Vinay Profile picture
18 Nov, 25 tweets, 5 min read
I've been thinking really hard about people's inability to stare at the darkness of the world and the fate of the poor, without blinking.

It all seems pretty obvious to me: the central fact of human existence is that 5 or 10 million people starve to death each year. The core.
Everything that we do is set against the background.

Everything that we do is set against the constant drum beat of other humans starving to death. Maybe one every ten seconds. I hear that clock. That clock is with me. I wake up with it, I fall asleep with it. Brain won't block.
My brain won't block it because I trained my brain not to: I am "enlightened" - a human that has punched through its own programming. Freedom, certainly, but also awareness - and in that awareness one has a few choices.
Most people who are enlightened or approaching it become increasingly detached from the world and its woes. They may feed people with a bucket and spoon as far as money permits, but they do not act systemically and rationally on absolute causes.

They act, but they act locally.
(a more common escape is a retreat into "the inner planes" - shared dreamworlds where beings of pure mind live free from the general shitshow which is trying to inhabit spiritual consciousness while inhabiting decaying bodies made of meat.

You can't blame them. Not much anyway.)
Did I do what I could?

I feel these beings as if they were in front of me. I mean, I have to bend myself in fucking knots not to wind up running a homeless shelter in my spare bedroom.

I've been homeless now and again. I know these people are *actually people*. It's A Problem.
But nearly everybody else is enslaved to a blinding mechanism: their own biological script around reproduction *simply won't run* if you feed it realistic data about the state of the world. "No, I'm not going to risk having a kid that might starve and die in this horror show."
And so we get "toxic positivity". People *hallucinate* a world fit to bring children into, where the problems of the world are being worked on and it'll all work out fine in the end. This hallucination protects their ability to reproduce and biology selects for that hallucination
It's just a hallucination. It's a veil drawn over The Uninsured or the Opiate Addicted or The Factory Workers in Shit Countries Who Make Our Shoes, and all the rest. Without that veil, deciding to have children becomes nearly impossible.

It's just too awful out there. My god.
Nuclear weapons and climate change (and biower, and all the rest) are *so fucking scary* that anybody who has kids will - if they can - block out all awareness AND THEREFORE ALL ACTION on these core issues.

We've been insane since Hiroshima or maybe Mutually Assured Destruction.
So we are literally sleepwalking into hell because the The Sleep of Reason Produces Children. You just can't have kids if you think your biome is collapsing. You're going to watch them die, or worse, and that's a very rational fear not some crazy fantasy.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sleep…
Oh that fear might not be rational *for middle class white folks* but you ask roughly 50% of the human race whether there's any possibility their kid will starve to death before the kid becomes adult?

Big fear. People have more kids to make up for the ones who will die. To cope.
Leaders who cannot think clearly about nuclear weapons and mass starvation do not deserve to be leaders.

They're just shitty little entertainers telling you stories to sooth your rational fear enough for you to buy their product or have kids who will buy it instead. Nothing else
You are not going to get nuclear disarmament from people that cannot look at movies from post-Hiroshima

You are not going to get action on famine from people who believe it does not exist because its only happening to brown people in hot countries and they can pretend away death
The rate of starvation is not very controversial. The data isn't perfect but it's pretty easy to see the cause of death, you know, at least in the more extreme cases.

If the skin hangs loose, it probably wasn't a heart attack

I want to know why we ignore this. It's foundational
Take a look at the recent skirmish between Elon Musk and the United Nations World Food Programme.

mashable.com/article/elon-m…

Just stop and read it. Ignore the spin, look at the dynamics. "Money will fix it." "Here is an offer of money, if you can fix it."

"Actually we can't. Ow."
How do people starve to death?

The answer is so simple it will disturb you.

"People value their lives as worth less than the food which would keep them from dying."

Read. That. Sentence. Again.

That's all that is going on here. That is 100% of the problem. Lives are worthless
My capacity to help is limited. I'm mostly working on climate refugees, and to get any leverage there means making a *tremendous* amount of money and spending it to fund research. I tried UN, Red Cross, DoD, Ikea and more. Nobody has any leverage.

I can't do much about food yet.
But what I can say with absolute clarity is this: we are not going to solve this problem until we get people with kids to pull their heads out of their asses in large numbers.

We can't fix the world without the support of the parents, and their narrow focus on their own? Deadly.
What would it take to get parents to look a little wider than their immediate survival concerns, en masse, and act on starvation, on climate change, on nuclear weapons, and all the rest?

Concern for their children, and a realistic understanding of how random bad luck can be.
Parents are not working together to solve the world's fundamental problems so their kids will be safe.

No, parents are putting their faith in The State or The Economy or Pension Funds or whatever else. And they're turning a blind eye to the monstrous shit at the edges of the map
Unfortunately *the fucking map is on fire* and the monstrous shit at the edge of the map is on the march.

It's pretty much last ditch for the current equilibrium, and it gets a *lot* worse before it gets better.

