Passed the hundred page mark. I'm not hurrying. I might read a paragraph four times. The old brain does not assimilate information in the same way the same brain did when young, nor at the same speed.
Getting a fair number of assumptions and beliefs reset. Pleased about it.
One underlying belief has been, rather than reset, reinforced. That is, over our time here on Earth we have tried an incomprehensible different ways of organizing ourselves into societies.
Look at us today, I would say a majority of us don't believe humans could live without cars
3. At least, not have a decent life, a life worth living. We have reached the Pinnacle of Humanity.
Everyone before us was miserable. Three million years of miserable hominids glumphing around the savanna.
It's just a damn shame our way, The Best And Only Way, kills the biosphere
4. Because unfortunately, we are members of the biosphere, and at some point the layer that gets peeled off by our latest improvement will be the one that contains us.
We will be shocked and offended.
We are the Pinnacle of Humanity.
5. Not all of us. Just a quarter of us.
Two billion are obese. That's the developed world. There are two billion cars. I'm rounding up to 8 billion people now. So - ¼ of us are killing the biosphere.
One of the outcomes is, it gets hotter.
We burn fuel, and the exhaust from
6. the fuel adds carbon to the atmosphere, and the part we killed by whatever we did with the fuel quits taking carbon out of the atmosphere, and the whole system goes to shit in an accelerating spiral, and it burns and washes away, and we say, "By 2050 we'll be..."
Horseshit.
7. More people besides me need to start talking about it being horseshit. It matters. There is nearly a 100% consensus that no matter what else we do, "transitioning" to "renewables" is an absolute minimum necessary part of it.
Prove it.
Somebody knows how much energy it takes to
8. make a solar panel in China (while bragging that Europe has reached Zero, which is in fact wildly false)
No, wait. Directly. How much energy in one wind turbine.
How many wind turbines it will take to replace the entire world's fossil fuel use.
How long it will take to do it.
9. They know how much iron ore, from where, and how much bunker oil to get it here. Where "here" = "to every refinery and factory on Earth."
(We gotta quit sneering at China. They're burning all that fucking coal expressly to make our solar panels.)
10. If we don't build enough to replace 100% of all the fossil fuel requirements, then we didn't accomplish Jack shit. The ecosystem isn't grading on a curve. You can't claim the end of civilization on your tax return.
11. The instant a molecule of GHG goes into the atmosphere it goes to work. What it does is absorb energy. Ignore all that blather about infrared and stuff, that's mechanism. What matters is the big picture. Carbon absorbs energy in its molecules.
Inherently.
Carbon makes life.
12. Carbon is this incredibly powerful element. If you look up the word "organic" you'll find this buried down in the definitions. Before Rodale it was a primary definition.
Organic means carbon-based. Powerful element.
13. I'm speaking here of power by my personal cosmology. Anything that can be that big a chunk of all of life is powerful. Averages half of every living plant. I read it's about 18% of a human, but I think that's live weight, and a lot of a live human is just water passing thru.
14. Anyway. Adding carbon to the atmosphere isn't like borrowing money. "Not emitting" some other carbon some other day isn't event relevant.
The instant we add carbon to the atmosphere it goes to work absorbing energy.
We can measure that energy with a thermometer.
It's wind too
15. I'll bet you that if Joe Biden told you how much total carbon the infrastructure plan will add to the atmosphere you'd say, "My God! That puts us past two degrees all by itself!"
That's why he doesn't say it.
It's still there.
Every single object of renewable energy built now
16. Requires specific weights of CO2 to be added to the atmosphere. And it's not an insignificant amount. The physics of manufacturing are entirely agnostic on the end purpose of the manufactured thing. It doesn't matter, while you're building it, if it's a coal fired power plant
17. Or an installation of wind turbines.
Making things like wind turbines and solar panels, cars and trucks, highways, factories - y'all, that where all the climate change comes from.
Doing more of it faster makes it worse faster.
We're a cat chasing a laser pointer. 🏎️🚀✈️
18. It absolutely does not matter how many times we say something is for the climate. Adding carbon to the atmosphere is not for the climate. Killing photosynthesizing plants, be it fucking ragweed, is not for the climate.
Period.
19. There is one thing, and one thing only, that takes any significant quantities of carbon out of the air, and that thing is photosynthesis.
"The ocean" does not take carbon out of the air, photosynthesizing oceanic life forms do. Phytoplankton.
We're killing it all.
20. What things could the whole world do that would combat climate change?
We could agree to never pave another square centimeter of land.
We could agree to slow down.
We could agree to never build another energy plant of any kind. No need fossil, no new renewable, no nothing.
22. The reason we don't ever need a new energy conversion machine is because we had enough energy to get through yesterday, and from here we're cutting energy throughput.
So we don't ever need another power plant. Reduce use to where we can start shutting them.
