Um, lowkey huge paper right here (cc @swinshi @hamandcheese @Claudia_Sahm ):
25 years of CPS data suggest that bigger CTCs tend to INCREASE single mother employment. hyeinkang.com/uploads/1/3/9/…
25 years of CPS data suggest that bigger CTCs tend to INCREASE single mother employment. hyeinkang.com/uploads/1/3/9/…
I have not carefully checked out all the method here. And of course it COULD be that higher CTC benefits would encourage work *because the CTC has a phase-in*, whereas making it flat would change that.
But still, overall this seems to suggest that worries about CTC effects on LFP may be somewhat overstated.
As an aside, I'm reading a ton of recent JMPs on fertility, and it's absolutely wild how skewed authorship is here: papers about fertility the last few years are *overwhelmingly* from authors whose photos make me suppose they're of Asian descent.
Why do white people ignore it?
Why do white people ignore it?
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