A good example is America: if it *breaks* into civil war? Oh fuck.
So we're hanging on by our fingernails to the last shreds of Normality, this post-war bubble in which generally speaking life got linearly better. If we stopped working on our shitty little priorities and talked clearly about the real situation, we could stabilise this for a bit.
In that period of stability the solar panels will get much cheaper. Maybe AI will arrive and help us out solving economic and logistical problems

But if we lose that stability it tears badly. Yugoslavia, Iraq that sort of thing. Stable-but-nasty turns into hell on earth. Texas
You pretty much have to peel the veil back to see where the risks are for yourself.

Then maybe enough of us can work together to deal with the worse of this.

But it only begins when you stop prioritising irrelevant emotional bullshit over the brutal fact of mass starvation.

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More from @leashless

18 Nov
So I want to talk a bit about being a climate-aware CEO.

I don't mean the daffy greenwashing version, "we're switching to recycled packaging to do our part."

No, I mean a hardcore "we've broken the world and now we pay" type of climate aware CEO. It's a different kind of mind.
I'm running a company to save lives. Not directly, I'm not making HIV vaccines. I'm running a company to make money, and then I'm going to spend that money saving lives.

Maybe some of our technology will help but that's very much a bonus: goal is vast world-transforming wealth.
We're talking "man who fell to earth" levels of wealth. I figure there are going to be hundreds of millions of climate refugees, and the UN etc. will be totally disorganised and shambolic, as they are now.

Enter philanthropy. $1bn saves 1m families, say. lateralaction.com/articles/the-m…
Read 13 tweets
18 Nov
It’s really hard to look at the 20th century and come to that conclusion.

Lifespans got longer. Populations rose.

We wiped out half of the remaining nature, invented atomic and biological weapons, built a total surveillance society.

Are you sure this is going to be alright?
And this is kind of my problem. I was yelling about the need for masks and research into mask effectiveness in pandemics >10 years ago

20 years into the work on climate refugees. 20 years of “we have to prepare to save the lives of hundreds of millions, homes destroyed by floods
When these things arrive, the “optimists” say “my god who could have predicted this unprecedented event” because *their optimism is rooted in avoiding the data about obvious possible risks*.

Add survivor biases, and we have a risk blind incredibly rich pundit class misleading us
Read 6 tweets
10 Sep
God, I'm tired of trying to persuade people not to destroy their world, and to take care of the victims of prior attempts to destroy it.

People want to stay asleep at the wheel, in their comfy little ruts, even though they are two wheels off the cliff already.

It's Panic Time!
What does it take to move people's attention off their wallets or petty political rivalries on to the core question of the day: how do we regulate technology so that it doesn't destroy all of our lives?

That's the core issue: global warming, mass surveillance, combat robots.
I ploughed this territory 10 years ago, and published Mother of Hydrogen, an SF novel about how the human race survives nanotech and biotech wars, and manages a rogue AI problem.

hexayurt.com/novel

The solution proposed in that book is the only one I believe will work.
Read 28 tweets
8 Sep
Bull and bear markets mean something different at a two trillion dollar market cap.

You've gotta understand we're turning an enormous ship here. A bull/bear event *now shifts the destiny of nations* not just your college/house/retirement fund. It's a dramatic world-shifting tide
What does that mean?

Well, we still don't have fundamentals - it's almost impossible to evaluate what bitcoin *should* be worth. Everybody's evaluating it based on what it will be worth in future.

That paradox is the most dangerous thing in crypto. We *desperately* need utility
I *started* @mattereum to solve the utility problem, by the way: you wanna buy houses, cars, gold, vacations, wine, art, you name it *in a crypto-native way* we do that

Not "turn your BTC into dollars on the fly". I mean we sell physical stuff *as a cryptographic rights bundle*
Read 6 tweets
22 Aug
I want to talk about why I'm so bone-deep hostile to the "consciousness movement" while being a life-long meditator.

First, an appropriate soundtrack for this little bit of thinking

Thread on.
So the consciousness movement has basically two phases which are relevant to this discussion. Pre-nuclear bombs and other existential risks, and post-nuclear bombs etc

The movement slips over that historical discontinuity with very little notice but something fundamental breaks.
Before the invention of the nuclear bomb there is no potential for human beings to destroy the plane of existence we occupy.

It simply wasn't a thing. We could cut down a tree, but we could not extinguish all life. Once that became possible, there was a half-assed attempt to fix
Read 54 tweets
5 Aug
I find myself wondering this morning how many people actually get my work - here we are, 20 years in to me continually writing, teaching, communicating, building - and I can't tell if a lot of people get it and are mostly quiet or if very few people actually got it.

Which is it?
It probably helps if I define it: here is my best short summary.

1) The human race is currently running the world like a death camp for poor humans, and particularly for the other species we farm or drive into extinction.

2) Fixing this situation is possible, but requires will.
That's the core thesis. Then,

3) It is possible, by mass collaboration using any available mechanism (open source, markets, new religious movements etc.) to live without this continuous catastrophic violence.

Read 13 tweets

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