyrmade

Martyr Made Profile picture
6 Nov
Give @AnaKasparian credit for her correction. But if a news personality with her reach was unaware of such an easily- and widely-available fact, what else are people misinformed about? Here are the facts about what happened in Kenosha:
THREAD
@AnaKasparian 1. Kenosha PD receive a domestic violence call involving a man they know has a felony warrant out for sexual assault & domestic violence.
2. Upon arrival, the woman alerts them that the suspect is taking her children, and already has them in his car.
1/x
3. The suspect is armed with a knife.
4. Police try to effect an arrest. He resists. They take him to the ground, but he fights them off and gets up.
5. Police deploy tasers twice, but the suspect rips them out, unaffected.
6. The suspect is still armed with a knife.
Read 16 tweets
Martyr Made Profile picture
5 Nov
Thread.
My sympathy for unions largely applies to the private sector. Public sector unions do not negotiate in good faith w/management for fair profit sharing. They buy politicians & finance campaigns to give them what they want, and to take on debt or raise taxes if money runs out.
I make an exception for local police unions. They share many of the same problems as other public sector unions - and gave some unique ones as well - but strong unions seem necessary to protect cops from demagogues & politically-driven witch hunts (it’s a hard question, though).
Read 4 tweets
Martyr Made Profile picture
3 Nov
Who we got? #UFC268

1. Welterweight championship
Read 4 tweets
Martyr Made Profile picture
2 Nov
The 2nd Amendment lives or dies with the AR-15, and defenders shouldn’t run from the “weapon of war” description. The 2nd Amendment means the right of citizens to keep & bear a basic light infantry weapon, or it means nothing at all.
You’re describing the basic strategy of anarcho-tyranny: Allow disorder to spread to shore up support for the security state among regular people even as it’s being mobilized against them.
I’m more worried about the crisis in reading comprehension.
Read 4 tweets
Martyr Made Profile picture
1 Nov
With control over trillions of dollars and America's foreign policy at stake, why WOULDN'T a party steal an election when they know the corporate press won't cover it - actually, will censor all discussion of it - even if they get caught?
Everyone knows political operators are not constrained by ethical considerations. Our elections are absurdly insecure, The only thing ever preventing stolen elections was the difficulty of pulling it off without getting caught. But that guardrail was non-existent in 2020.
100s of untested rule changes before election (e.g, lowering signature matching standard). Unprecedented use of mail-in ballots. Chain of custody problems everywhere. Absurd statistical anomalies. 100s of pollwatcher complaints.

Media: Most secure election LITERALLY IN HISTORY.
Read 5 tweets
Martyr Made Profile picture
17 Oct
An ICBM goes up and back down w/the trajectory of a cannonball. Hypersonics are guided missiles, travel lower in the atmosphere, and are not as fast (ICBMs travel 15k mph+ in terminal, hypersonics run about Mach 5, not quite 4k mph). 1/x
They present different air defense challenges. The difficult part for ICBMs is their sheer speed, which nearly matched the velocity of the explosion & shrapnel of our defending missiles (meaning we usually need a skin-to-skin hit to guarantee destruction). 2/x
OTOH, we know where they’re going because, well, because they’re ballistic. This limits their tactical use - say, for taking out a carrier group in the Indian Ocean. In the time it took to reach the target, the ships could simply run away and the missile couldn’t follow. 3/x
Read 7 tweets

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