Questions asked in public health before vaccine mandates are appropriate for endorsement.

1) Is there grave risk?
2) Is vaccine safe and effective?
3) Is there a superior benefit of the vaccine to alternatives?

Bonus: Are there significant consequences to coercion?

Thread.
1. Is there grave risk to the public?

No. Not with working age population (15-64 years old).

Over 75% of all COVID-19 deaths are 65+.

The survival rate for under 65 is over 99.9%.

There is not grave risk to most working age persons.

2/6
2. Are vaccines safe and effective?

To most they are safe. Scandanavian countries have suspended use for some males under 18-30 in Moderna, due to some signals of Myocarditis.

These vaccines lessen risk of severe illness, but they do not prevent or slow down transmission.

3/6
3. Is there a superior benefit to alternatives?

Monoclonal antibodies are 70-80% effective against severe illness. Regeneron is 80% effective for up to 8 months as a prophylactic. Trials for antivirals Merck and Pfizer pills are promising.

We now have treatment available.

4/6
4. The coercion seen with these vaccines is eroding trust in public health. The lies, exaggerations, manipulation will create further vaccine hesitancy with other vaccines. The credibility of public health is severely shake and might be irreparable.

5/6
Bottom line:

* There is not a grave risk to most people

* Even accepting vaccines as safe to most (they are), and effective at decreasing risk (they do), they do NOT prevent or greatly reduce risk of transmission

* We have effective treatments now

* Coercion is damaging P.H.

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More from @kylamb8

7 Nov
A graphic from the FDA printed in May 2009 during the beginning of the H1N1 outbreak by McClatchy-Tribune.

"Surgical masks and N95 respirators are not tested against specific microorganisms and should not claim to prevent specific diseases."

Note: viruses are not microorganisms
Dr. Laurene Mascola, director of acute communicable disease control for the Los Angeles County Dept. of Public Health told the L.A. Times in May 2009 that surgical masks are only effective for up to 20-30 minutes.

"Once they get most, they are no longer useful."
Dr. Dalius Briedis, director of clinical infectious diseases at Royal Victoria Hospital in Montreal told the Vancouver Sun during the start of H1N1 that surgical masks will provide "no more than 10-to-20 percent protection."

Interesting that's same as Sweden/Bangladesh RCTs.
Read 7 tweets
5 Nov
There is not a single study in the entire world that has been produced during the pandemic, or especially before, that shows masks reduce infections by 80%.

This is the most comically bad misinformation I have ever seen. CDC has been reduced to outright lies.
Asterisk* there has not been a single observational study or randomized trial.

Have there been some computer models to come up with 80% number by arbitrarily making assumptions ahead of time? Probably. But GIGO.
Just to give you a heads up on how laughably bad this is, there have been two RCTs produced on masking with COVID-19. They found midpoints of 10-14% efficacy, neither of which found statistical significance to guarantee efficacy.

80% is not even in the universe of reality.
Read 4 tweets
5 Nov
Just from my own rudimentary surveillance, states that have announced they will file a lawsuit or oppose the OSHA rule by circuit:

1st: NH
4th: SC, WV
5th: LA, MS, TX
6th: KY, OH, TN
7th: IN
8th: AR, IA, MO, NE, ND, SD
9th: AK, AZ, ID, MT
10th: KS, OK, UT, WY
11th: AL, GA, FL
Some of these had a governor or attorney general previously announce after Sep. 9, and others, since then. But most have reaffirmed today that I've seen.

If you see any others that have come out stating they will oppose the rule in court, please link in this thread.
Some of these states have multi-state pacts and will file jointly, others will do so separately. AL/GA/FL will file jointly in the 11th. I believe KY/OH/TN are doing so jointly in the 6th.
Read 6 tweets
2 Nov
Man has "only a few decades" to solve the problem of global warming caused by pollution. Another dire warning coming out of the Climate Conference right?

No. It is from a Rand Corp scientist in 1969.
Meanwhile, in 1970, Dr. Reid Bryson was warning of a possible ice age coming by 2000 due to pollutants in the atmosphere.
But after he could no longer support the earth cooling, he backed off the ice age coming as soon as 2000 and in 1977, said it was still 3,000-5,000 years away.
Read 7 tweets
20 Oct
In Titusville, @GovRonDeSantis says the Federal government will not be allowed to weaponize agencies against concerned parents in Florida in their pursuit of parental rights over their child's education, including the decision whether to wear masks in schools
The father of a down syndrome, special needs student in Brevard County is now speaking. The father said a mask was being tied to his daughter's face when she couldn't keep it on against their will.
The data does not support any mask mandates of children in schools says @FLSurgeonGen. He says there simply isn't any justification for it.
Read 7 tweets
7 Oct
Masks are not mandatory now in classrooms in: UK, Iceland, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Norway, Switzerland, Austria, Netherlands, Belgium (12 & under), Russia, Poland, Hungary, Bulgaria (up to 5th grade), most of South America, etc. Masking children in the U.S. isn't science.
Also remember: the World Health Organization does NOT recommend masking kids 0-5 years old in any circumstance, despite our unscientific CDC guidance wanting to mask up 2 year olds.
Read 5 tweets

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