Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Nov 9, 2021 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
"You'd rather impress your cardiologist than gym rats"

You need to be BOTH strong AND aerobically fit -it's not not either/or.

There are no RCS for both exercises jointly [only separately] but we know that strength training stiffens LV, aerobic reserse-remodels.

@DrDamluji Image
2) We humans are not made to specialize without costs. Doing "too much" aerobic is worse than the optimal level ["reasonably" fit but without too much hypertrophy], but still better than sedentary.
Being strong is a necessity. But there must be a similar optimum.
3) Rigorous longitudinal RCS: as we age, we need >> than the recommended 150 min/w. Add 90% MHR 1 day plus strength training 1 day, but much less than prof athletes.

Entire bandwidth: Utraslow walks + brisk + stairs/hikes/sprints as no 1 is a substitute.
4) There is no repetitive stress injury in nature (Doing #RWRI 16 from my ancestral village in #Lebanon). Hiking beats any gym, incl. stairs, as your foot hit the ground at diff. angles. And you walk down (the excentric you never get in the gym).
The slope is up to 24% for ½ km.
5) I found the Rippetoe @SS_strength method to be the most effective way to become strong. It is particularly effective in the beginning (gains become natually concave). It is also effective to maintain strength.
[typo: hits]
6) The results of aerobic exercise on blood pressure. Most of the variance is intraday.

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More from @nntaleb

Nov 18
I am not convinced that jumping without a parachute is bad. What's the most clear and comprehensive study demonstrating their harm?
2) The asymmetry: it is when you go against time that you must prove reliability, not the reverse. Why? Because nature & time have near infinite stat significance.
There is NO study showing LT health effects of consuming chemically extracted deodorized lubricants.
Follow the $$$
3) BTW the same thing I am saying abt the uncertainty of using seed oil applied to smoking at the time when people saw no evidence of harm.
You need separate cohorts for a long time to extract risk factors. Unlike smoking we can't control consumption of seed oil in modern life.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 7
Advice to a university president.
In ~40 years in finance I've never see anyone hire an economist. We hire electrical engineers, quants, physicists...
The MD heals patients, the engineer builds bridges, the economist writes papers (used by other economists to write papers).
2/ Economists are usually employed by the public sectors: regulators & central banks where they hire one another.
Their knowledge is too weak for the real world.
3/ Economists, while being known to be totally useless in the private sector, proved great marketing skills in securing for themselves the highest academic salaries.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 1
France: the unsustainable & unavoidable mutation of a standard industrial welfare state into a low-growth-high-debt museum welfare state with a medieval economy focused on handbags, cheese & wine, regardless of the "rightist" or "leftist"outcome.
2/ France: One reason the xenophobic statist group called the "right" is gaining is that poor immigrants are incompatible w/the new French museum state -ignoring that the high ratio of Asian tourists to population also harms the marketing oriented character of that new state.
3/ For those who still don't get the Pareto distr:
4/5 of largest French corps in capitalization, LVHM, LOréal, Hermès, & Dior are into #Lindy Medieval products.
(LVHM has > 3x the capitalization of Airbus which is not even formally French, 8x Dassault's, etc.)
Read 4 tweets
Apr 27
There are physiological benefits from both a moderate amount of vigorous exercise & an immoderate amount of moderate exercise.
The cardiac risks come from moderate amount of moderate exercise & immoderate amount of vigorous exercise.
The logN matches the distributions in nature. Image
In their criticism of Attia in the New Yorker, both Emanuel and Dhruv did not seem to understand the data (nor its properties above).
½ hour/day of moderate exercise is INSUFFICIENT,
Data shows NO J curve for low-mod. ex., w/ continous drops in relative risk to at least 15h/w.Image
3) cc: @PeterAttiaMD @DhruvKhullar @ZekeEmanuel
Read 5 tweets
Dec 28, 2023
Turns out that the claim by Christians in Jerusalem that religious Jews spit on them is true. It is "tradition". I did not believe it (not good marketing to get support from America), but it turned out to be true.
My god.
2) My nightmare. Because I argued it was fake news like the fake protocol.

3) Gets worse

Read 4 tweets
Sep 8, 2023
If a chatbot writes a complete essay from a short prompt, the entropy of the essay must be exactly that of the initial prompt, no matter the length of the final product.
If the entropy of the output > prompt, you have no control over your essay.
In the Shannon sense, with a temperature of 0, you send the prompt and the reveivers will recreate the exact same message.
In a broader sense, with all BS being the same ornament, receivers get the same message in different but equivalent wrapping.
Read 5 tweets

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