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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
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16 Nov, 4 tweets, 1 min read
You can't argue that 1) Rufo has been open about wanting to take control of the levers of power and also 2) that boosting Rufo is a deceptive plot to take over power, since the plot is very much public.
and tbh, I feel like Rufo's work is a model conservatives should really be emulating, since all it consists of is the standard form of politics for the left since about 1900. time we got in the game!
I've argued elsewhere that what conservatives need to do is gain *administrative* control over the apparatus of the state to contest the administrative control progressives wield. Love it or hate it, that's what Rufo is shooting for.
And messing with peoples' kids is of course an extremely potent issue, so he's got major ammo to use.

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More from @lymanstoneky

Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
18 Nov
Your regular reminder that a major reason the US is high on both of these is that *we measure them more inclusively* than many other countries.
There are many reasons to not correct! One reason is that it's not always clear which method is better so the correct direction of correction is unclear.

Another is that we sometimes have no idea what effects may exist, because we don't have parallel measurement.
That is, sometimes two measurement techniques exist in parallel so we can see precisely how they differ in aggregate effects. But often we don't have this, so all we know is "it's different measurements so may not be comparable."
Read 41 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
18 Nov
The Navy is as bad as it looks.

However, the consolation is that other countries' navies are even more ruinously mismanaged!

Modern navies are just an absolute crapshoot!
Ships are very hard to protect, deploying a global navy without directly controlled colonial empires and bases requires incredible tolerance for espionage and security risks, oversight is extremely difficult, and many historic methods of disciplining naval personnel are untenable
i.e. if you look at how navies *historically* kept sailors and officers in line compared to how they disciplined soldiers on land, you'll understand that in fact preventing the navy from collapsing into disorder is a major historic problem!
Read 20 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
18 Nov
Um, lowkey huge paper right here (cc @swinshi @hamandcheese @Claudia_Sahm ):

25 years of CPS data suggest that bigger CTCs tend to INCREASE single mother employment. hyeinkang.com/uploads/1/3/9/…
I have not carefully checked out all the method here. And of course it COULD be that higher CTC benefits would encourage work *because the CTC has a phase-in*, whereas making it flat would change that.
But still, overall this seems to suggest that worries about CTC effects on LFP may be somewhat overstated.
Read 4 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
18 Nov
Very cool JMP from @lydia_assouad : quantifying the effect of Ataturk randomly-happening-to-visit your town on the odds you adopt a Turkish (i.e. nationalist) name!

Leaders matter!
dropbox.com/s/93e05vg2euks…
It's a very nifty paper. Ataturk went on a political tour around Turkey promoting stronger Turkish/secular/Republican identity. Part of that was promoting the new "Pure Turkish" language. Baby names are a nice test case for this!
Also really good controlling for confounds. Paper has data on Ataturk's interaction with/co-optation of local elites, the formation of branches of his political party, etc. It can show mechanisms, complementary effects, etc. Leaders matter, but so do institutions!
Read 12 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
18 Nov
the use of the word "hyperobject" is in fact prima facie proof that a person is an unreliable narrator of the world, and in fact even their own mental states

few know this
it is with some pleasure i inform everyone that object-oriented ontology is absolutely nuts, and the fact that it has given rise to the complete fabrication of fake objects merely for the purpose of reifying depression into a philosophical concept is the proof!
the rock does not care how it relates to the tree!
Read 17 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
17 Nov
Just want to note that this is how absolutely nuts the "Christian nationalism" discourse has become, that suggesting (correctly) that the US was historically a Christian nation is seen as "Christian nationalism."
The US still has treaties IN FORCE TODAY which legally declare the country a Christian nation!

It's quite literally the law!
Now, those treaties are very old and clearly those terms are no longer seen as operative--- but it is nonetheless very clearly the case that the US *at a minimum historically was* a "Christian nation" in both practical/social and also literal/legal terms.
Read 39 tweets

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