Before going into $SE Q3 earnings...

Here's a review of last quarter's transcript (Q2 2021)

I hope this helps refresh your memory.

Here's 5 things that stood out that's good to keep in mind:
1. Free fire is not affected by competing battle royale mobile games

FF has competitors since some time back.

But they don't see any effect because people don't treat FF just like a shooter game.

It's a place where they go to hangout and socialize, enjoy new content.
2. Much more room for monetization

Shopee still has lots of ad inventory.

Many of their sellers are not educated about ads and promotions.

So penetration is still low, and there's a long runway ahead to monetize.

They don't have to raise commissions and taxes just to make $$.
3. Buying frequency in Indonesia is now 7x a month

This number was 4-5x a month last year.

It's now increased to 7x a month.

Shows the stickiness of the platform, and enduring habits kicking in.
4. Their ads and marketing spend are strategic

It's NOT just a defensive move

Some time back:

There was concern that a key risk for Shopee is if they stop spending on S&M, they will lose share to competitors.

It doesn't seem so now.
It's more of a managed outcome now.

They are spending to capture more users during festive seasons

Example: during Ramadan, where the ROI will be more efficient.

It's more of a strategic play.
5. Consistent thesis: go for scale and dominance, profits come naturally

YJ wang has been repeating this across several earnings calls.

The thesis is still the same.

And they have been consistent in their messaging.

Tells me their priorities are clear and focused:
Go for scale and dominance first...

And profits will take care of itself later.

Evidence of this playbook taking shape:

Malaysia EBITDA positive (before HQ costs), following in footsteps of Taiwan
If you like this, follow me at @heymaxkoh

I share my journey on:

- How I attained financial freedom before 30

- My investing strategies

- How I research companies to buy

Last but not least, always remember:

Buy everything on... (wait for it)...

Shopee - pi - pi - pi - pi!

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More from @heymaxkoh

10 Nov
1/15 Thread:

1 simple sentence every investor must understand to do well:
2/ "The intrinsic value of a business is determined by the sum of all its future cash flows the business can generate, from now till kingdom come...

Discounted back to the present".

Warren Buffett
3/ Even if you have no intention to calculate the specific intrinsic value of your business...

Or you are unable to do so because the business is in hypergrowth and loss making...

You still MUST internalize this one sentence.

Here's why:
Read 17 tweets
9 Nov
15 lessons from Joys of Compounding by @Gautam__Baid

This was my favourite investing book of 2020.

I've read it twice.

And plan to re-read it again.

Many lessons on life, investing, and becoming a better human being.
1. Importance of revenue growth

"Long-term revenue growth—particularly organic revenue growth—is the most important driver of shareholder returns for companies with high returns on capital"
2. Zoom out

"The very fact that most of the talent and resources on Wall Street are focused on competing in the short-term arena of the next few quarters is what leads to a big opportunity for those who can look 3-5 years out and quietly consider the bigger picture."
Read 17 tweets
8 Nov
Bryan Werlemann owns over 45,000 $TSLA shares he bought over the years.

They're currently worth over...

$45 Million!

I just listened to this 1 hour interview of @heydave7 with @womperoom

There are many unconventional investing lessons here.

Here's 10 of my big takeaways: Image
1. Average up. Don't anchor to past price

Bryan didn't anchor to his original cost.

He kept adding to TSLA, even up till now.

It shows that the old adage of "buy low sell high" is inaccurate.

The better way would be to buy high, and keep averaging up as the business executes.
2. Know the management

By chance, Bryan got to spend personal time with Elon and ask him questions.

That helped deepen his conviction in $TSLA.

It helped him to hold through drawdowns.

Even add more.

But what if you can't meet management 1-1 like Bryan did?

(continued)...
Read 18 tweets
7 Nov
A curation of my 5 favourite investing learnings this week.

They include:

- Optimizing for happiness vs returns

- how great leaders build great cultures

- $GOOGL investing mistakes made by John Huber

- Warren Buffett and his crazy obsession with compounding

Enjoy!
1. Podcast interview with @LibertyRPF

He shares his unique investing philosophies like:

- optimize for happiness instead of returns

- owning few stocks, but many businesses

- be emotional about a business, not the stock price

open.spotify.com/episode/2Sd7TV…
2. Podcast summary by @borrowed_ideas

MBI does a great summary of the podcast above.

He shares his top highlights and lessons from the interview with Liberty.

This hooked me:

"I'm not trying to optimize for the best returns, but for happiness"
Read 8 tweets
5 Nov
5 investing lessons I've learnt from the 30% $PTON stock price drop

This was a terrible earnings.

Management guided revenue lower because of:

- demand headwinds
- lower site and store traffic
- more people buying the cheaper bike

So here's my personal reflections: Image
1. Know your time frame

IMO, there are better places to put your $$ in the short run.

So I won't add new cash to it.

Because given the stagnant revenue, the stock could likely stay flat.

There are better places to put your $$.

That said, I'll still be holding on. Why?
1b. Mainly because I personally like to give a company 3 years to execute.

That's just a rule of mine.

These growth companies are usually creating a new industry.

So execution is tough and takes time.

I like to give them wiggle room.

Because I see myself as part owner.
Read 10 tweets
4 Nov
18 weird investing rules I live by:

You'll think I'm crazy after reading this.

Some of them are pretty extreme.

But they've helped me achieve financial freedom (> 7 fig) before I turned 30.

Take what works for you. Dump the rest.

I'm still a work in progress.

Let's go!
1. I never look at valuation on my initial position

If I like a company, I buy a small % just to get skin in the game.

That makes me research more seriously.

And I can also average out this price later.

What hurts most is missing a great company because I was a cheapskate.
2. I allow myself to go down rabbit holes.

Focus is important.

But so is exploration.

In this business, you only need 1-2 good ideas a year to do well.

So give yourself the chance for serendipity to happen.

Read widely.

Let your curiosities guide you.
Read 21 tweets

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