Thought for Follow Back Friday.

I'm still seeing people who are concerned about feasibility of #RejoinEU on the basis of misunderstanding the accession process.

1: it's a process. Not a request, to be accepted or rejected. Think less slamming door, more, please wipe your feet.
2: no applicant is ready to join when they apply.

Two whole stages, screening and negotiation, are devoted to identifying gaps with EU law, and closing them.

Accession can be thought of as the process of becoming admissible.
3: the first stage, the Copenhagen criteria and those in the TEU, is not an 11+. The EU likes to expand. Copenhagen was created to see if former Soviet satellites had really moved on. That they were democracies, able to withstand market forces, with ability to enforce EU law.
4: democracy is also not an on-off switch. Think of it as a volume knob. UK used to be about 8. BJ has taken it down to 7. But the EU only needs 6. You and I may feel rightly aggrieved at the Government's damage to democracy. Some of you started following me when I wrote a letter
to Gove about this.

But please don't confuse our strong internal critique with the assessment the Commission would be asked to make. We still have elections, multi-parties, unions, media (does anywhere have "perfect" independent media, whatever that is?), courts etc.
The only realistic thing that would present an obstacle is if we leave ECHR. But rejoining that one is a doddle, it's just 21 days notice to Parlt & sign the instrument of accession. And again, EU wouldn't slam any door, it would indicate a need for progress on that issue.
5: anything Johnson does can be undone. This is very basic UK constitutional theory.

In this thread I'm not going to tackle baseless speculations like "they'll never have us back" or "we'll lose all the opt-outs". Check my blog for more on that.

But please,
If you're going to argue against #RejoinEU, don't make up man down the pub scare stories about the process. It's a boring technical matter, not an emotive psychodrama.

#FBPE

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More from @Panda_Chronicle

10 Oct
There are some helpful informed threads on NIP/A16 over the last few days. I thought it worth adding one point.

First, to recap.

WA/NIP have direct effect in UK law: action by Ministers that breaches them would be struck down by UK Courts. This is under s7a of EUWA 2018.
A16 does not provide carte blanche to overturn NIP. There are conditions: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…

These include:

Difficulties, which are
Serious,
Economic, societal or environmental, and
Liable to persist, or
Diversion of trade.

The application of NIP must have led to them.
As @GeorgePeretzQC points out, it's tenuous to argue that *the role of the ECJ* has led to the difficulties needed for A16 to be used.

But even if HMG does not aim at ECJ directly, but rather at NIP as a whole, then measures taken under A16 also have limits. They must be:
Read 11 tweets
8 Jul
I try to stay out of sports politics, not least because I see sport as entertainment only, even if it matters a great deal to many others.

But am I the only one to have some concerns about the current football tournament?

Stay with me ... there's a non-trivial point to this.
It's the second in a row, after the World Cup, to have a lopsided draw, and the second in which England are one of the principal beneficiaries.

It's supposed to be a perambulatory tournament, I believe because it's an anniversary edition. Yet one country hosts both ...
... semis and the final. Despite being a Covid hotspot.

The same one that benefits from the lopsided draw.

That country's team plays all but one of its matches at home, the one being against the weakest team to qualify out of the group stage.

Then we have the shenanigans ...
Read 9 tweets
13 Feb
OK. Forgive the thread.

Remember @AstraZeneca, the UK company that mysteriously lied about its contract with @EU_Commission, @vonderleyen & @SKyriakidesEU?

At the same time they said EU must get 30m not 80/100m doses they offered vax directly to 4 member states @ higher price.
That's according to Czech PM @AndreBabis 11 Feb 2021.

euractiv.com/section/politi…
Now we all remember how @nadhimzahawi was curiously well-poised on how to frame this when the story broke. I mean the pseudo-story, of course, how poor little AZ was doing its best & horrid old EU was doing vaccine nationalism. We remember how UK press jumped to frame the issue,
Read 7 tweets
29 Jan
1/ EU-AZ contract row: a disturbing episode.

UK Brexiteers appear to be using health & lives of other human beings to manufacture a situation which they can mischaracterise to discredit the EU, distract from HMG's Covid failures, and crush the nascent #RejoinEU movement.
2/ When the story broke, @nadhimzahawi already knew to frame it as "vaccine nationalism", the media unquestioningly parroted AZ's lines, @Peston eg producing a thread of pure, unattributed-source propaganda.

Eager Brexit supporters have taken to social media claiming ...
3/ the episode vindicates their view of the EU, which they use as a basis to regurgitate their most extreme hate-speech caricatures.

Let's pause to remember the coincidence with 100,000 UK deaths.

Let's pause to remember fishing, financial services, returned parcels, ...
Read 11 tweets
19 Feb 20
Sex scandal of PM's unvetted aide.

Sabisky's agony incel column on reddit included this confession:

"I have a thing for incest erotica myself"

Is this why he organised repentance Mass for the Church?
churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2019/…

@churchofengland @StLukesWallsend
#SabiskyCircle
What does Endre Kormos know of Sabisky's views, fantasies and advice?

What do St Luke's or @JustinWelby think of a man who organises Mass for abuse survivors associating with a man who fantasises about incest? And who co-organises those services.

There's more.

#SabiskyCircle
How long was he REALLY working for @BorisJohnson the well-known #LiarJohnson and why did he accompany him to meetings unvetted?

How did he enter Government circles? Through the Church? Or was it family? After all, his father, Ed, is the finance director at Unite.

#SabiskyCircle
Read 6 tweets

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