New thread. Any military developments regarding the Belarussian border tension I find, I'll put here.

1/
Seeing several military VIP flights to Brussels ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช for the NATO meeting. Slovenian came and went.

They are:
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท ERJ-135 484 #4681E4
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช CASA 235-100 MPA 252 #4CA13E
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น A319 MM62209 #33FFC1
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Falcon 2000 L1-01 #506F24
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช GIV SP 102004 #4A8199

2/ Image
As such, NATO-member VIP jet spots across the pond:

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น IAM3131 is Italian Air Force Dassault Falcon 900 MM62245 #33FFAD. To Andrews AFB.
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ HUAF777 is Hungarian Air Force Dassault Falcon 7X 607 #477FF7, out of Tampa IAP.

3/ Image
There is a post circulating among the OSINT community about railcars being emptied in Rutchenkovo railyard, Donetsk ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ/๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ, however a review of EO/Sentinel passes since September 15 looks like it has been empty this whole time. It does not look like it has emptied recently.

5/ ImageImage
Belarus cuts off electricity to Ukraine starting tomorrow.

6/
Additionally, Belarus has ceased operation of the Druzhba oil pipeline to Poland, citing "unplanned maintenance" for several days.
7/
This comes amidst the German suspension of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline.

8/
bbc.com/news/business-โ€ฆ
Ukraine is deploying elements of it's ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ National Guard 4th Rapid Response Brigade to the Belarussian border.

The unit was formed & trained in conformity with NATO standards. (Ukraine Today, 2016)

Images suggest personnel only, not heavier equipment.

9/
* its ๐Ÿ˜‘
Estonia ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช is calling up 1684 reservists from 191st & 291st recon companies as well as 17th & 27th engineering battalions for previously unscheduled exercises, placing razor wire on the border w/ Russia.
10/
Yelnya alone has about 5 brigade's worth of Russian equipment stacked up right now.

13/
7 9K58 (BM-30 "Smerch") MLRS seen moving in Tver, date unknown (posted November 16th).

15/
From 11/13/21.

A soldier from the 17th Wielkopolska Mechanized Brigade died from a non-combat gunshot.

6 days prior (11/7/21?) the body of a soldier from 21st Podhale Rifle Brigade was found at the Polish-Belarussian border.

19/
rp.pl/wojsko/art1910โ€ฆ

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More from @vcdgf555

21 Nov
>flights ๐Ÿง

Has anyone identified them yet? Image
Sources (BBC, Pravda, Euroradio) indicate that several airlines are involved, increasing routes to meet an anticipated demand of tourists at discount rates to Minsk. Those involved (but not limited to):

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ Iraqi Airways
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Belavia
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ทTurkish Airlines
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ Cham Wings Airlines
So here is what gets REALLY interesting.

The head of foreign economic activity for Minsk airport indicates that service routes are in the works to open for Kenya, Vietnam, Algeria, Iran, Morocco, Moldova, Qatar, Ethiopia as of early November.
belmarket.by/news/2021/11/0โ€ฆ
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
Here comes the fuzz.

USAF RC-135W Rivet Joint SIGINT 62-4131 #AE01CC
USAF KC-135R tanker 60-0339 #AE0483
USN EP-3E Aries II SIGINT 159893 #AE1D95
USN MQ-4C Triton UAV 168460 #AE5C74
More surveillance.

MILKY76 is USAF ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ E-8C J-STARS 99-0006 #AE1497
Something I noticed earlier... the 2 leading Taiwanese Radarbox stations are virtually unusable today.

Probably just a coincidence.
Read 19 tweets
7 Oct
The last open-source info I can find is that USS Connecticut was in Japan in August. Not much to go on for a position. Somewhere in the western Pacific.

Given the timing (October 2nd, Saturday) and location, I am now deeply interested in knowing what that "object" was.
Military Times now reporting there are several injuries but none are life-threatening.

Further, "the areaโ€™s topography at the time did not indicate there was a land mass in front of the boat", according to one anonymous source.

militarytimes.com/breaking-news/โ€ฆ
Read 4 tweets
6 Oct
From four hours ago.

Pair of PLA Air Force Y-20A strategic transports out of Qionglai heading north of Chengdu, Sichuan.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ 11059 #7A4254
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ 11152 #7A425D Image
Out near Yunlin County ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ currently.

Longtime unknown contact #7A421A
PLAAF ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ KJ-500 30176 #7A429B (something @RadarBox24 might want to change in their database ๐Ÿ˜‰) ImageImage
@RadarBox24 Also PLAAF ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Y-20A 20046 #7A4286 Image
Read 4 tweets
8 Sep
That's not lightning in the background. Those are power transformers cooking off.

Acapulco just got rocked by a decent size quake.
Mexico City seems to have experienced the same kind of power surges as Acapulco did, just on a much smaller scale.
Read 5 tweets
15 Aug
So... about this CRJ-100SE. Took off out of Dubai (DWC/OMDW). However, that's not the interesting part of the story... Image
The aircraft is ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ San Marino-registered T7-BGD #50014B. Owned by Bancroft Specialty Logistics. Flight originated out of Basel Mulhouse-Freiberg EuroAirport (BSL/LFSB). Last flight prior to that was on 08/03/21. Image
Bancroft Specialty Logistics LLC is part of Bancroft Global.
ch-aviation.com/portal/airlineโ€ฆ Image
Read 4 tweets

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