Thread by @Nrg8000

In Myanmar's Chin State, a Tatmadaw convoy of 75 vehicles has been making the 150km - 3hr drive from Matupi to Mindat for the past 9 days. Since Nov 4 - when attacks began by the CDF - they've only been able to move an average of 8.5km per day, approx 60 troops have been killed.

Since a surge of Tatmadaw troops to Chin state in early October (well documented by @ChinHumanRights), these troops have only been able to move in large crawling convoys, essentially ceeding the areas away from limited garrisons and the convoys to resistance groups.

@ChinHumanRights This has allowed parallel administration structures in Chin state to flourish - for example the Mindat Public Administration Team has reopened practically every school under a NUG-supervised curriculum, with over 2k students returning to school under their control.

@ChinHumanRights Meanwhile, the Tatmadaw convoys and garrisons are under regular attack and - through a combination of widespread resistance and the poor road infrastructure in Chin - unable to prop up the deeply unpopular junta effectively on the ground in the state.

This shows the challenges faced by the Tatmadaw even in the dry 'fighting' season, during which some analysts predicted the widespread destruction of resistance bases. These predictions are not yet bearing out even in the lowland regions.
#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Nov11Coup

There are two distinct realities here. The one lived by Western, Bangkok-based "Security Analysts", and the one lived by fighters and soldiers on the ground. They're very distinct.