Was #COP26 a success or a failure is an absurdly simplistic question. It's a both/and. As @Bankfieldbecky has noted it depends on whether you are looking to relative or absolute metrics.
But it is indisputable progress. It does increase the chances of getting the world to net zero and 'well below' 2C, even if 1.5C remains an enormous stretch, and it starts to at least engage with questions of historic injustice.
It is also a genuine diplomatic success for @AlokSharma_RDG@archieyounguk@camillaborn and the COP26 team. It is hard to see how a stronger deal could have been delivered with the mandates country delegations had.
Maybe more could have been done with a longer term full government push to build the alliances that could perhaps have leveraged more cash and concessions from the key players. But for the two weeks in Glasgow the UK team navigated huge challenges to get the best possible deal.
It was described earlier in the week as a 'high risk, high reward' strategy, and from a diplomatic perspective it appears to have paid off.
The challenge now for anyone and everyone in the climate movement is to build on the policy foundations and the corporate and public engagement created to accelerate progress on every front, so that 1.5C really is kept alive.
I was hoping to blog on it all, but far too exhausted to string a sentence together. But this from yesterday still stands: businessgreen.com/blog-post/4040…
And remember, all this stuff does have real world impacts and they will improve lives and drive a more prosperous future for all. businessgreen.com/blog-post/4040…
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I understand the impulse to condemn the proposed COP26 agreement as inadequate given the scale of the crisis, but it really is a lot better than its critics are claiming.
The Paris Agreement and the progress it unlocked has, in the space of six years, pulled temperature projections down from circa 3C+ to 2.4C. The Glasgow Climate Pact (assuming it is not torpedoed at the last) effectively validates and builds on the Paris Agreement.
It creates a moment every year when governments will face intense public and geopolitical pressure to strengthen their decarbonisation plans.
Just catching Sharma’s speech as I leave the site. He says the text is ‘clean’. Has a deal been done?
Sharma urges countries to come together. Acknowledges that delegations may now seek opportunity to leverage this moment to get more. He urges them not to, insisting the deal is ‘balanced’.
Sharma says ‘we will succeed or fail as one… the world is watching us, they are willing us to deliver a deal’.
Crucial lines on updating NDCs next year are still in. Enough to let Presidency say 1.5C is still just about alive?
Totemic lines on phasing out unabated coal and inefficient subsidies remains, but with crucial additional reference to support for a 'just transition'.
Good morning from day eleventy hundred in the Glasgow Climate Enormo-tent.
Just spoke to a few observers and other sources and the mood is still one of cautious optimism, apparently.
There have been no reports of big rows overnight, as yet, and the hope is that a broadly ambitious text can be steered through the final steps of the process and secure an agreement that would be a significant step forward for the global climate fight.