A reminder: an effective border force..customs & (bio security) market standards..deters smugglers. There is none between NI & IE as was agreed to move it back from there to between GB & NI. The remaining EU26 not just IE need their customs & market standards territory protecting
If intending to introduce universal lower standards & tariffs to your bordering market less so an issue.
However non market standards goods can be legally transited across higher standards & customs territories to your market..*Effective* border force controls is the deterrence.
To maintain trade flows the controls needs to match demand. GB has had insufficient capacity to meet new demands for 11 months now. It has prioritised EU inbound "flow over control" owing to EU dependency, but still not enough to prevent strangled (round trip) supply chains.
From 1/1/22 the EU inbound "controls" will be (or will they?) notched up . Full EU inbound "controls" due July 2022 (18 months after TCA brexit that UK wanted & got)...but UK still has insufficient capacity to control this EU needed trade flow. "Control or flow" ? Gov must choose
In the meantime smugglers continue to smile..alongside EU legitimate suppliers given advantage over GB counterparts as UK Gov policy.
Other WTO members the opposite...
Truss, when trade sec knew all this (or at least her civil servants did). That was June 2020.
Tick tock.

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More from @vivamjm

10 Nov
"Due to the politically sensitive nature of Brexit detailed guidance has been slow to emerge"
& therein lies the problem..nobody
(Gov OR Labour or MSM) been prepared to say
'prepare for *huge detrimental costly* changes.
.& why headline here very wrong!!
theloadstar.com/brexit-knowled…
"Following a 6-month delay, full customs checks will be imposed on goods crossing from the EU into the UK from 1 January, but DDC FPO’s head of customs and logistics services for the UK and Europe, Chris Curtin, questions how much progress has been made in those extra 6 months"
by importers, exporters, customs brokers, logistics technology providers, plus transport and ferry operators?
. There is a mountain traders will need to climb, in terms of readiness, and that readiness needs to be reflected by all actors in the supply chain.
Read 5 tweets
4 Nov
Incredible how so many are still not understanding what was always coming from leaving shared customs territory & shared standards/SPS territory
esp with (wanting) "divergence" ..
thus maximising the border processes & costs
inews.co.uk/news/world/shi…
For those wondering why "easier to order from India" again key word is "capacity". For non EU/UK freight traffic supply (customs & SPS BPs/systems/personnel)
meets demand.
Before 1/1/21 it did too for EU inc UK (internal market) freight: i.e. *zero* supply to meet *zero* demand
Now all are struggling with crawling up from *zero* supply to meet the same demands of non EU/UK demands.
"Why don't couriers/carriers divert capacity?"
Because that'll adversely impact on their other services, where if these services suffer they'll lose business to competitors
Read 6 tweets
21 Oct
My small business doing well in GB. I previously could look to Ireland, NI or continent to make some new contacts with no customs/market compliance extra hassles.I could throw a few exhibits & display equipment in back of my van & take onto a ferry still inside my internal market
to attend any exhibit across my continent. I now have the mammoth "red tape" of customs formalities inc RoO, carnets & proving compliance with health & CE certification. Please tell me how I will replace these business opportunities with your NZ "cutting red tape" opportunities?
Will I avoid the customs formalities including carnets (& certs of origin now needed for my former internal market) and the market compliance proof certifications?
How do I as easily exhibit there in NZ or indeed start making good 12,000 miles away cemented contacts. ?
Read 4 tweets
21 Oct
So I (and others of course) 5 years long warned out of the SM/CU
regardless of *any* "Canada Style Deal"/FTA would mean

1) Reduced to wholly lost trade/service providing/working/retirement/travel rights & benefits across our continent. Tick
2) an intractable problem with the shared customs territory & shared regulatory territory across the British border in Ireland. Tick
3) pummeled and utterly fucked GB sales in EU as EU buyers progressively find other internal market suppliers. Tick
4) shortages and long term reduced choice at much higher rocketing prices in GB as EU suppliers without massively raised selling prices consider it not worth the hassle. Semi Tick (as UK Gov still too afraid to fully implement its brexit its side)
Read 6 tweets
7 Oct
You know what gets me?...
The fact that media is even asking the questions along the lines of
"is Brexit responsible for logistics chaos and delivery issues"
shows how very clearly the UK is being gaslighted.
The internationally agreed *baseline* on trade is WTO rules.
163 (but not all the world's) nations have signed up to these.
However this is not enough for 162 members so members negotiate closer relationships in the form of various bilateral agreements up to Free Trade Agreements.
No country trades on WTO rules alone.
Read 8 tweets
6 Oct
Ideal "job" in UK? I'd recommend everybody become a MP. Be paid extremely well to be ignorant &/or lobby fodder &/or vote to be (executive powers) redundant on full pay. You've nothing to worry about in lying your way to the top regardless of the known economic crash consequences
to trade; people's small businesses, livelihoods & jobs (...& peace) 

You can can also remove people's extended freedoms across Europe in the perverse twisted name of freedom

as the public will always just collectively shrug its shoulders & continue voting for you anyway
Read 4 tweets

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