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Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
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12 Nov, 5 tweets, 2 min read
"But a significant poll from Savanta ComRes suggests the tide is quickly changing, with huge doubts now creeping into the minds of those that voted to leave the continental bloc."

Headline matches subhead matches article.

Extraordinary, for the Express!
express.co.uk/news/politics/…
Popping sounds heard all over Britain as Express commenters burst blood vessels.

Many appear off the charts with rage (not least because their darling newspaper dared publish it).

They also don't seem to have a clue how statistical sampling works. But is that really a surprise?
The thing is, none of this should be a surprise.

The pattern of Brexit disaster was a known known long before we left the EU. It was dictated by everything we gave up as a result of abandoning our membership.

It's a case of perception catching up with reality.
The really key thing is the shift since June.

If we fast forward a few months and the effects of Brexit and covid become even more distinct than they are now, there's no reason to think that the move towards a Rejoin stance can't continue to gather additional support.
Now seems like the perfect time to revisit key warnings from 2018 that have taken on renewed significance as the UK threatens to bust the deal open by triggering Article 16.
medium.com/@edwinhayward/…

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Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
12 Nov
"Brexit poll: Boris dealt huge blow as more than HALF of UK adults want to REJOIN EU"

🎶The tide, the tide is turning.🎶

The Express publishes a straight news story for once, and a very damning one to boot.

Comments are... incensed, to say the least.
express.co.uk/news/politics/…
The thing is, none of this should be a surprise.

The broad shape of the Brexit disaster was a known known long before we left the EU. It was dictated by everything we had to give up as a result of abandoning our membership.

It's a case of perception catching up with reality.
The key thing is the shift since June. If we fast forward a few more months and the effects of Brexit and covid are even more distinct than they are now, there's no reason to think that the move towards a Rejoin stance won't continue to gather support.
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
12 Nov
The Tories have deleted the text of Boris Johnson's speech at this year's party conference from their website. (Notice their 404 error attacks KS.)
conservatives.com/news/prime-min…

Of course, the internet never forgets, so here it is from the Internet Archive...
web.archive.org/web/2021100613…
Now, whether it was because it was gibberish, or loaded with the sorts of insults MPs aren't meant to throw at each other, or dripping with lies, or just plain embarrassing, I don't know.

But someone took the conscious decision to delete it. Which is why it's worth highlighting.
So, just because the Tories don't want us to see Boris Johnson's speech for some reason, here's that link to the archived version again...

(And yes, the layout is maddening. But that would have been in the original. The Internet Archive didn't change it.)
web.archive.org/web/2021100613…
Read 5 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
7 Nov
5 things Labour need to do

1. Always refer to Brexit as "Tory Brexit" (every single Labour MP and peer, every time it comes up).

2. Be much more vocally critical of Tory Brexit. Not Brexit. Tory Brexit.

3. Clearer improvements to the deal.

4. Big bold electoral pacts.

5. PR.
Yes, Labour voted Tory Brexit through.

So what? As we have seen countless times when it comes to the Tories, political stances change.

"We're not trying to rejoin the EU but we want to reverse the damage being caused by Tory Brexit."

Seems pretty straightforward.
And in response to the inevitable next question:

"We believe in honouring the result of the referendum. That's why, when Boris Johnson assured the country he had an oven-ready Tory Brexit, we decided to give him a fair chance to try to implement it. He has demonstrably failed."
Read 7 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
7 Nov
Sajid Javid and the Tories are complaining not enough people have been coming forward for booster shots.

But there's an incredibly good reason for it: the system doesn't allow it.

The rule is you have to be at least 190 days past your second dose. 190 days ago was 1 May... Image
To clarify the above graph further...

Of the 20,289,126 people over 50 in England who've already had 2 doses of the vaccine, almost half (9,880,189) were given their second dose too recently for the booster booking system to allow them to book that extra shot.
Of course, that's only the data for England. And there will be people outside the over-50s category who are also eligible for a booster because of an underlying health issue.

But the fact remains that the vast majority of eligible people have had it. The rest are forced to wait.
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
2 Nov
"I never realised we were going to incur all these costs. We were told it was going to be free trade."

Comment from fisherman who regrets voting Leave can be read two ways. Free = frictionless, but also = no cost. Some people may have thought the latter?
theguardian.com/business/2021/…
If your instant reaction is "how can anyone be so foolish!" take a deep breath and a step back, stop, and REALLY think about it.

What would "free trade" sound like to someone immersed in their work/life and with no interest in politics (shock news: most people don't care much)?
The fact that you're reading this thread at all means you're in the minority of people who do care.

But that creates the "don't think of a pink elephant" problem: because it's obvious to you, it's impossible to see how it couldn't be equally obvious to others.
Read 6 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
1 Nov
Here's the website for the Festival of Brexit (aka £120 million taxpayer cash spaff). It's been rebranded 'Unboxed' in the vain hope people will forget its origin.

WARNING: If you scroll too quickly down the page, you'll need a sick bag. Startling strobe!
unboxed2022.uk
How can anyone think that spending £120 million so that the 52% who already ruined all our lives can lord it over the 48% represents money well spent?

Feed. Hungry. Children. Instead.

Here's an article with more info about this chameleonic travesty.
timeout.com/news/the-festi…
BTW, I didn't read every word of every page, but I did have a jolly good peek around the Festival website and there's no mention of Brexit anywhere.

The Tory press release doesn't mention Brexit either.

Funny that, isn't it?
gov.uk/government/new…
Read 4 tweets

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