In Myanmar's Chin State, a Tatmadaw convoy of 75 vehicles has been making the 150km - 3hr drive from Matupi to Mindat for the past 9 days. Since Nov 4 - when attacks began by the CDF - they've only been able to move an average of 8.5km per day, approx 60 troops have been killed.
Since a surge of Tatmadaw troops to Chin state in early October (well documented by @ChinHumanRights), these troops have only been able to move in large crawling convoys, essentially ceeding the areas away from limited garrisons and the convoys to resistance groups.
@ChinHumanRights This has allowed parallel administration structures in Chin state to flourish - for example the Mindat Public Administration Team has reopened practically every school under a NUG-supervised curriculum, with over 2k students returning to school under their control.
@ChinHumanRights Meanwhile, the Tatmadaw convoys and garrisons are under regular attack and - through a combination of widespread resistance and the poor road infrastructure in Chin - unable to prop up the deeply unpopular junta effectively on the ground in the state.
This shows the challenges faced by the Tatmadaw even in the dry 'fighting' season, during which some analysts predicted the widespread destruction of resistance bases. These predictions are not yet bearing out even in the lowland regions.
#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Nov11Coup
There are two distinct realities here. The one lived by Western, Bangkok-based "Security Analysts", and the one lived by fighters and soldiers on the ground. They're very distinct.

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More from @Nrg8000

23 Oct
🧵Since Mid-October, the Burmese PDF and other armed opposition groups have gotten better at filming attacks and weapons captures.
I'll use this thread to share (and locate where possible) some of these claims and media.
Will also share any IED pics I can find. ImageImageImageImage
This video, via @KhitThitOfficial, shows KNLA troops attacking a Tatmadaw convoy on the Kamarmaung - Hpapun road in Karen (Kayin) State on Sept 30th. That day there were 6 clashes between the 402nd LIB and the KNLA's 102nd Battalion, killing 24 Tatmadaw troops.
This video shows the Chinland Defense Force - Zophei and the Chin National Army dismantling and setting fire to an abandoned Tatmadaw outpost on Oct 4th. The base was evacuated by helicopter four days earlier.…
Photos show the weapons carried.
/3 ImageImageImageImage
Read 37 tweets
22 Sep
THREAD. Today @GrewalBaani and I released a short interactive report looking to explain and update the situation on the Doklam Plateau. It remains a flashpoint with underlying tension. For this project we built a 3D model & mapped positions on both sides.
@GrewalBaani What jumps out looking at Doklam today, four years after the stand-off, is that none of the tensions that caused that conflict have been addressed, there is still an inherent competition for the strategic position in Sikkim. /2
@GrewalBaani To help orient people to the issue and explain the strategic importance of Doklam we produced two 3D models that can be explored here:
These allow you to explore the terrain and positions on both sides yourself.
Read 10 tweets
19 Sep
This jabroni dedicated a huge thread to whataboutism.

What he ignores is that for a lot of people including me, knowledge of the brutal and inhuman treatment of indigenous people on our doorstep is a big driver on how we think about Xinjiang and why we consider it genocide.
Australia's genocide of our indigenous people was driven largely by eugenics and an idea of ethnic superiority. It is too chilling to hear echos of that language and those policies in today's China to not shout about them.
The fact that propagandists and people like Stuart can be fully aware of one, and wholeheartedly defend similar policies occuring today speaks either to their morals or the intelligence. Or both.
Read 4 tweets
2 Sep
Thread of interesting Aerial imagery from the aftermath of Hurricane Ida that struck Louisiana last weekend.

Over a dozen large oil/gas containers swept around 250m from the lot they were parked in in Port Fouchon.…
A group of tugboats and debris in Port Fouchon. The ship most rotated is the Crosby Guardian…
A large boat shelter in Port Fouchon looking quite obliterated.…
Read 21 tweets
16 Aug
A video from 1 hour ago showing Kabul's Camp Gibson under the control out the Taliban.
Caption says 'The largest military base in Kabul is under the control of the Taliban'.

Outside there are two burnt-out Technicals, presumably belonging to Afghan forces.

Full videos in reply.
This is the video drive-by of the base's entrance.
This video shows the two burnt-out technicals.
Read 4 tweets
16 Aug
The lengths that government bureaucracies all across Europe are going to to deny fleeing Afghans (including interpreters and other local staff) refuge in the continent is completely disgusting. An absolute stain on the moral leadership of Europe and inexcusable.
Stories of interpreters and local embassy staff being denied protection for arbitrary bureaucratic reasons with no bearing on reality is a civilisational blight, and disgusting disregard for human life. It is chilling to think how many lives these purposeful denials will cost.
Foreign Ministries across Europe are being deliberately myopic and obstructionist in preventing the protection of people. Interpreters are told to provide documents that have already been burnt to save their lives. These are not legitimate hurdles, theyre deliberate barriers.
Read 18 tweets

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