A updated thread on Australia’s special chance to keep most people from ever getting COVID 1/
This encouraging news about a new pill from Pfizer is another step toward a vastly more powerful COVID toolbox that is rapidly coming our way. These promise to be game-changers 2/ nytimes.com/2021/11/05/hea…
The news reinforces what Prof Baxter @enenbee I wrote about recently, in the coming year keeping COVID cases low, and eliminating COVID, will become vastly easier than it is now 3/ theconversation.com/covid-doesnt-n…
More drugs like this are likely to emerge and will augment vaccines and especially the apparent extraordinary power of 3-shot vaccination in combating waning immunity 4/ nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
In more terrific news, vaccination of 5-11yo children seems imminent 5/ theage.com.au/national/vacci…
Rates of COVID in NSW, ACT and Victoria are still relatively low & falling on the back first of strong public health measures & now of extraordinary vaccination levels in eligible people. In other states and territories there is effectively no COVID at all. 6/
We have a big chance to prevent most Australians from ever getting infected with COVID-19. Vaccines-Plus (improved masks, ventilation/filtration, TTIQ) can do the job now, especially if we are careful to keep numbers low in kids. 7/
While it is understandable that there is debate about the speed of vaccine rollout for kids, it is not ok to allow them to get infected while we wait for that to happen. Strong mitigation is planned in places but is it happening everywhere and fast enough? 8/
In summary, it is a problem that our national strategy is ambiguous about low infection rates. COVID is a changing, unpredictable, epidemic infection full of pathological & epidemiological uncertainties. It should be our stated, clear ambition to be rid of it. 9/end

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More from @CrabbBrendan

31 Oct
Exit from lockdown in #COVID19Vic was a relief for everyone & more than earned. But in our joy, I don’t think we thought much about those who died on that very day. 1/
It is important we celebrate, in part bc our collective action saved thousands. But also imp we remember the 82 who died of COVID in this last week. We should honour those people same way we do others who die tragically before their time. 2/
It’s important bc our behaviors - as authorities & individuals - still matter in these coming months. Think hard about how those people became infected, & to how we can further minimize that happening. Unvaccinated people esp, but also the vaccinated, can transmit delta. 3/
Read 6 tweets
16 Jul
A thread on our case @BurnetInstitute for why Sydney should move to Stage 4 restrictions without delay 1/18
First, as the Premier says, the only option for NSW (and all of Australia) is to get back to #COVIDZero while we get the country vaccinated. 2/18
Measures in place are keeping things in check. Tens of thousands of cases have been averted; much death & suffering prevented bc of the actions of NSW gov & people. 3/18 infogram.com/1plrmxlq5w1k19…
Read 18 tweets
15 Jul
Much talk to the effect 'we have the policies it's now up to the community to do the right thing'. Putting aside the notion that stronger restrictions send a strong psychological signal (eg, masks on when you leave the house) - the science of influencing behavior is neglected.
But there is a bit going on, such as the Optimise program @BurnetInstitute
burnet.edu.au/projects/459_t…
Here's just one example, improving testing uptake through behavioral science. It's not about blaming and shaming, but working with the people you're trying to influence, ie, not telling, but asking different communities what would work for them!
burnet.edu.au/system/asset/f…
Read 4 tweets

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