One interesting thing that I think this underscores is how terrible people are at judging the benefits of treatments based on their own experience. The true figures show that people who had MATH+ may have been *more* likely to die
Now, I don't think that's likely to be causal - the treating clinicians were probably just giving the treatment to the sickest people - but the basic narrative supporting the FLCCC protocol has been clinical expertise
The central idea driving FLCCC is that these experts in clinical care - which make no mistake, they are - could tell based on their own recollections which treatments worked best
Instead, the data appears to show that the intuitions of these clinicians may have been entirely misguided, and indeed the reverse of what they believe may be true 🤷‍♂️
This isn't a problem limited to any one group, it just shows how problematic it can be to rely on anyone's recollections because our brains aren't geared towards detecting truth

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More from @GidMK

9 Nov
Wow. The key FLCCC paper on their main protocol has been retracted after understating the true number of deaths in the treatment group by ~78%
retractionwatch.com/2021/11/09/bad…
From the hospital where this work was conducted:

"...a careful review of our data for patients with COVID-19...only 25 of 191 patients (13.1%) received all 4 MATH+ therapies, and their mortality rate was 28%" rather than 6.1% cited in the article

journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.117…
"This would be an incorrect calculation of a hospital mortality rate, but might explain the incorrect number of 6.1% in Table 2. Using this incorrect mortality
rate to compare with the published reports and claim a “75% absolute risk reduction” is thus an incorrect conclusion"
Read 5 tweets
8 Nov
One of the weirdest things about the ivermectin discussion has been watching people go from "the evidence is good quality" to "it's just one fraud" to "lots of fraud isn't an issue" as the story has progressed
Most of the time, having the single biggest and most positive study looking at a topic withdrawn due to research misconduct would be enough for any researcher to reassess their position, but not with ivermectin!
Instead, people argue that it's fine because there's a "baseline" of fraud in other research, or because there are still (mostly null) trials which are not fraudulent
Read 4 tweets
7 Nov
Agreeing to do free work (reviewing papers) should not require more free work (creating 100s of logins on editorial management systems)
Oh, I forgot the specific, unique username you assigned to me 5 years ago? WHAT A SURPRISE GUESS I'LL RESET THAT
"Use your ORCID to login!"

*tries ORCID*

"Looks like you don't have an account. Create one today!"

*Creates account*

"Looks like you DO have an account. Forgotten your username?" 🙃🙃🙃
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
I always find it bizarre that people treat voting rights as some sort of philosophical battle when it's really very simple maths: right-wing groups will always act to block rights, left-wing groups will always try to get more people voting
The groups who don't vote are traditionally disadvantaged groups - younger people, lower-income, minorities etc. There's some variation within that structure, but it's pretty consistent
These are also the groups most likely to vote left-wing. If you're being brutally pragmatic (as most political people are), and left-wing group will want to broaden the vote because most of those extra voters will probably vote for them
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
There is a lot of medical nonsense out there that is depressing and sad, but every once in a while it's worth remembering that large animal chiropractic exists and is both very silly and incredibly funny to watch
Here is a video of a chiropractor 'adjusting' a giraffe's spine by poking it. A giraffe has vertebrae that are ~30cm thick, you can't adjust that without a large hammer of some kind
Here's a video of someone adjusting the spine of a ~600Kg dairy cow with their bare hands. The cow does not even notice
Read 5 tweets
2 Nov
The Lebanese ivermectin study has been retracted, with the lead author claiming that the fake data used in the paper was meant to "train a research assistant"

retractionwatch.com/2021/11/02/ive…
How this mistake was made, and why they generated an entirely fake dataset that matches their actual conclusions which was statistically analyzed and published is not elucidated on
Gotta say, I've never created fake outcome data to train a research assistant (in what?), but if I did I doubt it would be kept anywhere near the real data from my trial 🤷‍♂️
Read 4 tweets

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