Coinbase $COIN is down 11% after reporting Q3 Earnings

Revenue: $1.3B missed $1.57B est.
Monthly Transacting Users (MTU): 7.4M vs 7.09M est
Trading Volume $327B vs $309B est
Adjusted EBITDA $618M vs $662M

Thread on my notes from shareholder letter + call ⬇️
"We are focused on investing for long-term growth. Our business is volatile. $COIN is a long-term investment in the growth of the cryptoeconomy & our ability to serve users through our products & services. We encourage our investors to take this point of view"
"In Q3, Verified Users grew to 73 million and retail Monthly Transacting Users (MTUs) were 7.4 million. The number of institutions and ecosystem partners using Coinbase also continued to grow nicely."
"We generated $1.2B in net revenue, marking our third consecutive quarter of over $1B in
net revenue. This includes $1.1B in transaction revenue and $145M in Subscription and
services revenue. Net income and Adjusted EBITDA were $406M and $618M,
respectively"
Notes from the Call:

Crypto users have doubled this year and growth is accelerating. This resembles the growth of the internet over the last 20 - 30 years.

Focused on serving users with great products, customer service and app reliability, and meeting with/educating regulators.
Institutional business outperformed and retail business performed inline with broader crypto industry

Retail transaction decline is a result of lower volatility in crypto prices. No underlying change to fee rate.

Focus on assets paying off. ~50% of transaction rev from other
Subscription services revenue up 41% QoQ. Encouraging sign that crypto is moving to utility with use cases around yield + reward instead of just investing.

We have increased MTU guidance for remaining of FY 21 to a high of 8.5M and a low of 8 million.
Question: about Coinbase Ventures

Answer: Very pleased with progress (launched in 2018). More than 200 portfolio companies. We invest based on interesting future themes then look for best teams and technologies in those spaces
Question about NFT product

Answer: Very excited about NFTs. Could end up bigger than fungible side of our business. We'd like to make $COIN NFT more like Instagram than an auction so people can follow their favorite creators. We also want to make NFTs easier to use
Question on evolution of marketing (NBA partnership, Youtube ads, etc)

Answer: We have historically used very little marketing spend prior to this year. Right now we see tremendous opportunity and want to reach 1B users (currently at 73 million).
Question on diversifying revenue away from fees

Answer: On the retail side we focus on access to assets, new products, etc. We view ourselves as offering a platform of products and services for investors and don't see ourselves as competing on fees.
continued... we do believe over long term we will see compression in fees and we are focused on growing subscription and service revenue to diversify revenue stream with more products to come in future quarters.

goal is to become primary financial account for users
Question: Improvements in how $COIN will show profit/loss/taxes/etc to users?

Answer: Our view is to have end of year single file showing tax information (Coinbase Tax Center).

By Q1 should see improvement in app to profit/loss/etc
Question: Who is Coinbases largest competitor/threat?

Answer: We love more traditional finance companies getting involved. We do see Square, Paypal, etc entering and often partner with them.

We do see many growing crypto-native companies and also look to partner with them
Many crypto native competitors are much smaller and not regulated so we can often offer a better/safer experience for users.

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More from @LiebermanAustin

20 Dec 20
1/ This type of crap is exactly what drives bubblish activity... and people to rush in and get hurt. I can almost guarantee @tyler won't be buying meaningful amounts here... but he and @michael_saylor are happy to drive the hype train higher.
2/ $TSLA and other real companies might put 1%... or 5% of a balance sheet in at a maximum. The key is MIGHT.

What pisses me off is that these people who are already big-time $BTC owners continue trying to drive the hype train with these absurd types of claims.
3/ I'm sure we will see @APompliano tweeting about this reckless idea as well.

Let me be clear.. I'm not saying owning $BTC is stupid. I'm saying REAL companies with real business to run would never put their whole balance sheet into something like $BTC at this stage
Read 4 tweets
1 Feb 20
THREAD1/

January Investment Portfolio Review (as of close on 1/30)
5Y +235% // S&P500 +62%
3Y +200%
1Y +30%
YTD +29%

Largest Drawdown -39% (2019)

others who share: @ZimVC @David_Kretzmann @TMFStoffel @BrianFeroldi @FoolMCochrane @TMFInnovator @TMFSymington
2/ Top 5 holdings = 61%. This concentration can be risky, so plz don’t just follow. These 5 will drive most my portfolio performance.

Concentration is also what has provided outsized returns.

$AYX 23%
$DDOG 15%
$TTD 9%
$CRWD 9%
$ROKU 6%
I do use options a little. Bit. Here’s a break down of contribution by financial instrument:

Stocks 165%
Options 33%

📝 would probably be best just sticking to stocks but I find options interesting . Owning stocks also has the benefit of less tax implications (generally)
Read 12 tweets
12 Dec 19
1/I’m rereading 100 Baggers by @chriswmayer. Another great book is Intelligent Fanatics by @iancassel and @iddings_sean.

These two books could be the only “investing books” you need to read for life-changing investment returns for normal people who invest.

A thread
2/ the book is based on a study of stocks that returned 100 times your money (or more).

This turns $10k into $1million.

These stocks are more common than one would think.
3/ but finding them is only half (or less) of the battle. You gotta hold on to them.
Read 8 tweets
30 Oct 19
1/ $TWLO @twilio reports today after the close.

Position size 16%
Shares 576
Avg Purch Price: $65.41

I'd like to see:
Total Rev: $302.25M
169k customers
DBNER: 137%-140%

Read my full company overview and earnings preview here: 👇

austin.substack.com/p/company-over…
2/ $TWLO @twilio Why I own?

- Huge fan of Founder and CEO @jeffiel
- Solid leadership team
- Reshaping communications: ~$1.2B+ TAM
- 86% YoY revenue growth (w/SendGrid) & 140% DBNER (~Same Store Sales)

3/ $TWLO @twilio What I'd like to see from today's Q3, 2019 report

Total Rev: $302.25 million, beat by $14.75 million

169,000 Customer Accounts

DBNER 137%+

Strong momentum in Twilio Flex

@SendGrid/@twilio Cross-selling momentum

bonus: HIPAA/Fedramp/Marketing momentum
Read 5 tweets

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