Having heard the @MarosSefcovic press conference and read the @DavidGHFrost statement, it is clear that the decision by @BorisJohnson whether to trigger Article 16 and start a damaging trade war with the EU will almost certainly be a purely political one by him, because...
Sefcovic and Frost are working to ease the friction on trade between GB and Northern Ireland, with the flow of medicines a priority. All will depend on two issues: whether Johnson regards it as a matter of overwhelming importance that the European Court of Justice should...
have no role in adjudicating on Northern Ireland European single market trade disputes, since the EU will not budge on this; and whether the putative domestic political benefits to him of having yet another punch up with the EU outweigh the inevitable economic costs of a trade...
war combined with the diplomatic damage of a further deterioration in diplomatic relations with our near and dear neighbours. What I can't judge is whether Frost's more emollient language today and agreement to continue talking is a genuine de-escalation or a lull before...
the storm. I slightly assume the PM, who is hearing differing representations on this from his MPs and the Tories' erstwhile allies in the DUP, hasn't made up his mind
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