23. The nations of the world could agree to reduce GDP. In order to employ their people during shrinking GDP they turn off high energy labor saving devices and employ human laborers. This will reduce emissions directly, incrementally as implement.
Park the county tractor.
24. Park the backhoe. Hire people with shovels. Reduce GDP by reducing energy throughput. Speed of transportation, speed of resource extraction.
Basically this is "kill capitalism" and I understand it's not likely, but here's where I started. With the Davids.
25. If there is one seriously significant characteristic of today's America it is utter lack of imagination. We are absolutely certain that this one specific system of social organization, the Technological Imperative, high velocity capitalism and all its toys and temptations,
26. I've been writing, envisioning a different America, and it is almost an antisocial act.
The rage which sweeps over some Americans at the thought of animal power -
The assumption of animal abuse -
The utter contempt.
Whether in the immediate real, or the abstract. Contempt.
27. It's only us causing climate change.
We know exactly what we do to cause it.
We are nationally, globally, agreeing that we've *absolutely got to* continue to do it, so we tell a bunch of science fiction bullshit about Carbon Free Energy Someday, and build another steel mill.
28. The other three quarters of humanity ought to come over here and stomp us into the mud.
Coz they ain't doing it. It's just us.
We don't have to. We choose to.
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I tweeted this earlier, in the middle of another thread, but I want to address this question: do people think we can go on living like this and escape utter climate catastrophe?
I think the answer is, sort of, except they know there's an expiration date. Out there somewhere.
2. My opinion is just that, an opinion. It is based on responses to my climate / speed / energy threads going back three years, since I formed these theses.
I think most reasonable people think it's basically hopeless. I know all about the Not Giving Up school of thought. Good.
3. The Not Giving Up school of thought is, I feel, purest denialism. I can understand the roots of such an action, whether the decision be conscious or from another level, and maybe it's better. But it's not wired to reality. We are in full committed accelerationism, and physics.
A notable point the Davids make is that when there were still functioning American native societies in the fields and forests, people who found themselves in the other society, if they were Europeans relocated into native societies they usually stayed when they had a choice.
But Native people who got forcibly relocated into Euro society always went back when they got the chance.
I talk about slowing down, and people talk about sacrifice and wouldn't give up...
If there were no cars out on those roads I'd drive my donkeys to town every time.
More fun.
We've got this all wrong. White society, euro government, even if the people running the kleptocracy are actually black, it's this Euro money industrial system.
It's a terrible design. It can't be made to work. It blows up over and over.
This time it's gonna be *spectacular*.
There is no possibility that the current lifeways of developed societies can be maintained without continued degradation of the ecosystem to the ultimate point where it becomes unable to support us in anything approaching our current numbers.
And yes, that's how we stay alive.
2. This is a problem, because what we call climate change is but one symptom of broad ecosystem degradation and collapse.
Yes, carbon is a factor in climate change, but it is not the sole factor. And fuel carbon is even less the sole factor.
That doesn't imply we can keep burning
3. Sadly, virtually all "climate aware" people have been convinced that yes, since carbon is a problem, it must therefore be the only problem.
I find this odd. We all know about extinction. Deforestation. Desertification.
Don't we?
Electric cars.
We *must*, we are told, build electric cars. For the Climate!®
There are about two billion cars and light trucks in the world today.
There are about 8 billion people.
So, there are enough cars for about 1 out of 4 humans to drive.
The other ¾ can just fucking walk.
2. We privileged ¼, though, for us, important persons that we are, it would be an utterly intolerable imposition that we had to live like three quarters of all humanity, shit people trudging on the filthy Earth.
We are far too important.
So, to Save The Planet®, we MUST
3. Immediately, promptly, quickly, mine enough copper to build two to three billion, hundred or more horsepower, electric motors.
We MUST immediately, promptly, quickly mine enough lithium and rare earths to build two to three billion 1500 pound batteries.
And we must NEVER STOP
What I would like to see happen is for young people to form intentional communities of what I have been calling Apocalypse Amish.
I'm the founding preacher.
First came Menno Simons. Menno was a Protestant when it was still a new thing, back in old Europe.
He read the book -
2. Protestants got to read it for themselves - and he said, We Christians are too attached to the World. We are competing economically, and also for social status, with non-believers. We must focus on our Community of Believers, and not wear fancy clothes or shiny things.
3. And, Menno said, Children cannot understand baptism or belief, so only adult baptism counts.
And his followers all got Baptized again as adults.
And they took his name, and became Menno-nites.
And the neighbors burned their houses down, but that's a separate path from tonight.
She says the lower curve is the one we should take, but the upper curve is the one we are taking.
If only.
This happy upper curve implies we reduce our emissions by small amounts starting now, instead of big amounts starting now.
Yeah, like I said, if only.
Here's emissions now.
Not dropping
And yesterday the US celebrated what will be the biggest single increase in the 21st century.