Labour's defeatists are out in force today, following Saint Keir's latest affirmation that #VoteLabourGetBrexit is true.

1: It is open to the UK to apply to #RejoinEU any time it likes. Nothing prevents KS campaigning on that.

2: The EU has a fixed interest in getting UK back.
It would represent an historical defeat of Euroscepticism and a 14% expansion of their market.

3: Politics is about leadership. With the consequences of Brexit so real now, it is feasible to argue for Rejoin more effectively than pre-2019.

4: Membership of EFTA precludes
membership of customs union - it's not allowed per EFTA treaty. EFTA unlikely to admit UK on basis that it wants to leave again to join EU. Not an easy sell.

5: If you can sell SM to voters, you have sold something less beneficial than EU membership. EU is easier because it
brings more benefits and only slightly more cost. Your opponents will say, SM = rule taking, FoM & fees without a vote or veto. They'd be right. EU brings all the programmes, CU and structural funds, plus right of initiative, votes and vetos.

6: The route to rejoin is via
presenting EU as an economic necessity, not a lefty value choice, then developing policies to reconcile voters to it by sharing benefits more widely and addressing leaver concerns more constructively than Brexit has done. Eg, federalism to bring power closer to voters.
7: The longer we stay out, the harder rejoin becomes. Divergence grows deeper roots, those businesses that survive will do so because they are adaptive to a low-regulation context, and fewer voters will remember or have experience of the benefits. Currently rejoin is a live
issue for many voters, and it's for leaders to build that. In 10-20 years that is less likely to be the case. Society moves on, and we will, like it or no.

Isn't it curious how Labour's bovine supporters have shifted from
"he hasn't said that" to "he doesn't mean that" to "he's right to say that" to "he has no choice to do anything else"? I've even seen one today claiming that KS can't offer rejoin because the UK has to wait to be invited!

As people say on here, "FFS".

If you want to find out
more about how the EU accession process really works, take a look at my blog. If not, please don't make asinine comments on the issue!

Likewise, if you want Brexit, vote Labour. If you don't, please don't vote for them!

You're just sealing the lid.

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More from @Panda_Chronicle

10 Oct
There are some helpful informed threads on NIP/A16 over the last few days. I thought it worth adding one point.

First, to recap.

WA/NIP have direct effect in UK law: action by Ministers that breaches them would be struck down by UK Courts. This is under s7a of EUWA 2018.
A16 does not provide carte blanche to overturn NIP. There are conditions:…

These include:

Difficulties, which are
Economic, societal or environmental, and
Liable to persist, or
Diversion of trade.

The application of NIP must have led to them.
As @GeorgePeretzQC points out, it's tenuous to argue that *the role of the ECJ* has led to the difficulties needed for A16 to be used.

But even if HMG does not aim at ECJ directly, but rather at NIP as a whole, then measures taken under A16 also have limits. They must be:
Read 11 tweets
8 Oct
Thought for Follow Back Friday.

I'm still seeing people who are concerned about feasibility of #RejoinEU on the basis of misunderstanding the accession process.

1: it's a process. Not a request, to be accepted or rejected. Think less slamming door, more, please wipe your feet.
2: no applicant is ready to join when they apply.

Two whole stages, screening and negotiation, are devoted to identifying gaps with EU law, and closing them.

Accession can be thought of as the process of becoming admissible.
3: the first stage, the Copenhagen criteria and those in the TEU, is not an 11+. The EU likes to expand. Copenhagen was created to see if former Soviet satellites had really moved on. That they were democracies, able to withstand market forces, with ability to enforce EU law.
Read 8 tweets
8 Jul
I try to stay out of sports politics, not least because I see sport as entertainment only, even if it matters a great deal to many others.

But am I the only one to have some concerns about the current football tournament?

Stay with me ... there's a non-trivial point to this.
It's the second in a row, after the World Cup, to have a lopsided draw, and the second in which England are one of the principal beneficiaries.

It's supposed to be a perambulatory tournament, I believe because it's an anniversary edition. Yet one country hosts both ...
... semis and the final. Despite being a Covid hotspot.

The same one that benefits from the lopsided draw.

That country's team plays all but one of its matches at home, the one being against the weakest team to qualify out of the group stage.

Then we have the shenanigans ...
Read 9 tweets
13 Feb
OK. Forgive the thread.

Remember @AstraZeneca, the UK company that mysteriously lied about its contract with @EU_Commission, @vonderleyen & @SKyriakidesEU?

At the same time they said EU must get 30m not 80/100m doses they offered vax directly to 4 member states @ higher price.
That's according to Czech PM @AndreBabis 11 Feb 2021.…
Now we all remember how @nadhimzahawi was curiously well-poised on how to frame this when the story broke. I mean the pseudo-story, of course, how poor little AZ was doing its best & horrid old EU was doing vaccine nationalism. We remember how UK press jumped to frame the issue,
Read 7 tweets
29 Jan
1/ EU-AZ contract row: a disturbing episode.

UK Brexiteers appear to be using health & lives of other human beings to manufacture a situation which they can mischaracterise to discredit the EU, distract from HMG's Covid failures, and crush the nascent #RejoinEU movement.
2/ When the story broke, @nadhimzahawi already knew to frame it as "vaccine nationalism", the media unquestioningly parroted AZ's lines, @Peston eg producing a thread of pure, unattributed-source propaganda.

Eager Brexit supporters have taken to social media claiming ...
3/ the episode vindicates their view of the EU, which they use as a basis to regurgitate their most extreme hate-speech caricatures.

Let's pause to remember the coincidence with 100,000 UK deaths.

Let's pause to remember fishing, financial services, returned parcels, ...
Read 11 tweets

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